Final 53 prediction by Cowboys Wire

[_sturt_]

Just that his time in KC was far, far less about his talent and more about saving money.

Um. And. The 25 yr old was getting paid approximately the same amount, regardless.

I'll grant you this much, but only this much... there was a potential slight (by NFL standards) payroll downside one year later for Player A that didn't apply to Player B.

So, if Player A and Player B were seen as producing approximately the same, you're right, you go with the player who doesn't have the potential to slightly impact next season's cap situation.

You have to, in return, grant that it shouldn't be a surprise to anyone that a 25 yr old would be clearly superior to a 30 yr old. It shouldn't surprise anyone that a team would provide insight into how they thought the 25 yr old would perform by virtue of having given the 25 yr old a considerable contract--ie, one that is indicative of "we plan to play this guy."

There's something, then, damning about a 25 yr old unable to show himself superior to a 30 yr old when by virtue of the evidence, clearly the expectation was that he would do just that. At best, the evidence allows us to can say he was approximately his equal.

 

[BlindFaith]

Um. And. The 25 yr old was getting paid approximately the same amount, regardless.

I'll grant you this much, but only this much... there was a potential slight (by NFL standards) payroll downside one year later for Player A that didn't apply to Player B.

So, if Player A and Player B were seen as producing approximately the same, you're right, you go with the player who doesn't have the potential to slightly impact next season's cap situation.

You have to, in return, grant that it shouldn't be a surprise to anyone that a 25 yr old would be clearly superior to a 30 yr old. It shouldn't surprise anyone that a team would provide insight into how they thought the 25 yr old would perform by virtue of having given the 25 yr old a considerable contract--ie, one that is indicative of "we plan to play this guy."

There's something, then, damning about a 25 yr old unable to show himself superior to a 30 yr old when by virtue of the evidence, clearly the expectation was that he would do just that. At best, the evidence allows us to can say he was approximately his equal.

You're way over analyzing this. Hes here for 1mil. If he looks good, we keep him at a bargain. If he stinks, we pick up 1 of soon to be many cut running backs.