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Patriots favored 3-to-1 for Super Bowl XLII

Bob Matthews
staff columnist


(May 3, 2007) — You probably won't be shocked to learn that the New England Patriots are the post-draft favorite to win Super Bowl XLII. No other team has improved nearly as much since the end of last season. But 3-to-1 is a surprisingly short price. The defending champion Indianapolis Colts are 7-to-1.

One of the most frustrating things about being a Buffalo Bills fan is that New England also is in the AFC East.

Here are the odds, courtesy of BetUS.com

Patriots 3-to-1
San Diego 13-to-2
Colts 7-to-1
Denver 12-to-1
Carolina 16-to-1
Chicago 18-to-1
Cincinnati 18-to-1
Baltimore 20-to-1
Jacksonville 20-to-1
Seattle 20-to-1
New Orleans 20-to-1
Philadelphia 22-to-1
Dallas 25-to-1
Pittsburgh 25-to-1
New York Giants 30-to-1
San Francisco 30-to-1
Arizona 35-to-1
Atlanta 40-to-1
Houston 40-to-1
New York Jets 40-to-1
Tennessee 40-to-1
Washington 40-to-1
Miami 45-to-1
Tampa Bay 45-to-1
Green Bay 55-to-1
Kansas City 60-to-1
St. Louis 60-to-1
Minnesota 85-to-1
Buffalo 90-to-1
Detroit 90-to-1
Cleveland 95-to-1
Oakland 120-to-1

I won't suggest that the Bills have a chance to win Super Bowl XLII, but I believe they should be rated ahead of several teams with lower odds (including the Texans, Jets, Dolphins and Packers).

Most tempting odds — Patriots (3-to-1 is a short price, but the roster is long on talent; Tom Bradycould pass for 5,000-plus yards); Colts (7-to-1; generous odds on the defending champions); Saints (20-to-1; they have the offensive talent to outscore any opponent); Cowboys (25-to-1; I believe Wade Phillips will get more out of the team than the Tuna did).

Least tempting odds — 49ers (30-to-1; they're getting better but are not ready to win a Super Bowl); Giants (30-to-1; no way without Tiki Barber and with Eli Manning); Texans (40-to-1; why would anyone think they're better than Buffalo?); Miami (45-to-1; if Trent Green is your QB savior, the Super Bowl isn't your promised land); Green Bay (55-to-1; the team doesn't look any better than last season, and Brett Favre is a year older); Browns (95-to-1; c'mon); Raiders (wouldn't be a bargain at 1,200-to-1).
 

Eddie

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Where can I throw down my wager? Vegas? I'm in.

Cowboys all the way. ha ha
 

ENGCowboy

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Id take the Bears unfortunately but at 18-1 thats good odds with Grossman finally having someone to throw to short and across the middle, Lovie Smith will have them fighting hard in every game and that defense will hardly concede any points all season. Weve gotta go throught Chicago to get a shot at SB.

But hey Im an optimist BRING IT ON !!!
 

Alexander

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The Jacksonville odds are amazing to me. I don't understand it at all.
 

Juke99

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An AFC team like Denver is a BAD bet.

Problem is, an AFC team (other than the two top ones, Pats and Colts) has to fight their way though a tougher conference. So a good gamble would be the top rated NFC team other than a team like the Broncos because you've got a better chance they'll make it through their conference and then have an underdogs chance at the SB.

That's why I think Dallas is, in fact, a good bet.

Good odds at 25-1...easier conference...so there's a much better chance that they'll get to the SB than a team like Denver.

Once they're in it, they have a shot.
 

Alexander

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Juke99;1487684 said:
An AFC team like Denver is a BAD bet.

Not unless Cutler is actually better than he looked.

I don't see where they are going to be more than their usual. Do okay, then go to Indianapolis and get drawn and quartered.
 

mmillman

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I like seeing the Cleveland odds. Cleveland plays at Oakland 9/23 that game may determine who gets the first pick.
 

