Odds Maker: Dallas is going to get Slaughtered

[GMO415]

I just spoke to an odds maker and he advised me "Dallas is getting slaughtered." I'm trying to wonder "what do these people know that we don't know?"

"The Rams have yet to win a postseason game under coach Sean McVay's leadership, but based on the opening betting lines from Las Vegas that could be about to change. The opening betting line had the gave the Rams a seven-point spread with an over/under of 49 points, while SportsLine had the home team coming away with a 30-21 win."

 

[BoysfanfromCanada]

30-21 doesn't seem like slaughter

 

[Risen Star]

We very well may.

 

[PA Cowboy Fan]

We are going to do to the Rams what Clemson did to Alabama. World get ready to be shocked.

 

[nightrain]

I just spoke to an odds maker and he advised me "Dallas is getting slaughtered." I'm trying to wonder "what do these people know that we don't know?"

"The Rams have yet to win a postseason game under coach Sean McVay's leadership, but based on the opening betting lines from Las Vegas that could be about to change. The opening betting line had the gave the Rams a seven-point spread with an over/under of 49 points, while SportsLine had the home team coming away with a 30-21 win."

How did he feel about Bama?

 

[Kaiser]

How did he feel about Bama?

How did he feel about the Rams when they played the Bears and Eagles a few weeks ago?

 

[Crown Royal]

I just spoke to an odds maker and he advised me "Dallas is getting slaughtered." I'm trying to wonder "what do these people know that we don't know?"

"The Rams have yet to win a postseason game under coach Sean McVay's leadership, but based on the opening betting lines from Las Vegas that could be about to change. The opening betting line had the gave the Rams a seven-point spread with an over/under of 49 points, while SportsLine had the home team coming away with a 30-21 win."

Honest answer - the Rams run the same offensive philosophy as the Dallas Cowboys, but with a much better passing and scoring offense. They have a better turnover differential (their defense takes away the ball a LOT and they don't give it up, even less than the Cowboys). They score more points, and they do so safely.

In other words - offensively, the Rams have the same novocaine approach as the Cowboys, but with better dimensionality (passing game) and come away with more points without giving it away anymore.

Kind of how the Cowboys beat the Seahawks by playing the same game plan better, the rams are expected to do the same.

Wild card is that the Cowboys play a stingy defense, so if they can keep the Rams scoring down, they hold on to possibility.

 

[CATCH17]

I don’t get how they are coming up with the Rams being favored by 7.

The matchups favor us enough that even if you really liked the Rams I would think it would be no more then 3.5.

If we show up and run all over them then they don’t have a very good chance of beating us.

Also, how can they trust Goff against our pass rush?

 

[Fla Cowpoke]

Honest answer - the Rams run the same offensive philosophy as the Dallas Cowboys, but with a much better passing and scoring offense. They have a better turnover differential (their defense takes away the ball a LOT and they don't give it up, even less than the Cowboys). They score more points, and they do so safely.

In other words - offensively, the Rams have the same novocaine approach as the Cowboys, but with better dimensionality (passing game) and come away with more points without giving it away anymore.

Kind of how the Cowboys beat the Seahawks by playing the same game plan better, the rams are expected to do the same.

Wild card is that the Cowboys play a stingy defense, so if they can keep the Rams scoring down, they hold on to possibility.

You know Goff threw more interceptions and fumbled just as much as Dak, right? You know he personally accounted for only 6 more TDs than Dak did in an offense that is supposed to be the football version of a Tesla while we are running a Ford Escort?

The Seahawks ran at will on the Rams defense and Wilson threw 6 or 7 TD passes in the two games without an interception.

I am not saying we win the game. I am saying the people that think we have no chance are probably the ones that wrote us off at 3-5, that said we couldn't beat the Eagles twice, said the Saints would blow us out and that said Seattle was gonna come into town and make us one and done.

 

[stiletto]

Yeah I guess we shouldn't bother getting on the plane to go there..

 

[408Cowboy]

A friend of mine is a Ram's season ticket holder. He wanted Philly.

 

[Tommy]

How did he feel about Bama?

Or the Seahags or Bears last week.

 

[Fla Cowpoke]

I am wondering how the oddsmaker felt about the Colts and Texans last weekend, and about the Cowboys and Seahawks, and yes, about Alabama and Clemson.

