Is this a trick question or should we bust out the calculator? He’s either running as fast or faster as he used to or he is slower.
My point in listing the disparity of those speeds is to demonstrate that a lower-recorded miles-per-hour on a football field is not necessarily indicative that a player has become athletically slower. Seems a lot of y'all don't understand what happens to NFL athletes once they're drafted out of college, where no matter how good they were, no matter matter how in-shape, they could never achieve the same level of athleticism as they do once becoming professional athletes.
Most college players haven't even finished physically maturing until 2-3 years
after they're drafted (humans are fully grown around 25-years-old), and in college had, you know, "college" to focus on --classes, tests, papers, projects. It's not until they get to the NFL that working-out becomes their full-time job and they reshape their bodies into professional athletes.
Between natural physical maturation & the world-class strength and conditioning programs these guys get into as NFL Players, virtually every one of them becomes bigger, faster, stronger, and better --athletically-- across the board. Starters tend to improve --physically-- for the first 2-3 years of their careers; and then their knowledge of the game coincides with their enhanced physical ability & that's a big reason why promising young players are said to have "bright futures", because in a few years they should be even better than when they're drafted, superior athletes who have learned the nuances of the game & can put it all together.
Which is why I'm scoffing at the notion here that Zeke, or Fournette, have "lost speed" since their rookie years. No, they haven't, even if the circumstances that allowed them to hit the right runway to record those top-speeds hasn't been present since. That, too, is the nature of football.
Anybody remember how
DYNAMIC Julius Jones looked in
his rookie season, when defenses had no film on him? Only to then come out and be unable to replicate his initial success. Why? Was it because he was suddenly less of an athlete? Lost speed, strength, or agility?
No.
He just had a limited skill-set that got figured out by year-2 and it became harder to gain yards against well-prepared defenses. Anyone could see how much
fitter Julius was in his second season. No matter, he never broke long, fast runs like he had in his rookie year ever* again.
*(that's not true, he did have two more dominant runs in his career; Saints, Panthers)
It
wasn't because he was slower, as many in this thread keep trying to theorize is the case with Zeke. Rather, there were a number of factors inherent to the game of professional football that conspired to make those lanes, those runways, and that success less attainable, despite Julius being a
superior athlete to his rookie self in season-2.
Ezekiel Elliott turned 24-years-old less than two-months ago. This is a
young man, who may not yet even be fully matured as an athlete, which every report available to the public attests is in the best shape of his life. He's playing 2019 at a
lighter weight than he came in as a rookie, and much more finely-tuned.
He's been in an NFL strength-&-conditioning program for three-straight-seasons.
I guarantee you that if 2019 lined up alongside 2016 Ezekiel Elliott, he'd edge him in a race.
--even if
Next Gen Stats hasn't recorded him achieving a maximum velocity on the football field as fast as his rookie-self once managed. That result is circumstantial in nature, not athletic.
Physically, this is the best Zeke we've ever seen. If the opportunity arises for Zeke to hit an alleyway and totally turn on the jets, I suspect you'll see his speed recorded above
21mph again, depending on the circumstances, & that it will take a
very fast man to run him down from behind.