The opening line at Cowboys -4 told me all I need to know about this game.
Coming from gambling(past) experience, this throws up immediate flags. I still cap games for friends to bet on and they usually win more often than not. When I cap and bet on it myself, it usually results in a loss, reason why I stopped....that and a baby girl. But I still like to throw them bones on occasion and here is what I see:
(as a sidenote, I never, ever bet on or against my team, didn't want the bad vibes and rarely cap Cowboy games)
That opening line screams - bet on Dallas. The public sees Dallas as a bad to mediocre team, no way they should be favored, even at home. They will say we are overrated and only a favorite because it is Dallas against another average team. But, here is the problem, it should be Dallas -2, -3 at absolute worst. I used my knowledge of this team(tendencies and trends) and various gambling websites to come to my conclusion.
The way the line moves this week will either confirm or confuse me. If it moves (maybe to Dallas -5/6), then if you do bet, bet on Dallas...big, that would be a 4* play and could be a steam move, depending on when that happens. If the line moves either way shortly before kickoff, that will be the public, ignore it.
If the line goes down to Dallas -2(during the week), Dallas should still cover, but then it is a 2* play, means don't bet as much/not as strong of a play. This is not a trap game, it is an opportunity to make some money against the obvious(public) choice.
I am going to ignore my distaste for the offense for this week and predict Dallas wins, rather handily I might add. We could be looking at a 10-17 point margin here. This should be the week the offense scores some points and looks somewhat normal. Nothing better than some media ire directed towards the team, especially the coaches. They will be ready this Sunday. I think at worse, there could be a backdoor cover but at least the Cowboys would still win in that scenario.
Long story short....Dallas wins and will never be in danger of losing this game
P.S. They don't call this gambling for nothing, it is educated guesses.