Trends in Dak's 48 Career Starts

[mahoneybill]

OL/receiving personnel has also played a huge role in the number of sacks.
Games 1-12: 18 sacks
Games 13-24: 18 sacks
Games 25-36: 34 sacks
Games 37-48 41 sacks

Wow. Games 25- 36 - 2 short of 24 games worth in the next 11 games ( 34 vs 36 ) and then 5 more than 24 games worth in the last 11 games noted. 41 vs 36.

Big drop off on protection , holding ball etc

 

[CowboyRoy]

Dak still lacks consistent accuracy and struggles to read defenses which leads to him taking bad sacks.

Because his Oline is terrible.

 

[conner01]

Winning or losing by more than 16 points
92 of 143 1007 yd 7 td 6 int 83.9

4th qtr or OT, margin 8 points or less
162 of 244 2071 yd 15 td 2 int 109.9

Ask and you shall receive lol

 

[WeaponX]

No I do not! These are the Dak stats that I see that matter to me as someone who has spent their entire life following football!

1. Does not feel the pockets, always make the wrong repositioning choice
2. Panics once any pressure is felt and stops making reads, shift into instinct panic mode.
3. Cannot throw receivers open.
4. Cannot thread the needle.
5. The more open a receiver, is, the more he "thinks" about his throws and the less accurate he is.
6. He can only make 1-2 reads per play and they are slow reads.
7. He fails miserably to take that one of two key steps in the pocket to buy that extra 1-2 seconds. He just panics and flees. Defenses can easy scheme against him.

Don’t necessarily disagree with you, but none of the above observations are stats.

@percyhoward is a great contributor to this site and is extremely objective. If you want to spout off your subjective analysis there are like 20 other threads going right now...

Just sayin...

 

[buybuydandavis]

Moore is yet another reflection of the nepotism rampant on this team

"We like our guys"

 

[CowboyRoy]

Prescott's 48 career starts divide into several different equally-sized samples, which is convenient for an apples-to-apples comparison of things like yards, attempts, sacks, etc. -- supporting cast and schedule obviously notwithstanding.

The more recent and the larger the sample, the more it means. His career numbers offer the largest sample, but include a lot of old information. His most recent game is fresh info, but it's just one game. So there's a happy medium, and here are three options from which you can decide.

12-game split
Games 1-12 (W 11 L 1)
243 of 358 67.9% 2974 yd 8.3 ypa 19 td 2 int 18 sk 108.6 (47 car 217 yd 4.6 ypc 5 td 8 fum)
Games 13-24 (W 6 L 6)
234 of 367 63.8% 2564 yd 7.0 ypa 21 td 7 int 18 sk 95.5 (35 car 246 yd 7.0 ypc 4 td 2 fum)
Games 25-36 (W 6 L 6)
220 of 351 62.7% 2253 yd 6.4 ypa 10 td 11 int 34 sk 77.5 (48 car 274 yd 5.7 ypc 3 td 4 fum )
Games 37-48 (W 8 L 4)
275 of 393 70.0% 3000 yd 7.6 ypa 16 td 6 int 41 sk 99.4 (57 car 220 yd 3.9 ypc 6 td 11 fum)

8-game split
Games 1-8 (W 7 L 1)
165 of 248 66.5% 2026 yd 8.2 ypa 12 td 2 int 11 sk 104.3 (31 car 129 yd 4.2 ypc 4 td 5 fum)
Games 9-16 (W 6 L 2)
146 of 212 68.9% 1653 yd 7.8 ypa 11 td 2 int 14 sk 105.3 (27 car 162 yd 6.0 ypc 2 td 4 fum)
Games 17-24 (W 4 L 4)
166 of 265 62.6% 1859 yd 7.0 ypa 17 td 5 int 11 sk 97.0 (24 car 172 yd 7.2 ypc 3 td 1 fum)
Games 25-32 (W 4 L 4)
148 of 234 63.2% 1567 yd 6.7 ypa 7 td 9 int 22 sk 76.6 (33 car 173 yd 5.2 ypc 3 td 3 fum)
Games 33-40 (W 4 L 4)
146 of 234 62.4% 1605 yd 6.9 ypa 9 td 4 int 24 sk 88.4 (41 car 252 yd 6.1 ypc 2 td 6 fum)
Games 41-48 (W 6 L 2)
201 of 276 72.8% 2081 yd 7.5 ypa 10 td 4 int 29 sk 100.2 (31 car 69 yd 2.2 ypc 4 td 6 fum)

