Dallas only 2.5 point Favorites on Thursday

[jazzcat22]

When was the last interception?

If our D managed to get even one more turnover the rest of the season, I would be legit stunned.

Those are past games, I look forward to the next game. We played offenses that usually take care of the ball. Bradford can be prone to turnovers.

Plus we get Barry Church back, and he was the last one to get a pick. Now he is back.

Ever seen this before...past performance do not represent future.....

 

[Aven8]

Man, if we lose this game setting up a winner take all in New York for the division..................I have seen this movie before and I don't like the ending.

If we lose to Minny and the Gmen beat the Steelers, then we could actually drop out of first place if we don't take care of business in New York.

13-3 wildcard team, wouldn't that just be a kick to the balls.................Has there ever been a 13-3 wildcard team before?

If that happens that will be most laughable, weakest top seed in history.

 

[Thefeelofcotton]

Odds makers saying Dallas wins by less than a FG.

Meanwhile Dallas is 9-2 against the spread this year, with one tie (NY) and one loss (by .5 points) against Wash.

I think they go 10-2 against the spread this week.

Odds makers give the home team 3 points for "home field advantage" so the spread is really 5.5

 

[Tabascocat]

I don't know how many times we have to go over these gambling stats, it really is a simple concept. As a general rule, the home team gives 3 points; i.e. -3

The home team does NOT get 3 points which would be +3

In this particular game, Dallas is -3 ATM. What does that mean? It means that Vegas thinks Dallas will win by a touchdown or so(on a neutral field) but since the game is in Minny, the line is cut in half to around -3........not the other way to +10. Yes, the Vikings are getting those 3(4) points for being at home but that is factored in afterwords.

Another example, let's say that Dallas sits at 7-4 and kind of shaky. Vegas thinks the Vikings win by a TD on a neutral field, so the betting line would be -10 after you add in the -3 for being at home.

Let's say that these two teams are evenly matched on a neutral field, the line would be a pick'em. But, since Minny is at home, the initial line would be Vikings -3

I know it can be confusing for those who don't gamble or suck at math but don't get caught up in whether or not the home team gets or gives three points. For betting purposes, the home team always starts out at -3 while the visiting team gets +3 and the line is adjusted from there.

Again, this is for gambling only. The home team does get a few points for being on their field but it does not mean that Minny would be +3 at home if they were both evenly matched.

Maybe I made this more confusing for some

 

[JBS]

This game will be easier than our last 3 games we have played. If we don't turn the ball over this game will be a runaway. 10+

If we don't turn the ball over..

Minnesota is good at taking the ball away and good on STs...we do take care of the ball well though..

 

[ufcrules1]

Tell me exactly what I said earlier..this game is going to be tough

It can be but then again we could run away with it too. After all, we are the better team. It's hard to say what will happen. We are certainly the favorites though.

 

[SDCowboy]

Those are past games, I look forward to the next game. We played offenses that usually take care of the ball. Bradford can be prone to turnovers.

Plus we get Barry Church back, and he was the last one to get a pick. Now he is back.

Ever seen this before...past performance do not represent future.....

Jazz, face the facts man...the defense is atrocious. I stand by what I said. If this D even manages one more turnover, I'll be shocked. Heck, if they manage to force a single three and out, it will be a huge.

 

[Sydla]

Odds makers saying Dallas wins by less than a FG.

Meanwhile Dallas is 9-2 against the spread this year, with one tie (NY) and one loss (by .5 points) against Wash.

I think they go 10-2 against the spread this week.

It opened at 2.5 and is now bouncing around 3 to 3.5 with a couple of books showing 4.

Its a pretty solid Cowboys line. Minnesota doesn't really get blown out because of their defense. It's going to be a good game since it's on the road. And as suspect as the D is, Bradford doesn't seem to be the type to exploit that (although he did throw for 300 yards against us last year in Dallas, granted, under a more wide open Chip Kelly system).

 

[jazzcat22]

Jazz, face the facts man...the defense is atrocious. I stand by what I said. If this D even manages one more turnover, I'll be shocked. Heck, if they manage to force a single three and out, it will be a huge.

I didn't say they were great or even good. I am just saying Church is back, and they could get some picks.
fine if you think otherwise, but I do think they will get a few more.

Oh, and Sean Lee did have a pick that will not show up in the stats...he had the pick that denied Washington a 2 point conversion.

 

[SDCowboy]

I didn't say they were great or even good. I am just saying Church is back, and they could get some picks.
fine if you think otherwise, but I do think they will get a few more.

Oh, and Sean Lee did have a pick that will not show up in the stats...he had the pick that denied Washington a 2 point conversion.

Fair enough, man. Hope you're right.

 

[haleyrules]

Vegas spreads are only designed to get people to gamble and have very little to do with how much better one Club may be compared to the other.

 

[haleyrules]

The Cowboys are the better club and should win even on the road. The defense is the only question mark and its doubtful that Bradford to exploit it enough for the upset. If the Vikings win it would be a serious upset.

 

[Sydla]

Vegas spreads are only designed to get people to gamble and have very little to do with how much better one Club may be compared to the other.

Well yes......... and no.

Some lines can tell about the outcome of a game because they are so squirrly. For example, earlier this year, the Vikings were coming off a 5-0 start and heading to Philly to play the Eagles who had imploded on themselves losing to the Skins and Lions. The line opened at like 1.5 for the Vikings. That line was screaming that Vegas thought the Eagles could/would win that game.

 

[cowboyblue22]

i am with the crowd that says if we lose this one its a serious up set

 

[dogunwo]

That line is shocking. The public perception must be a low scoring game. No way Vikings put up enough points to win a high scoring affair. I expect this line to jump dramatically by Thursday as heavy money comes in on Dallas. It will be -4.

 

[Sydla]

That line is shocking. The public perception must be a low scoring game. No way Vikings put up enough points to win a high scoring affair. I expect this line to jump dramatically by Thursday as heavy money comes in on Dallas. It will be -4.

It already is in some books. I suspect it will be 3.5 or so by game time.

 

[JohnsKey19]

If we don't turn the ball over..

Minnesota is good at taking the ball away and good on STs...we do take care of the ball well though..

Yeah. Barring Dallas losing the turnover battle by 2 or more and/or Patterson breaking a long KR/PR, I cant see how Minnesota scores 20 points.

 

[aikemirv]

The Steelers will have a say in setting up the big game in NY. Honestly I see them winning going away against the Giants. The Giants are frauds and the next 5 games will prove it.

I agree with you. They are going to have to play a whole lot better than they have been to get 3 wins in the next 5 games

 

[Beast_from_East]

If NYG is good enough to run the table, including a 2nd win over us, they would've deserved the division title. No chance in h3!! it happens though.

The Minny game is sets up similarly to the Baltimore game. Shaky offense. Not as stout up front but better secondary than Baltimore.

I know the odds are against it, but 20 years of losing has me expecting the worst

 

[LandryFan]

The Steelers will have a say in setting up the big game in NY. Honestly I see them winning going away against the Giants. The Giants are frauds and the next 5 games will prove it.

I want to see Minny lose Thursday night, then win their remaining games...Philly gets their first round pick, and I want that pick to be as bad as possible.