Trust what?
I trust they'll beat up on cupcakes
I trust everyone in here will be growling, and growling, louder and louder with every cupcake they beat. (Not that I'm saying it isn't a skill to consistently beat very bad teams, because it is!)
And I trust they'll do exactly what I predicted 2 weeks ago ago: beat enough cupcakes to rack up a decent record, maybe even get some breaks and get a win or 2 against above average teams.. make it in as a wildcard, possibly go to the divisional round, and then fall flat as a pancake and lose again.
For whatever reason, I think most people in here will consider that success, and envision it leading to something bigger next year, despite the same pattern repeating itself for 30 years. Next year, with a tougher schedule, they'll miss the playoffs entirely
So whether that's considered a good forecast, or a bad forecast, is up to the individual person. But that's what I trust will happen. Groundhog Day.