6-game split
Games 1-6 (W 5 L 1)
125 of 182 68.7% 1486 yd 8.2 ypa 7 td 1 int 9 sk 103.9 (20 car 67 yd 3.4 ypc 3 td 4 fum)
Games 7-12 (W 6 L 0)
118 of 176 67.0% 1488 yd 8.5 ypa 12 td 1 int 9 sk 113.5 (27 car 150 yd 5.6 ypc 2 td 4 fum)
Games 13-18 (W 3 L 3)
116 of 178 65.2% 1281 yd 7.2 ypa 8 td 3 int 10 sk 94.3 (15 car 102 yd 8.5 ypc 1 td 1 fum)
Games 19-24 (W 3 L 3)
118 of 189 62.4% 1283 yd 6.8 ypa 13 td 4 int 8 sk 96.5 (20 car 144 yd 7.2 ypc 3 td 1 fum)
Games 25-30 (W 3 L 3)
109 of 173 63.0% 1174 yd 6.8 ypa 7 td 5 int 16 sk 84.3 (23 car 120 yd 5.2 ypc 2 td 3 fum)
Games 31-36 (W 3 L 3)
111 of 178 62.4% 1079 yd 6.1 ypa 3 td 6 int 18 sk 70.9 (25 car 154 yd 6.2 ypc 1 td 1 fum)
Games 37-42 (W 3 L 3)
121 of 184 65.8% 1432 yd 7.8 ypa 9 td 3 int 21 sk 98.8 (34 car 171 yd 5.0 ypc 3 td 7 fum)
Games 43-48 (W 5 L 1)
154 of 209 73.7% 1568 yd 7.5 ypa 7 td 3 int 20 sk 99.9 (23 car 49 yd 2.1 ypc 3 td 4 fum)

Career (W 31 L 17)
972 of 1469 66.2% 10791 yd 7.3 ypa 66 td 26 int 111 sk 95.4 (187 car 957 yd 5.1 ypc 18 td 25 fum)

Traditional passer rating is in bold, and it doesn't count sacks, QB runs, and fumbles. Here's how the top 10 rated passers this season compare to Dak in sacks, rushing, and total fumbles (not just lost fumbles)...

Prescott
52 sk 305 yd 6 td 12 fum
Top rated passers (avg)
34 sk 175 yd 2 td 7 fum

All data compiled from Pro Football Reference

Here is a nice trend for you...……………..NO matter how good or bad the players or coaches are around Dak he still leads his team to a winning season and playoffs (would have been 3 out of 3 if not for Zeke).

 

[Hardline]

I love you stat guys.
I would be to lazy to look up the numbers.

 

[mattjames2010]

Don’t necessarily disagree with you, but none of the above observations are stats.

@percyhoward is a great contributor to this site and is extremely objective. If you want to spout off your subjective analysis there are like 20 other threads going right now...

Just sayin...

Then start watching the games rather than going by a stat bot with a cloaked agenda

 

[WeaponX]

Then start watching the games rather than going by a stat bot with a cloaked agenda

Cloaked agenda? Dude this a DC fan site not international espionage - chill.

Also, as you may have missed, I mentioned that I didn’t disagree with the observations of the poster I replied to, but there are other threads to discuss those vs. a thread discussing actual stats. Whether they are relevant stats or not would be a viable response/discussion point - literally all I said. Not sure how you could glean any information about my position on the matter from that...

