Verdict
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I hope we draft at #2, but for sure in the top 4. Then have the right frame of mind. Don't rule out getting our franchise QB in the first, if that is what the draft board gives you, but don't force it either.
Realistically, if you draft a first round QB, the odds are he won't be any better than Kellen Moore already is, so it doesn't help your backup position in 2016 by taking a QB in the first round. The odds of getting good QB play out of him in 2017 is pretty good, but not in 2016.
At #4 you look for the next J.J. Watt, Julio Jones, Revis, Keuchly, etc. You don't draft a Brandon Weeden type of talent at QB simply if you think that is the best this class has to offer. It becomes a wasted pick.
Address the back up QB position, but do it in free agency. Look for a guy like Russell Wilson in the 2nd, 3rd or 4th round. We will be drafting high in each round, which is a huge advantage in every round. While you might bust drafting a QB in the 2-4th rounds the bust cost is much less compared with taking a guy in the first.
I think you look for the best value in this draft. If a guy like Julio Jones is there you don't get cute. Just select him. If not, we could probably trade back and still get the best right tackle in this draft, which is an area of need. With the acquired additional pick you could use it to get a very good quality RB, a stud 1 Tech, or a good quality safety. Better yet, if there is no top tier talent available like a Watt or Jones, trade back twice and end up with three Sean Lee caliber players with that single pick.
Sean Lee isn't Luke Keuchly, but three Sean Lee caliber players would go a long way towards filling the holes on this roster with young talent, and you still have the rest of the draft to complete the roster build.
Don't care where they play, just get 7-10 guys who are capable of starting and having a quality NFL career out of this class. That is how championship caliber teams are built.
Realistically, if you draft a first round QB, the odds are he won't be any better than Kellen Moore already is, so it doesn't help your backup position in 2016 by taking a QB in the first round. The odds of getting good QB play out of him in 2017 is pretty good, but not in 2016.
At #4 you look for the next J.J. Watt, Julio Jones, Revis, Keuchly, etc. You don't draft a Brandon Weeden type of talent at QB simply if you think that is the best this class has to offer. It becomes a wasted pick.
Address the back up QB position, but do it in free agency. Look for a guy like Russell Wilson in the 2nd, 3rd or 4th round. We will be drafting high in each round, which is a huge advantage in every round. While you might bust drafting a QB in the 2-4th rounds the bust cost is much less compared with taking a guy in the first.
I think you look for the best value in this draft. If a guy like Julio Jones is there you don't get cute. Just select him. If not, we could probably trade back and still get the best right tackle in this draft, which is an area of need. With the acquired additional pick you could use it to get a very good quality RB, a stud 1 Tech, or a good quality safety. Better yet, if there is no top tier talent available like a Watt or Jones, trade back twice and end up with three Sean Lee caliber players with that single pick.
Sean Lee isn't Luke Keuchly, but three Sean Lee caliber players would go a long way towards filling the holes on this roster with young talent, and you still have the rest of the draft to complete the roster build.
Don't care where they play, just get 7-10 guys who are capable of starting and having a quality NFL career out of this class. That is how championship caliber teams are built.