Here's my thoughts on Green Bay: They barely even faced a winning team this year outside of Seattle, Detroit, New England, Miami, and Philly. They lost once to Detroit, lost to Seattle, beatdown Philly, and scraped by New England and Miami. As for losing teams they faced, they were dominated by New Orleans in all phases, nearly lost against the Jets, nearly lost against the Vikings, nearly lost against Atlanta (Falcons put up 37 on their D), and lost against Buffalo.
Now, let's look at the strengths of the Green Bay team, or supposed strengths: They have the 10th ranked pass defense. But what QB's did they go up against this year? The elite, they went up against Brady and Brees; Brady had a good game passing with 230 yards and a pair of TDs, Brees put up over 300 yards on them and 3 TDs. The good QBs, they went up against Ryan and Stafford, Ryan had nearly 400 yards passing and 4 TDs. Outside of the QBs I named, those were the only big time QBs they faced, with Tannehill bordering on good/average. So, when you put things into context, I'm not sure we are looking at a great pass defense. Every big time QB they have faced they struggled against.
We also know their strength is Rodgers, and Rodgers will be Rodgers. He may not even throw an INT in this game, what we have to hope for is a tipped ball at the line like we did with Stafford. But Rodgers will get his yards and put it in the end zone a couple times. We need turnovers by forcing fumbles.
You then have their weakness that benefits us, they are 23rd against the run. Murray is going to find a lot of holes in this game, I'm hearing that Hawk is slower than slow this year and their defensive line isn't very stout. Hopefully Randle is able to be used in this game because I think he could be dangerous and take one to the house later on in the game.
So yeah, I really do feel better about this game. I think people focus a little too much on Rodgers, and for good reason, he's one of the best. But this is the playoffs, everyone has to show up, and I'm not sure the Packers are as talented as their rankings show.