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I think this team is probably a 9 win team on talent alone, but Garrett will find a way to blow 2 games that mathematically are almost impossible to lose.
(for those that don't get the math reference, a supercomputer determined that we had a 99% chance to win both the Green Bay and Detroit games)..............we lost both.........LOL
So I am going 7-9 after adjusting for the "Garrett factor".
Not a lot of teams winning their divisions and going to the playoffs with the worst defense in the league these days. Good luck making the case that the issue is the HC, instead.
That said, we're worse on defense right now than we were at the start of last season. Hard to say if we're worse than we were at the end of last season. Probably not. But then, probably not that much better, either.
It's too soon to say, no matter what. We're still missing more than one eventual starter on defense and several key role players on both sides of the ball. So is everybody we'll be playing. This is a question that can't be answered until training camp.