Also notice the inefficiency on 2nd down runs.
https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...rst-down-efficiency-dak-prescott-offense-2023
Looking over this data, it’s clear the Cowboys, who finished third in the league in scoring in 2022, had serious problems on first down, running the ball at a clip higher than almost anyone in the league and falling significantly below league average in each efficiency category on first down. This put them in poor positions, and forced the quarterback, Dak Prescott, to be a hero on second and third downs in order to convert a new set of downs.
This is illustrated by Dak’s air yards per attempt numbers (and rank among QBs w/ 100 plays of each down):
- 1st down: 6.3 (27th)
- 2nd down: 7.8 (7th)
- 3rd down: 11.3 (2nd)
If Mike McCarthy can put a heavier emphasis on first down in 2023, and the Cowboys can improve their ability to generate positive results early in a series. It will make them a more consistent and explosive unit.
Oh, and the last time Mike McCarthy called plays for an NFL team, the 2018
Green Bay Packers finished seventh in EPA per play and third in success rate on first down, while passing on first down at the second highest rate in the league. So he’s done it before.