Vegas_Cowboy
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Mackey Award winner for best TE in college football.
I would try to trade for Njoku or sign Eifert to compete
with Jarwin. Otherwise bring in a guy like Kendricks or Swaim to backup.
The need was honestly glaring even when he was in the building. He wasn't any good anymore.now that Witten has left the building, TE just seems glaring.
The importance for Dak to have a TE with some thump just seems clear watching Dak for 4 seasons with Witten.Jason had like 65 catches for only 600 yds and 3 TDs.
The need was honestly glaring even when he was in the building. He wasn't any good anymore.
Rounding his total up from 529 to 600 is a little misleading in downplaying his futility. He averaged 8.4 yards per catch. That's pitiful. And not at all hard to replace.
So when I look at positions of importance that are being bandaged on this team..
now that Witten has left the building, TE just seems glaring.
I just do not think signing Jarwin is nearly enough and while he got a 3 year deal, the details of his deal says it's voidable after the first year.
So I want to look at prospects to consider. The importance for Dak to have a TE with some thump just seems clear watching Dak for 4 seasons with Witten.Jason had like 65 catches for only 600 yds and 3 TDs.
With Cobb being gone, that's almost 900 yds.additionally missing.
More is needed.
I already mentioned in another thread about Parham from the XFL.
Let's get started. I will add more or you guys can add as well.
I was doing mock drafts and seen one available in the 7th round. His name is Jake Breeland from Oregon and has huge upside. Needs developing but was used as blocker, used in the slot and all over the offense. I'm going to watch some tape on him later to get a better view of what he can do.Bad draft class to need a TE. I just hope there are some diamonds that need polished in there somewhere.
The need was honestly glaring even when he was in the building. He wasn't any good anymore.
Rounding his total up from 529 to 600 is a little misleading in downplaying his futility. He averaged 8.4 yards per catch. That's pitiful. And not at all hard to replace.
If you look at the pace Geoff Swaim was on in 2018 before his season-ending injury, he was on pace for a season with 46 catches, 430 yards, 9.3 avg, and 1.7 TDs. That's honestly close to Witten's production considering he'd have managed that production on about 30 fewer targets in that scenario. If you extrapolate his production basing it on targets to see what it would look like if we forced him the ball as often as we forced it to Witten, giving him 83 targets? Swaim's numbers would look like this: 67 catches, 627 yards, 2.5 TD, 28 first downs (Witten had 27 first downs in 2019, FYI). Eerily similar to Witten, and better in some ways. That's what Witten's 2019 season was for us. It was like we decided to build an offense around forcing the football to a 2nd or 3rd string TE like Geoff Swaim.
How about Jarwin, though? Well, we could smush together his 2018 and 2019 seasons to arrive at a stat line in which he has 77 targets, which is in the same ballpark as the ludicrous 83 we forced Witten's way last year. How do Jarwin's numbers look with those 77 targets? An easy step up from Witten: 58 catches, 672 yards, 11.6 avg, 6 TD, 36 first downs.
So, we've already easily replaced and upgraded Witten in the starting lineup.
Now, if an even better TE weapon falls in our laps in the draft somewhere? Great. Any improvement over Jarwin would be gravy. And having a backup better than Schultz should also be a priority anyway.
Very definitely.Watched every game he played for the Irish. Man would he look good in a Cowboy uni.
It's not like his numbers last year were an anomaly to explain away. They are what they are. He's been getting worse for awhile.Witten was never fast, and even slower now, obviously.
However his numbers last year were down mostly because he was Dak's safety valve/security blanket and used simply to get some yards to salvage a play that wasn't going to work because the receivers weren't open or the pressure was getting close to Dak. He wasn't probably even the no. 3 option, but since he was nearly always open he got a fair amount of throws.
Guess we'll see if he was able to help Jarwin or Schultz learn how to get equally open, and how he does with the Raiders. Have a hard time believing the Raiders ponied up nearly $5 million for a washed up tight end as an emergency backup or "coach on the field"...
I agree no one is scared of Jarwin at this point and there's room to find a better TE than him.Informative post.
Thanx for doing all that number crunching.
I personally don't dig that stuff. The fantasy guys go that route and they communicate that stuff well.
