Like every off-season, until the regular season is played, none of us knows how good or not good we will be. At this point we can only speculate based on the info we have.
There are several ways to look at whether or not the Cowboys defense will greatly improve next year against the run:
- HOPE - looking at the players drafted and acquired through FA, can give hope that those new acquisitions will immediately make this defense better. All fans have some level of hope to varying degrees. It’s just what we as fans (fanatics) do.
- WE CAN’T GET MUCH WORSE - last year’s defense was just awful against the run, finishing 29th. It’s hard to get much worse so the odds are decent that with better health and some player additions, improvement happens.
- LUCK - since the DTs we added are 7th round long shots, maybe we get lucky and one of them comes out of nowhere to be an instant upgrade. The odds are long but it’s not impossible.
The things stacked against us regarding improvement are there also:
- NEW SCHEME AND COORDINATOR - Matt Eberflous is the 3rd defensive coordinator in three years and the 9th defensive coordinator since 2000. It’s hard to have a new DC just step in and get instant results.
- HISTORY - the Cowboys have not been good against the run in a very long time. Most teams with great run defense have sunk some high draft capital in several DTs that have hit for them. (The eaglets have two first round DTs in last 5 years, 1 a top 10 pick) JJ and SJ have rarely seemed committed to run defense.
- BAD LUCK - we’ve had our share. Other than Parsons and Osa, maybe Overshown (but hurt all the time) the Cowboys have not had good luck drafting run defenders taken early. Mazi, Taco, Trysten Hill were first or second round busts. Luck has not been great on run defense in recent drafts.
Can we be significantly better against the run next year? Yes. Better meaning “fixed”? Probably going to take more than one year.