Take it somewhere else

 

[sunalsorises]

Prescott's first 48 games
972 of 1469 66.2% 10791 yd 7.3 ypa 66 td 26 int 111 sk 95.4 (187 car 957 yd 5.1 ypc 18 td 25 fum)
Young's first 48 games
626 of 1077 58.1% 7182 yd 6.7 ypa 35 td 41 int 67 sk 73.3 (251 car 1503 yd 5.2 ypc 12 td 13 fum)

Add about 7 points to Young's rating for era difference.

Nice job. Thank you.

Prescott's first 48 games
972 of 1469 66.2% 10791 yd 7.3 ypa 66 td 26 int 111 sk 95.4 (187 car 957 yd 5.1 ypc 18 td 25 fum)
Young's first 48 games
626 of 1077 58.1% 7182 yd 6.7 ypa 35 td 41 int 67 sk 73.3 (251 car 1503 yd 5.2 ypc 12 td 13 fum)

Add about 7 points to Young's rating for era difference.

Thank you. By too lazy I meant I was watching my kids. Vince’s stats are far worse than Dak’s. It’s a wonder he had such a good win/loss record.

 

[mattjames2010]

Cloaked agenda? Dude this a DC fan site not international espionage - chill.

Also, as you may have missed, I mentioned that I didn’t disagree with the observations of the poster I replied to, but there are other threads to discuss those vs. a thread discussing actual stats. Whether they are relevant stats or not would be a viable response/discussion point - literally all I said. Not sure how you could glean any information about my position on the matter from that...

Take it somewhere else

Wrong. These stats, when actually digging deep, have little not accuracy and we all know it BECAUSE WE WATCH THE GAMES.

You can get a better indication of what Dak is by posting GIFs that show his poor accuracy and decision making. This is nerd crap cloaking an agenda that Dak is anything more than what he is.

It’s one thing if you don’t watch every team and you need to judge by statistics alone, but this is a fan forum...as you said - what the hell is the need for these stats when you actually see Dak in live action? Think these will help him during contract time or will the Jones’ boys laugh in his face because they watch every game?

Again, it’s statistics that look as though they have some real context, but they don’t.

 

[starcity214]

All I'm saying is, why did two teams move on from the stat king known as Alex Smith?

Alex Smith was in his prime, healthy, and was a stat king..

Two teams, two different coaches didn't think he had what it takes to win a Super bowl.
He took both teams to the playoffs and yet, both coaches thought it was best to move on from him. They believed they had a better chance of winning with two unproven QBs (Kaepernick and Mahommes) than with the stat king known as Alex Smith...

The way Alex Smith plays the game will always make him look good (easy throws) but will always hold his teams back.

Alex Smith and Dak Prescott are basically the same thing.

 

[WeaponX]

Wrong. These stats, when actually digging deep, have little not accuracy and we all know it BECAUSE WE WATCH THE GAMES.

You can get a better indication of what Dak is by posting GIFs that show his poor accuracy and decision making. This is nerd crap cloaking an agenda that Dak is anything more than what he is.

It’s one thing if you don’t watch every team and you need to judge by statistics alone, but this is a fan forum...as you said - what the hell is the need for these stats when you actually see Dak in live action? Think these will help him during contract time or will the Jones’ boys laugh in his face because they watch every game?

Again, it’s statistics that look as though they have some real context, but they don’t.

Dude if you have a problem with the OP’s stats, maybe you’d be better suited directing your responses to them.

All I’m saying is that this was a post about stats, which some people enjoy dissecting and discussing.

And again, I don’t disagree with your assessment, not sure what’s getting lost in translation here for you

 

[JoeKing]

Dak still lacks consistent accuracy and struggles to read defenses which leads to him taking bad sacks.

Unless you assume the operation of Daks mind, you can not legitimately claim, "he struggles to read defenses". What we do know is he struggles to act on what he reads. You do have it right though, it leads to him taking bad sacks. The difference is how quickly he overcomes this handicap. If his mental capacity is registering what the defenses are doing then he just needs to work on translating that data to action. If he is actually struggling to read the defense then his capacity to improve in the future will be greatly impeded.