I just go by how I see and feel. Don't need Google to watch football..just me. Go to the frig for a beer and sandwich is about my speed for extra research.
And rounding Witten's and Cobb's numbers not to mislead but to be quick. Somebody will scream any second I am LYING to make a point. Yikes.
I use one finger to keyboard on my phone, not both hands like the newer generation. So..
I don't see much arguement on Jarwin except to say he just is not a guy that excites me nor does he threaten anybody.
He does not block and I have yet to see him make catches with DBs hanging off him..
not seen him drag 2 or 3 DBs across the GL.
He is usually just standing in an open area where the DBs forgot him.
That does not click my dingle berries much.
Our best QBs always had great TEs to exploit the other team. I will not bore you with whom.
You know what I'm saying. Having to squeeze blood from turnip TEs is a waste of time.
Two years ago, the team was questioning Dak becuz he had no #1 WR, needed one to evaluate him and they got him one in Amari at great expense and he improved.
This year, we are going to see Dak struggle some more.
Why?
Becuz we do not have the QB/TE battery completed.
Aaron Rodgers has knocked us out of 2 huge games recently becuz his TEs took our top off the defense and won heroically. Built somemore of his legend on us as a result.
Philly killed us and bounced us out of the playoffs in 2019 with not WRs, but TEs.
Etc.
Now that is OUR deficiency on defense showing. But it pictures what we lack in not having the right personnel.
So believe what want, tweak and circle numbers..fine.
But I still don't see us being elite until we fix it.
Over to thou.
Otay Buckwheat.I agree no one is scared of Jarwin at this point and there's room to find a better TE than him.
I don't point out that Jarwin's a more effective weapon than Witten to make the case that we've solved the TE position and so now we can put it on cruise control.
I want them to keep turning over stones and improving the TE options. A scenario where Jarwin is back to being relegated to being our #2 TE but this time it's because someone legitimately better than him is our #1? That would be great.
You know..It's not like his numbers last year were an anomaly to explain away. They are what they are. He's been getting worse for awhile.
After a long stretch (2004 through 2014) where he was a bizarrely consistent 11-point-something yards per catch guy, age caught up with him and he started his tumble. He went from getting 11-something per catch to a couple years of 9-something and then a season finally down in the 8's. At which point he accepted he was no longer a good enough player to keep doing this and he retired. But because he was so bad at his post-retirement career pursuit, he came back and his average dipped even lower to 8.4 yards per catch.
I think Jason would've had more value if we stuck to the original plan to limit his snap count. First off, it would've lessened the workload for his body and his slow wheels, so he could pick and choose his spots a bit better and stay fresher. Might've kept his average from falling so pitifully low. Maybe he could've kept it up in the high 8's or even back up into the 9's if he had fresher legs and spent less time fighting with people in a blocking role he's no longer good at anyway. But also, the young TE who should've been starting would have benefited from getting to try on the starting role while he still had Witten around to pick his brain and benefit from his guidance. If we had stuck to the original plan to limit his snaps, I think Witten would've been more effective when he did play and our offense would have benefited from having the better player on the field more.
The Raiders, by the way, have a 27-year old TE who gave them 1100 yards and 12+ yards per catch last year. They have even less use for Witten as a #1 TE than we do.
Which means they signed him because they see what I see, that Witten's actual value--and it's not insubstantial--is almost entirely as a lockerroom leader (so anyone who cares to learn can observe and see how he conducts himself in the gym and in the weight room and in the film room and during practices) who offers guidance for the superior young TE starting ahead of him. And occasionally he gets to get in there as a backup TE in 2-TE packages or heavy goalline packages and see if he can tack on a handful of touchdowns to his career total.
So when I look at positions of importance that are being bandaged on this team..
now that Witten has left the building, TE just seems glaring.
I just do not think signing Jarwin is nearly enough and while he got a 3 year deal, the details of his deal says it's voidable after the first year.
So I want to look at prospects to consider. The importance for Dak to have a TE with some thump just seems clear watching Dak for 4 seasons with Witten.Jason had like 65 catches for only 600 yds and 3 TDs.
With Cobb being gone, that's almost 900 yds.additionally missing.
More is needed.
I already mentioned in another thread about Parham from the XFL.
Let's get started. I will add more or you guys can add as well.