YosemiteSam

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CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
Commanders, Yankees and Lakers couldn't do it. What makes him think the Patriots can do it? (buy a championship)
 

Hostile

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mmillman;1487761 said:
I like seeing the Cleveland odds. Cleveland plays at Oakland 9/23 that game may determine who gets the first pick.
Isn't that hilarious to think about? That a September game may determine the overall #1 pick.
 

kTXe

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Carolina with the fifth best odds? Really? That team went 8-8 last year, and unless I am missing something, didn't do anything crazy this offseason to improve the team. I wouldn't be surprised if they don't break .500 again this year.
 

Juke99

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Alexander;1487687 said:
Not unless Cutler is actually better than he looked.

I don't see where they are going to be more than their usual. Do okay, then go to Indianapolis and get drawn and quartered.

Pretty much.

that's why I singled them out.

How the Broncos are a 12-1...and the Cowboys are a 25-1 is beyond me...

First off, they aren't a better team than the Cowboys AND they have to get through a tougher conference to get to the SB.
 

SultanOfSix

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3-1 to one is ridiculous.

I don't even think the previous SB champion should get those odds. I wonder what the odds were for the 'Boys after the '92 SB title.
 

visionary

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i will go on record right now to say that the pats will not win the SB.
 

joseephuss

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ENGCowboy;1487665 said:
Id take the Bears unfortunately but at 18-1 thats good odds with Grossman finally having someone to throw to short and across the middle, Lovie Smith will have them fighting hard in every game and that defense will hardly concede any points all season. Weve gotta go throught Chicago to get a shot at SB.

But hey Im an optimist BRING IT ON !!!

I see the Bears taking a step back. They are still in a weak division, but I just can't see Grossman improving. The are also relying on Cedric Benson since Thomas Jones is gone. They won't get homefield advantage this year.
 

joseephuss

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Alexander;1487666 said:
The Jacksonville odds are amazing to me. I don't understand it at all.

I agree. They don't even know which QB will be starting and they get the Colts twice a year. The good part is they get the Texans and Titans twice a year with Tennessee likely to take a step backwards this season.
 

adamknite

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Patriots 3-to-1
San Diego 13-to-2
Colts 7-to-1
Denver 12-to-1
Carolina 16-to-1
Chicago 18-to-1
Cincinnati 18-to-1
Baltimore 20-to-1
Jacksonville 20-to-1
Seattle 20-to-1
New Orleans 20-to-1
Philadelphia 22-to-1
Dallas 25-to-1

Just have two quick comments. Why is Carolina always near the top of one of these lists? Second of all I love how 4 teams are ranked ahead of us when they didn't even make the playoffs last year, 3 of which are in a tougher conference.

I'm suprised Tennessee isn't in the top 10 :rolleyes:
 

tomson75

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25-1?! Might have to drop a bill or two on that...daddy needs some new socks.
 

EMMITTnROY

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I'm not a betting man.. I've never done the Vegas or casino thing or even the lottery.. Sure, I'll bet my dad or my buddy 2 or 3 bucks on a Cowboys game, but that's about it..

But 25-1? For as good as the Cowboys are gonna be this year, in my opinion, I am seriously thinking about putting $20 down.. If they do win it, I win $500 and if not, hey, I'm only out $20 and it would add a new element of watching the games this year and be something fun to talk about.. I really think I might do it..

Oh, and I like that our odds are sorta low.. Means that we aren't being taken too seriously and we will surprise a lot of people..
 

Hostile

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EMMITTnROY;1487964 said:
I'm not a betting man.. I've never done the Vegas or casino thing or even the lottery.. Sure, I'll bet my dad or my buddy 2 or 3 bucks on a Cowboys game, but that's about it..

But 25-1? For as good as the Cowboys are gonna be this year, in my opinion, I am seriously thinking about putting $20 down.. If they do win it, I win $500 and if not, hey, I'm only out $20 and it would add a new element of watching the games this year and be something fun to talk about.. I really think I might do it..

Oh, and I like that our odds are sorta low.. Means that we aren't being taken too seriously and we will surprise a lot of people..
My thinking exactly.
 
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