GMO415
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Green Bay (3-1) at Dallas (3-1)
4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)
Point spread: Cowboys, -3.5
Although both of these teams are 3-1, I have on idea if they're actually any good. On the Cowboys' end, I'm not even sure we should count their three wins as actual wins, and that's because they've beaten the 0-4 Commanders, the 0-4 Dolphins and a Giants team that didn't have Daniel F. Dimes starting yet. At best, those games should count as a half win each.
On the Packers' end, they've beaten some slightly better teams, but their offense is still a mess. I once saw a dad get spit-up on by his baby at an airport, and the dad reacted with a look that I basically see on Aaron Rodgers' face every time he tries to go out and run Matt LaFleur's offense: Slightly annoyed, but trying to make it work, because he knows their stuck together for the long run.
The problem for the Packers this week is that it's going to be tough to make that offense work and that's because Davante Adams might not be on the field after injuring his toe in Week 4. Normally, that's the kind of injury that would have me thinking about picking the other team, but the Cowboys suffered an equally rough injury on Sunday when they lost left tackle Tyron Smith to a sprained ankle. Although Smith isn't expected to be out long, there's a good chance he'll miss this game.
Trying to replace a wide receiver for one game is a lot easier than trying to replace a left tackle. Although I expect this game to be close, I can't pick against the quarterback who has never lost a game at Jerry World: Aaron Rodgers. Whenever he plays in Dallas, Rodgers morphs into a super version of himself: Not only he is 3-0 all-time in his career, but the Packers have averaged 35.3 points per game in those wins.
With Adams potentially out, I don't think the Packers will quite hit that number, but he'll come close.
The pick: Packers 27-24 over Cowboys
4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)
Point spread: Cowboys, -3.5
Although both of these teams are 3-1, I have on idea if they're actually any good. On the Cowboys' end, I'm not even sure we should count their three wins as actual wins, and that's because they've beaten the 0-4 Commanders, the 0-4 Dolphins and a Giants team that didn't have Daniel F. Dimes starting yet. At best, those games should count as a half win each.
On the Packers' end, they've beaten some slightly better teams, but their offense is still a mess. I once saw a dad get spit-up on by his baby at an airport, and the dad reacted with a look that I basically see on Aaron Rodgers' face every time he tries to go out and run Matt LaFleur's offense: Slightly annoyed, but trying to make it work, because he knows their stuck together for the long run.
The problem for the Packers this week is that it's going to be tough to make that offense work and that's because Davante Adams might not be on the field after injuring his toe in Week 4. Normally, that's the kind of injury that would have me thinking about picking the other team, but the Cowboys suffered an equally rough injury on Sunday when they lost left tackle Tyron Smith to a sprained ankle. Although Smith isn't expected to be out long, there's a good chance he'll miss this game.
Trying to replace a wide receiver for one game is a lot easier than trying to replace a left tackle. Although I expect this game to be close, I can't pick against the quarterback who has never lost a game at Jerry World: Aaron Rodgers. Whenever he plays in Dallas, Rodgers morphs into a super version of himself: Not only he is 3-0 all-time in his career, but the Packers have averaged 35.3 points per game in those wins.
With Adams potentially out, I don't think the Packers will quite hit that number, but he'll come close.
The pick: Packers 27-24 over Cowboys