 

[Captain43Crash]

Stats are all but worthless and most often isolated to fit an agenda. As a fan watching the game of football and even some coaching experience myself for over 40 years, I just know what I see and feel about any player. I do not like what I see and feel about Dak as this teams starting QB. He lacks basic fundamental skills at a high level you need to be a quality starting NFL QB. Stats are piggy-backed by other factions of the game around you as a QB. O-line play, your running balance, the defense, your receiving core, the overall scheme.... etc, etc etc. Do you have a player like "Zeke" who is great to run after a simple check down pass etc. Dak plays in a system and that system is full of SB caliber players, and he is not one of them. They make up for him, for now. Dak will never make up for other lacking things around him like a Romo etc could do.....They make up stats for him. We watch him play and see his lacking components.

You were strong until
you mentioned Romo. Romo never had enough talent around him to win a Superbowl, but Romo made more than his share of mistakes in big games. At least Dak has a clutch gene, unlike Romo.

 

[Bob-Lillys-War]

You were strong until
you mentioned Romo. Romo never had enough talent around him to win a Superbowl, but Romo made more than his share of mistakes in big games. At least Dak has a clutch gene, unlike Romo.

Its true, as much as i like Romo, he did some chokes .

 

[sureletsrace]

This thread:

OP posts stats without any opining or agenda pushing.

80% of people read the stats, nod, maybe say thanks, and move on.

The other 20%- "REEEEE I WATCH GAMEZ I DONT NEED NO STATS I GOTS MY EYE TEST I COACHED ONCE DAK SUX. STOP TRYING TA BRAINWARSH ME"

 

[Nav22]

Wrong. These stats, when actually digging deep, have little not accuracy and we all know it BECAUSE WE WATCH THE GAMES.

You can get a better indication of what Dak is by posting GIFs that show his poor accuracy and decision making. This is nerd crap cloaking an agenda that Dak is anything more than what he is.

It’s one thing if you don’t watch every team and you need to judge by statistics alone, but this is a fan forum...as you said - what the hell is the need for these stats when you actually see Dak in live action? Think these will help him during contract time or will the Jones’ boys laugh in his face because they watch every game?

Again, it’s statistics that look as though they have some real context, but they don’t.

Hahahahaahah GIFs? Are you going through hundreds of GIFs to get a full picture? Or just the few that show you what you want to see?

What a garbage take. Embarrassing.

 

[WeaponX]

All I'm saying is, why did two teams move on from the stat king known as Alex Smith?

Alex Smith was in his prime, healthy, and was a stat king..

Two teams, two different coaches didn't think he had what it takes to win a Super bowl.
He took both teams to the playoffs and yet, both coaches thought it was best to move on from him. They believed they had a better chance of winning with two unproven QBs (Kaepernick and Mahommes) than with the stat king known as Alex Smith...

The way Alex Smith plays the game will always make him look good (easy throws) but will always hold his teams back.

Alex Smith and Dak Prescott are basically the same thing.

Alex Smith has been, and remains, the best comp to Dak

Agreed 100%

 

[dfense]

Stats are all but worthless and most often isolated to fit an agenda. As a fan watching the game of football and even some coaching experience myself for over 40 years, I just know what I see and feel about any player. I do not like what I see and feel about Dak as this teams starting QB. He lacks basic fundamental skills at a high level you need to be a quality starting NFL QB. Stats are piggy-backed by other factions of the game around you as a QB. O-line play, your running balance, the defense, your receiving core, the overall scheme.... etc, etc etc. Do you have a player like "Zeke" who is great to run after a simple check down pass etc. Dak plays in a system and that system is full of SB caliber players, and he is not one of them. They make up for him, for now. Dak will never make up for other lacking things around him like a Romo etc could do.....They make up stats for him. We watch him play and see his lacking components.

Spot on.