After tossing the ping pong back and forth with Nors I found out that top kickers in the game had career percentages in the high 70's for their FGs. Impressive guys were Vinatieri, Elam, Vanderjagt and Wilkins.
They were impressive for a high completion percentage at 50 yds+.
Cundiff has been perfect except for one kick inside the 40. It's very good if you just read it as a stat, but that's not how the game is played. Things are situational and reviewed in game perspective.
The problem with Cundiff's three points is:
First kicks under 40 have to be relatively easy points to compared to any other method of acquiring points. TDs and touchbacks require serious effort. See Jones being turned back three times at the one in the Detroit game for a primary example.
Kicks are made in the methodical fashion with very little variables to worry about when you are kicking in the southern U.S. in a domed/partially domes stadium. The only variables are the rush to block a kick and a bobbled snap, but we all know what the success rate of that is.
I didnt count all the blocks for the year, but what I found for the month of September was it was less than 1 measly %.
This year 85% of kicks inside the 40 were successful. If you exclude four kickers from the stats Edinger, Mare, France and Carney the league average jumps up to 91%. The worst culprit is Edinger who may actually be the worst kicker in the league beside Cortez. Next up are Carney and Mare.
Oddly enough only three kickers have missed from inside the 40 on artificial turf- Lindell, Cundiff and Edinger. The rest of the missed FGs were on grass by kickers who lay in grass stadiums.
What does this mean? If you take away the missed FGs under 40 yards on natural turf then the completion average goes up to a whopping 98%!!!
Cundiff was on turf, kicking a FG that had a extremely high probability of success. It was the 4th quarter. The game was tied. There wasn't alot of offensive success by either side in the last half of the fourth and these were "go ahead" points.
The game situation, the unfolding of the game up to that point, the field conditions and the league average for success dictated that he should have beared down and made this kick.
He didn't and that is the principle for the missed opportunity to take the lead in the game. He would not have won the game for us. There was still four minutes to go and other team members would still be relied upon to contribute to a win, but he had the best opportunity to gain "go ahead" points.
In this league you don't throw those away and hence the common frustration with kickers. If you miss a 58 yarder for the win in the last seconds the guys come up to you and pat you on the head for a good attempt.
If you miss a 38 yarder in a close battle in the last few minutes of the 4th you won't have many friends on the bench. It's the scale of reasonable expectations.