A couple of interesting stats about the matchup with Philly

[Ranched]

Stats? Did someone mention stats?!

 

[zrinkill]

Not gonna matter ....... Eagles will probably choke.

 

[black label]

rush wins

 

[catiii]

Dallas D vs Filthy O line:

 

[noshame]

The problem is how PBWR is calculated. The magic number for holding your block to "win" is 2.5 seconds. If the ball comes out before then, it doesn't count as a win.

this is it, we don't have a deep passing game

 

[CowboysFaninHouston]

Using ESPN's win rate stats, here's what you get:

- Cowboys have the 9th best run block win rate versus the Eagles 29th rated run stop win rate. Good for us.

- Cowboys have the 32nd best pass block win rate versus the Eagles 6th rated pass rush win rate. Terrible for us.

- Cowboys have the 25th best run stop win rate versus the Eagles 7th best run block win rate. Not so good for us.

- Cowboys have the best pass rush win rate in the NFL versus the Eagles 7th rated pass block win rate. Quite the battle here.

It would seem based on this, we need to run the ball and control the clock and keep Rush out of third and longs. That's our own real advantage going by win rates. And on defense, we gotta hope they don't run all over us and that the pass rush lives up to the #1 hype even against a good Eagles pass blocking line.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id...aderboard-win-rate-rankings-top-players-teams

in order for us to win this week, Moore and MM have to shake it up and pass more often on first downs. the game plan is now obvious, run run run run and the goal is to get at least 3 yards. as long as that happens we seem to keep running and put Rush in short passing situations, which makes sense if we are 32nd in pass block win rate, going deeper needs more time and it ain't good for us specially with a team like philly who can rush the passer like they do.

with that said, I expect philly to initially come out and sell out on stopping the run on first downs and force us to be in 2nd and 8 or longer situations. given they have 2 of the top 10 pass rushers and strong up the middle, it will make it difficult for us. the weak link on our Offensive line is Biadasz and given he always has had trouble against stronger DL men, going up against Davis is going to make it a long day for him. will make it difficult to run up the middle and if we go with Zeke, who can't get to the outside and if we can't run on the inside, its going to be playing right into their hands....I hope to see more of Pollard early and often and attack the edges, which with their pass rushers, antsy to get up field, may allow us to take advantage of their aggressiveness. if we stick too long with Zeke, we are going to be in trouble.

so we will either see Dallas force the situation with 2, 3 TE sets, or they need to pass more on first downs and must find some success to force philly to drop more into coverage. Key to the game will be slot WRs and I hope we see CD there more often as he had a lot of success from the slot and is a tough match up. going deep is not Rush's forte and too many outside routes, given his lack of arm strength is going to lead to some Ints. he got bailed out of Washington game with penalties, he may not be so lucky this time around.

so I think our only chance is to be aggressive offensively. this is not a game that will allow us to win being conservative. specially given defenses struggles in stopping the run, philly will probably convert a lot of 3rd downs and probably have a lot more opportunities to score, even if its field goals. subsequently, then it becomes a field position game, given I don't expect us to be able to convert too many 3rd downs and we being pinned down deep in our own end.

 

[Shane612]

There is absolutely no way that Dallas has the leagues worse pass blocking win rate. That is ludicrous. Whatever model they are using is severely broken. Dallas isn’t anywhere close to the bottom of the league in pass blocking. There are some terrible olines out there.

I don't think it's the worse.
I think it's somewhere in the middle, or maybe few spots below.

 

[Shane612]

Maybe it's also based on o-line penalties on passing downs. I know we've had quite a few "holding" penalties.

You hold when you get beat. At least that's what I hear.

 

[charron]

The problem is how PBWR is calculated. The magic number for holding your block to "win" is 2.5 seconds. If the ball comes out before then, it doesn't count as a win.

well that is dumb. it should be a win.

 

[Ranching]

Using ESPN's win rate stats, here's what you get:

- Cowboys have the 9th best run block win rate versus the Eagles 29th rated run stop win rate. Good for us.

- Cowboys have the 32nd best pass block win rate versus the Eagles 6th rated pass rush win rate. Terrible for us.

- Cowboys have the 25th best run stop win rate versus the Eagles 7th best run block win rate. Not so good for us.

- Cowboys have the best pass rush win rate in the NFL versus the Eagles 7th rated pass block win rate. Quite the battle here.

It would seem based on this, we need to run the ball and control the clock and keep Rush out of third and longs. That's our own real advantage going by win rates. And on defense, we gotta hope they don't run all over us and that the pass rush lives up to the #1 hype even against a good Eagles pass blocking line.

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id...aderboard-win-rate-rankings-top-players-teams

That's more than a couple....

 

[Shane612]

this is it, we don't have a deep passing game

If you mean deep passes where the ball travels about 25-30 yards in the air, they've had several of those.

 

[Creeper]

We are the worst in the NFL at pass blocking?

I don't see how. The Cowboys are tied for 10th in sacks allowed with only 9 sacks. Washington has given up 23 already. Indianapolis and the Rams have given up 21. And Rush is not exactly the most elusive QB. He is kind of a statue. So if the Cowboys win rate is so low, you would expect them to give up a lot more sacks.

 

[noshame]

If you mean deep passes where the ball travels about 25-30 yards in the air, they've had several of those.

More like time in the pocket
like 5-6 seconds
We're lucky to get 3-4

 

[Shane612]

More like time in the pocket
like 5-6 seconds
We're lucky to get 3-4

It's hard to hold a block for more than 3 seconds.
Anything more is a luxury that occurs two or three time in a game, even for the top offensive line.

 

[Fmart322]

Stopping Sanders is the key to game for us on Defense IMO. They get him going they will be able to do whatever they want.

Him and hurts