On a 50/50 ball, I'd agree with you. Not into double coverage. That 2nd pick was one of the few bad decisions we've seen Dak make this whole season, though. But it was a bad decision, for sure.
If it was first or second down...absolutely bad decision. If we needed 7 or 10 yards...bad decision.
I look at the odds like this:
-40% chance he catches it and almost a sure TD on the play or right after
-40% chance it's incomplete
-15% chance it's the equivalent of a fumble
-5% chance it's intercepted and returned +30 yards
A completion of 8 or 10 yards just leads to a punt anyway! That play doesn't earn criticism but doesn't help earn a win.
The play looks so lame *only because* Dez never even saw the ball. On any pass play if the receiver doesn't see the ball...bad things will happen.
How does Dez not even look?