jday
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I find it fascinating that people still doubt the 2016 iteration of the Dallas Cowboys. I look at what they did in 2014. I look at what happened in 2015. I look at what they did to address weaknesses in the offseason, both via Free Agency and the Draft. And I cannot help but be absolutely ecstatic about the potential these Cowboys have this year. But when I stand up to say “Yay, the Cowboys are going to be watchable again” I do so to the chorus of “where’s our pass rush” “whose our backup QB, cause you know Romo can’t play 16 games, much less 19” and “we are going to have to average 30 point a game to account for that defense and post a winning record” etc, etc, etc. It is as though these Cowboys, who I believe will win the East handedly, are hiding their potential in plain sight. If you subscribe to any of the negative chants listed above, the following likely won’t change your mind, but you will at the very least be somewhat entertained…I think…no promises, of course.
The concept of football is simple; the schematic approach to how a coach wins is often not. But people have a tendency to make the concept far more complicated than it needs to be. Regardless of scheme, an offensive coordinator’s job is to force a defense into being proactive as opposed to reactive. The moment an offense forces a defense to be proactive they own them; they can essentially do whatever they want provided they have the tools to take advantage. The Cowboys, if anything, have the tools to seriously hurt any team in the NFL that takes a preemptive approach to taking away weapons.
For example, early in the season you can expect the typical blanket opposing defenses like to put over Witten and Dez, for what should be by now obvious reasons. However, the moment Zeke proves he can hurt a team and not just by moving the chains but by also taking it to the house from any point on the field, defenses will have to account for him; safeties will creep up into the box in an effort to shut him down. When you see defenses start creeping up, you can expect the Cowboys will switch gears and could very well pull away in the game…and keep the window for comeback closed as they stack touchdowns on top of touchdowns.
I’m not blowing anyone’s mind with that; I’m sure….that’s pretty basic stuff, right? I suspect what most people disregard or forget is just how rare it is to have an offense that stocked with talent. Romo/Dez/Witten/Williams/Beasley/the entire offensive line/and now what looks to be the most dynamic RB duo in the league – Zeke and Morris. I’m not disregarding Dunbar and Jackson, they will clearly have a role, as well; but there are only so many balls to go around in a football game and I doubt they will at any point be featured unless the Cowboys have a really bad string of misfortune. I am disregarding DMac because I doubt he will be on the final 53.
In today’s modern NFL, that is what it is all about. Force a defense to respect one or the other aspect of your offense and then hit them where it hurts repeatedly. Regardless of how you accomplish it, that is the overall goal of any offense in the NFL. And the Cowboys are better equipped to take advantage then probably 90% (possibly more, but I’ll error on the side of caution with my made-up percentages) of the league. That is the truth of the Cowboys that is apparently hidden in plain sight. The defense-wins-championship crowd refuses to see it because they believe you only win a championship with a championship caliber defense; never mind all the high-powered offenses that have won Super Bowl’s since the Super Bowl came into being (Saints cough cough Patriots cough cough Colts cough cough). So, if that is your stance, once again, I get it, I’m probably not going to change your mind, but just the same I will remind you there is more than one way to skin a cat. And since I hate cats, any way you do it is fine by me.
There has been a growing movement amongst the football watching world as of late that suggest passing efficiency is the most important stat when measuring the effectiveness of an offense overall. This crusade particularly gained steam when the Cowboys opted to draft Ezekiel Elliott with their first pick, rather than adhere to what many consider to be prevailing wisdom; which would have entailed either drafting Ramsey or trading back, pick up extra picks and drafting anything but a running back…preferably something on defense, because anything has to be better than what we already have…right? Afterall, DMac posted the fourth best running average in 2015, despite an otherwise down year for the offense as a whole…no reason to assume he could not duplicate those results…for the exception of potential injury and the fact that he really is not an ideal fit in the ZBS (Zone Blocking Scheme).
