Hurricane Ida

Runwildboys

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This one is poised to be a massive killing storm, and it's going to crash into Louisiana soon. I wish they got this one as wrong as they got the one here last week, but it looks like the winds could be over 100 mph when it makes landfall.

I wish everyone in its path the best of luck!
 

DallasEast

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My Ponderosa is near the Arkansas line of northeastern Louisiana. The current projected track of the eyewall makes its closest approach 110 miles south/southeast around Natchez, Mississippi early Monday.

Hurricanes are freakishly big. We are hundreds of miles from the Gulf coast with tropical storm warnings that may last into late Monday.

I want to say we may be counted as lucky being on the western side of this thing but it is just wrong to do so when folks on the east/northeastern side will bear the brunt of the worst weather.

Katrina tracked mainly through central Mississippi. Ida will try hugging the Mississippi River as long as possible. I still remember how hard Jackson, Mississippi got hit that far inland with Katrina. And Jackson is almost directly west of us. They were hit almost straight on though.

Humans should stop messing with Mother Nature.
 

Montanalo

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This one is poised to be a massive killing storm, and it's going to crash into Louisiana soon. I wish they got this one as wrong as they got the one here last week, but it looks like the winds could be over 100 mph when it makes landfall.

I wish everyone in its path the best of luck!
Our grandkids (10 and 11) and their family live near Houma which is under mandatory evacuation. We've been unable to reach them today by cell phone - I suppose it is the result of extremely high call volume. They were headed northwest out of the path of the winds.
 

Runwildboys

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Our grandkids (10 and 11) and their family live near Houma which is under mandatory evacuation. We've been unable to reach them today by cell phone - I suppose it is the result of extremely high call volume. They were headed northwest out of the path of the winds.
Best of luck to them! I'm sure you'll hear from them soon!
 

CouchCoach

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Latest has a slight shift to the East which will put hurricane force winds over both Baton Rouge and New Orleans, It is still expected to be a 4 when it makes landfall with category 2 hitting Baton Rouge.

It has sustained the same winds for several hours and not increased and is still moving at a clip of 16mph, which is the best thing for flooding. That's what hammered Houston, the hurricane actually slowed down to 0 mph and just hung over the entire area.

Impressive how accurately they can predict the models now. In the late 80's, they weren't that good and Juan came ashore in a direct line for Baton Rouge, then backed off into the gulf, strengthened and came back in for a second shot. That, was definitely different.

Good thoughts out to the folks in the path of this and hope everyone took the warnings and evac advice seriously. Sometimes, these climatologists and meteorologists get it right.
 

DallasEast

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Good to see and I imagine those images of Tennessee last week are still fresh in the minds of a lot of Louisiana folks. The speed at which that water rose was mind boggling.
I feel for folks in Tennessee. Ida's track has it hitting their state as a tropical depression or a low pressure system still capable of producing a significant amount of rainfall.
 

triplets_93

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Ida is forecast to hit the industrial corridor between Baton Rouge and New Orleans, site of three key ports, petrochemical sites, and a nuclear power plant.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/...a-a-significant-threat-to-key-infrastructure/

New Orleans’ impossible situation

A mandatory evacuation was issued for portions of New Orleans outside of their levee system on Friday, and a voluntary evacuation for inside the levee system. However, no mandatory evacuation was ordered for the city because officials judged there was insufficient time to set up contraflow, having all lanes of traffic converted to lead out of town.

Many have criticized this decision, but New Orleans found itself in an impossible situation: the city needs a full 72 hours to fully evacuate, and making reliable intensity forecasts that far in advance is very difficult. We will have to accept New Orleans’ vulnerability to major hurricanes unless tens of billions are spent to upgrade the city’s defenses to category 5 capability. As discussed in yesterday’s post, there is reason to be optimistic that New Orleans’ levee system will withstand Ida’s storm surge: The 7-11′ surge predicted for the city is below the maximum surge that Hurricane Isaac of 2012 brought.
 

Runwildboys

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Who is this guy? What are his credentials? I don't know if he's any better or worse than the nationally televised meteorologists, and that's exactly why I wouldn't trust his word. Last I saw, Ida was supposed to lose strength, then gain strength again, once it made landfall. Maybe that forecast has changed, and I certainly hope so, but if I was near the path of that storm, I'd be watching the Weather Channel.
 
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