Green Bay's schedule is soft as Charmin.
Lions, Bears, Vikes, Rams at Lambeau, only real tough one is at Baltimore.
They probably dont lose more than one more game unfortunately, so this talk of #1 seed is probably just wishful thinking. Our realistic goal should be to get either #2 or #3 seed, we dont want #4 seed and have to play the NFC West runner up, most likely the Rams in the first round.
If the Cowboys can perform well against the Chiefs, the Saints, WFT and the Cardinals then we have the inside track to a tiebreaker at 13-4.
Cardinals would have to win out if they lose to us which most likely does not happen. The Packers still have to play Rams and Ravens and so a good chance of 1 loss between those 2 teams. Then they have to play Minn twice which is a tough division opponent. Maybe a loss there.
If Packers and Cowboys both finish at 13-4 with then it’s common opponents.
In this scenario Packers would be 3-3 against common opponents (Wash, Saints, Cards, Chiefs, Minn). Even if Dallas dropped 2 games against these 5 teams Dallas would have the tiebreaker.
in this scenario Dallas can lose two more and still get the #1 seed.
At any rate I think this is a lot more possible than finishing 14-3.
I think the race for #1 is already thinning.
it should be noted in an interesting scenario where Dallas, Green Bay and the Bucs all finish at 13-4 then pretty much the same things stand as mentioned above, with the Tampa Dallas head to head tie breaker being thrown out and going to common opponents which in this case are still the Saints and Washington. So those 3 remaining games would be crucial to the three way tiebreaker