There very well may be truth to that, however, much to my chagrin, some have taken that belief a step further and assumed as a result that the running game and running back simply doesn’t matter…so long as you have an efficient passing game. That’s like saying the egg doesn’t matter, so long as you have the chicken. Or, the bullet doesn’t matter, so long as you have the gun.
Or I could put it like this. Attempting to build an effective passing game without an effective running game is like trying to build a skyscraper without scaffolding, with one exception – once the passing game is built and established, you are still going to want to run the ball. Why? To control the clock, ware down the opposing defense, and a handoff is the safest quarterback to player exchange available; after all, coaching a football game at any level can be described in many ways, but none more succinct than Risk Mitigation. You factor the risk involved with any given decision or play call, consider the tool’s (players) you have to get the job done, take in consideration team-specific-precedence (e.g. never, ever, ever, ever, ever punt to Tom Brady with time left in regulation and equal to or less than a touchdown lead…ever, ever, ever) and decide which option has the best odds of being successful. If a coach has a running game they can count on, play calling of a sudden becomes very simple.
So understand, I’m not saying passing efficiency is a useless stat; I’m merely pointing out that it can be very misleading. It’s very difficult to establish a good passing game with a good passing game. You don’t setup an uppercut with an uppercut. You set the uppercut up with the jab. In the NFL it can work both ways, which I fully expect the Cowboys to do throughout the season. Some games they will open up the pass using the run. In other games they may use the pass to setup the run. This will largely depend on what the defense attempts to take away from the outset. And to the veteran eyes of Romo and company, he will know before he takes the first snap exactly what the defense is attempting to take away; Romo read’s defenses like you are reading this…unless you are a slow reader...than he is a better reader of defenses than you are of words…
I understand our pass rush and run stopping may suffer. But one thing of note, before I stick a fork in my Friday Night Special: I see a lot of the Cowboys games playing out just like the first half against the Rams. Offenses will move the ball on this team. No question about it. But at the end of the day what really matters is the scoreboard. So while the Rams seemingly moved the ball with ease on the back of their running game last Saturday night, for some odd reason only one drive accompanied with all of those rushing yards translated to points in the first half. Therein, once again, is the issue I have with many people who are down on the defenses ability to shut down offenses. We don’t need them to shut them down. We just need our defense to reduce the opposition to bringing Field Goals to a Touchdown fight…that’s a fight these Cowboys can win.
Thoughts?
The concept of football is simple; the schematic approach to how a coach wins is often not. But people have a tendency to make the concept far more complicated than it needs to be. Regardless of scheme, an offensive coordinator’s job is to force a defense into being proactive as opposed to reactive. The moment an offense forces a defense to be proactive they own them; they can essentially do whatever they want provided they have the tools to take advantage. The Cowboys, if anything, have the tools to seriously hurt any team in the NFL that takes a preemptive approach to taking away weapons.
For example, early in the season you can expect the typical blanket opposing defenses like to put over Witten and Dez, for what should be by now obvious reasons. However, the moment Zeke proves he can hurt a team and not just by moving the chains but by also taking it to the house from any point on the field, defenses will have to account for him; safeties will creep up into the box in an effort to shut him down. When you see defenses start creeping up, you can expect the Cowboys will switch gears and could very well pull away in the game…and keep the window for comeback closed as they stack touchdowns on top of touchdowns.
I’m not blowing anyone’s mind with that; I’m sure….that’s pretty basic stuff, right? I suspect what most people disregard or forget is just how rare it is to have an offense that stocked with talent. Romo/Dez/Witten/Williams/Beasley/the entire offensive line/and now what looks to be the most dynamic RB duo in the league – Zeke and Morris. I’m not disregarding Dunbar and Jackson, they will clearly have a role, as well; but there are only so many balls to go around in a football game and I doubt they will at any point be featured unless the Cowboys have a really bad string of misfortune. I am disregarding DMac because I doubt he will be on the final 53.
