Early line

jzcowboy

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We are a 6.5 point favorite. O/U is set at 42. So the odds makers see this as a Dallas win, 24-17.
 
odds makers don't care who wins. they care who people are betting on and where the money is being placed so that they can take money out of being in the middle without losing any money...
 
HanD;3598532 said:
odds makers don't care who wins. they care who people are betting on and where the money is being placed so that they can take money out of being in the middle without losing any money...

not sure your point
 
the point is the odd makers don't see this as a dallas win. all they care about is getting bets even on both teams so that they can make money in the middle. it's about them setting a number they think will get equal bets...not about who they think is going to win...
 
HanD;3598670 said:
the point is the odd makers don't see this as a dallas win. all they care about is getting bets even on both teams so that they can make money in the middle. it's about them setting a number they think will get equal bets...not about who they think is going to win...
Let's say Vegas makes the line high to get a 50-50 split from the general public. The sharps will jump in low, forcing Vegas to lower the line. In the end, Vegas has to set it's line where it thinks the end result will be unless it is willing to bet against the sharps, which doesn't happen very often.
 
Skinsmaniac;3598678 said:
Let's say Vegas makes the line high to get a 50-50 split from the general public. The sharps will jump in low, forcing Vegas to lower the line. In the end, Vegas has to set it's line where it thinks the end result will be unless it is willing to bet against the sharps, which doesn't happen very often.
In the end yes, but opening lines are the odds makers prediction. Their best initial effort to get even betting.
 
HanD;3598532 said:
odds makers don't care who wins. they care who people are betting on and where the money is being placed so that they can take money out of being in the middle without losing any money...

Bingo.
 
Skinsmaniac;3598678 said:
Let's say Vegas makes the line high to get a 50-50 split from the general public. The sharps will jump in low, forcing Vegas to lower the line. In the end, Vegas has to set it's line where it thinks the end result will be unless it is willing to bet against the sharps, which doesn't happen very often.

yes lines would move if "the sharps" bet on the low. but it takes a lot of money to move lines..that's why you don't see lines move more than a point or two that often. again, vegas doesn't look at where they think the end result will be of a game, as long as the money is even. they'll move money for where the bets are being placed, not because they think dallas will actually win by 5 or 6. that part is inconsequential to them. they only care about the money.
 
If we don't fully air it out against the Titans, it would be a shame. If Orton had his way, Romo and company should destroy.
 

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