The likelihood is that the Rams spent a good bit of their bye week preparing for the Bears, so it isn't really even like they got a head start in their preparations. The one big thing in their favor is Gurley has had three weeks to heal his beat up knee, however you can argue that the fact that they really didn't have to push the last few weeks and sat out last week might make them a little out of sync.

 

[Crown Royal]

You know Goff threw more interceptions and fumbled just as much as Dak, right? You know he personally accounted for only 6 more TDs than Dak did in an offense that is supposed to be the football version of a Tesla while we are running a Ford Escort?

The Seahawks ran at will on the Rams defense and Wilson threw 6 or 7 TD passes in the two games without an interception.

I am not saying we win the game. I am saying the people that think we have no chance are probably the ones that wrote us off at 3-5, that said we couldn't beat the Eagles twice, said the Saints would blow us out and that said Seattle was gonna come into town and make us one and done.

Be that as it may, this game isn't just Dak v Goff, it's the Cowboys v the Rams. And while Dak is probably higher quality at ball protection than Goff, the team stats are what I referenced. As a team, the Rams took the ball away 10 times more than the Cowboys and gave it away 2 times less. They generated 80 more yards per game and 11 or 12 more points per game.

They score points, protect the ball and do it effectively.

This is not a non-win, I think there is an opportunity for the Cowboys to win. But there are good reasons the odds are being set as they are.

 

[robbieruff]

I just spoke to an odds maker and he advised me "Dallas is getting slaughtered." I'm trying to wonder "what do these people know that we don't know?"

"The Rams have yet to win a postseason game under coach Sean McVay's leadership, but based on the opening betting lines from Las Vegas that could be about to change. The opening betting line had the gave the Rams a seven-point spread with an over/under of 49 points, while SportsLine had the home team coming away with a 30-21 win."

I think having both Tavon and Cole on the injury front plays a part...the less the Rams have to worry about getting hurt from the passing game, the more they can focus on Zeke WHILE STILL doubling Amari...our TE's need to come up bigger in this game and I hope Jarwin gets more snaps than he did against Seattle.

 

[Crown Royal]

I am wondering how the oddsmaker felt about the Colts and Texans last weekend, and about the Cowboys and Seahawks, and yes, about Alabama and Clemson.

The likelihood is that the Rams spent a good bit of their bye week preparing for the Bears, so it isn't really even like they got a head start in their preparations. The one big thing in their favor is Gurley has had three weeks to heal his beat up knee, however you can argue that the fact that they really didn't have to push the last few weeks and sat out last week might make them a little out of sync.

I am VERY hopeful that the young rams will suffer from the same malais that got the 2007 Cowboys.

 

[GMO415]

We are going to do to the Rams what Clemson did to Alabama. World get ready to be shocked.

I have the same feeling and I haven't felt that way all season. You always hear these "odds makers" know some inside information.....

 

[Reality]

The home teams were favored last week and 3 of 4 lost. Calculating odds is based on everything continuing as it has been.

There is a lot that can happen in games regardless of the psychic predictions. For example, what happens if Goff gets injured on the first play? Or Gurley re-injuries his knee?

Right now, I can see the Cowboys losing or winning, but as a fan, I really am not stressed about it. I am enjoying the journey and will do so until it stops regardless of what everyone says.

 

[DFWJC]

"Oddsmakers" have the spread at 7
Though that is fairly high for an NFL game, it's not a slaughter

 

[Crown Royal]

The home teams were favored last week and 3 of 4 lost. Calculating odds is based on everything continuing as it has been.

There is a lot that can happen in games regardless of the psychic predictions. For example, what happens if Goff gets injured on the first play? Or Gurley re-injuries his hamstring?

Right now, I can see the Cowboys losing or winning, but as a fan, I really am not stressed about it. I am enjoying the journey and will do so until it stops regardless of what everyone says.

this so much. I'm having as much fun as I've had in years. In 2007, 2009 and 2014 I had deep expectations. In 2016 I had belief, though it was blind faith and I know about the defense.

This season, my expectations are already exceeded, I'm just enjoying it. The only thing that could ruin it would be a close loss rested at the feet of a bad coaching decision or ref interference.