In today’s modern NFL, that is what it is all about. Force a defense to respect one or the other aspect of your offense and then hit them where it hurts repeatedly. Regardless of how you accomplish it, that is the overall goal of any offense in the NFL. And the Cowboys are better equipped to take advantage then probably 90% (possibly more, but I’ll error on the side of caution with my made-up percentages) of the league. That is the truth of the Cowboys that is apparently hidden in plain sight. The defense-wins-championship crowd refuses to see it because they believe you only win a championship with a championship caliber defense; never mind all the high-powered offenses that have won Super Bowl’s since the Super Bowl came into being (Saints cough cough Patriots cough cough Colts cough cough). So, if that is your stance, once again, I get it, I’m probably not going to change your mind, but just the same I will remind you there is more than one way to skin a cat. And since I hate cats, any way you do it is fine by me.
There has been a growing movement amongst the football watching world as of late that suggest passing efficiency is the most important stat when measuring the effectiveness of an offense overall. This crusade particularly gained steam when the Cowboys opted to draft Ezekiel Elliott with their first pick, rather than adhere to what many consider to be prevailing wisdom; which would have entailed either drafting Ramsey or trading back, pick up extra picks and drafting anything but a running back…preferably something on defense, because anything has to be better than what we already have…right? Afterall, DMac posted the fourth best running average in 2015, despite an otherwise down year for the offense as a whole…no reason to assume he could not duplicate those results…for the exception of potential injury and the fact that he really is not an ideal fit in the ZBS (Zone Blocking Scheme).
There very well may be truth to that, however, much to my chagrin, some have taken that belief a step further and assumed as a result that the running game and running back simply doesn’t matter…so long as you have an efficient passing game. That’s like saying the egg doesn’t matter, so long as you have the chicken. Or, the bullet doesn’t matter, so long as you have the gun.
Or I could put it like this. Attempting to build an effective passing game without an effective running game is like trying to build a skyscraper without scaffolding, with one exception – once the passing game is built and established, you are still going to want to run the ball. Why? To control the clock, ware down the opposing defense, and a handoff is the safest quarterback to player exchange available; after all, coaching a football game at any level can be described in many ways, but none more succinct than Risk Mitigation. You factor the risk involved with any given decision or play call, consider the tool’s (players) you have to get the job done, take in consideration team-specific-precedence (e.g. never, ever, ever, ever, ever punt to Tom Brady with time left in regulation and equal to or less than a touchdown lead…ever, ever, ever) and decide which option has the best odds of being successful. If a coach has a running game they can count on, play calling of a sudden becomes very simple.
So understand, I’m not saying passing efficiency is a useless stat; I’m merely pointing out that it can be very misleading. It’s very difficult to establish a good passing game with a good passing game. You don’t setup an uppercut with an uppercut. You set the uppercut up with the jab. In the NFL it can work both ways, which I fully expect the Cowboys to do throughout the season. Some games they will open up the pass using the run. In other games they may use the pass to setup the run. This will largely depend on what the defense attempts to take away from the outset. And to the veteran eyes of Romo and company, he will know before he takes the first snap exactly what the defense is attempting to take away; Romo read’s defenses like you are reading this…unless you are a slow reader...than he is a better reader of defenses than you are of words…
I understand our pass rush and run stopping may suffer. But one thing of note, before I stick a fork in my Friday Night Special: I see a lot of the Cowboys games playing out just like the first half against the Rams. Offenses will move the ball on this team. No question about it. But at the end of the day what really matters is the scoreboard. So while the Rams seemingly moved the ball with ease on the back of their running game last Saturday night, for some odd reason only one drive accompanied with all of those rushing yards translated to points in the first half. Therein, once again, is the issue I have with many people who are down on the defenses ability to shut down offenses. We don’t need them to shut them down. We just need our defense to reduce the opposition to bringing Field Goals to a Touchdown fight…that’s a fight these Cowboys can win.
Thoughts?