Yakuza Rich;3600108 said:
Yes, but if we run the ball a bit more then we can come up with a big play on offense, particularly off of play action. Big plays mean less drives with a lot of plays and less chance to screw up with a penalty.
Penalties have zero correlation statistically to winning football games. I know people try to claim otherwise, but until they can back it up statistically they are just spitballing stuff that's untrue.
We lost because the offense wasn't good enough and we neglected the run which made it tougher for us to hit a big play in the passing game.
This point in bold is a really good one, and I do agree.
Re: the penalties stats. I see that fact mentioned all the time, and I'm sure it's accurate in the aggregate. What I don't know if there's a correlation between the types of penalties that get called and winning and losing. Offsides, and roughing calls on defense, for example, are one thing. But there's no getting around statistically what happens to your likelihood of sustaining a drive when you go from 3rd and 3 to third and 8 or third and 13. And however you want to look at it statistically, we had the game winning play turned over on a penalty in WAS.
Yakuza Rich;3600108 said:
The Roy fumble the game was pretty much out of reach. And all of those turnovers came on.....passing plays.
The game wasn't out of reach at that point.
And WRs fumbling or tipping balls isn't a good reason to not throw the ball. The OC has to be able to expect his WRs to control the football. Tipped balls is another matter, but I have no idea how turnovers/play compare between running plays and passing plays. But, either way, you have to pass and pass effectively to win in the league right now. That means no turnovers.
Yakuza Rich;3600108 said:
Yes, they are important. But so is making big plays in the passing game. Which Dallas did in the Texans game. And it was a lot easier to do when you keep the defense honest then when they know you're going to pass.
Pretty sure the Texans knew we were going to pass against that secondary. It's more likely we were able to run because they knew our passing game would also be effective.
Yakuza Rich;3600108 said:
I've mentioned this before, but every single defensive player and coach I've ever heard talk in the NFL has always said that they need to stop the run. Now I don't think that they are necessarily right, but nor do I feel that they are all completely wrong. There's a reason why they feel this way because if the running game is completely shut down and the opposing team goes to passing the ball, even if they pass it effectively they are still a 1 dimensional team.
We threw the ball *99 times* in the first 2 games and were down by no more than 7 points for 7 out of the 8 quarters of football.
We were on pace to throw the ball 792 times that season and the all time highest amount of attempts were by the Cardinals a few years ago at 670 (and they finished 5-11).
All of our turnovers came on passing plays and most of our penalties on offense came on passing plays. We had a RT that sucks but is a better run blocker than pass protector...yet we threw the ball 48 times that game. Then we get our RT and LG back against the Bears, where the team was within 1 score for most of the game and we threw the ball 51 times.
Throwing the ball that much doesn't equate to winning because usually teams throw the ball that much when they are down and playing catchup. We weren't in catchup mode, yet we still passed like lunatics. The defense also pays the price for staying on the field longer.
YR
No doubt: playing defense is easier when a team is one-dimensional. As long as the run is contained, teams can tee off on the QB and shut down the passing game, which is the key to winning the game.
It's not how often you pass, it's how effectively you pass. Does an effective running game help the passing game? Sure. Does that necessarily mean calling more running plays is what's needed? No. We just need to be effective when we do run. That can happen a number of ways, but, either way, it's not necessarily an indictment of the play calling.
And I want to be clear, just because I don't think the problem is play calling, I'm not excusing Garrett for the problems. He's been OC for too long for this inattention to detail, the mental errors, the lack of quality depth on the OL, and the inopportune penalties not to be an indictment of his coordinating.