I was wondering if anyone knows statistics of recent ACL surgeries for young players like Jaylon Smith.
Obviously, the concern is the ACL injury may rob him of some speed and quickness, despite how hard he rehabs. One of his calling cards is his 4.4 speed, obviously...
I know a lot of people think the ligament part is now trivial, but was curious about these stats.
Would appreciate if we stay on topic for ACL recovery assuming Jaylon's nerve fully recovers, but not about Jaylon's nerve recovery. Thanks.
I guess the poster child for ACL recovery would have to be Adrian Peterson. He had the second best rushing total ever, the year following his injury. Another who was fully recovered after only nine months was Wes Welker. Both rely heavily on the speed, strength, agility, and durability of their legs. They had the absolute best of everything regarding surgery and rehab, and they're elite athletes, so the odds of complete recovery should be the most favorable.
So what about the difficult case of Derek Rose?
Unfortunately, proper tissue granulation and maturation just gets derailed sometimes, and outcomes can fall short of reasonable expectations. Some things are just out of our control.
The broad ACL recovery stats include high school, college, and pros. Amateur athletes are not privy to the very best care, may not be as highly motivated, may not be athletically elite, and are likely to have a window of competitive opportunity that starts to close with a serious injury. They are much more inclined to run out of time to full recovery (possibly up to 2 years), so that their team and, consequently their potential athletic careers, have moved on. Therefore, the return to previous level of performance is less likely.
So, upon review of several retrospective studies, the general statistics don't look as promising as we've seen in the NFL. The complete recovery median numbers are only 50-75% on average, compiling data from several sources. Reinjury median rates have been reported from 15-25%; this is another stat that is skewed by those who had less than comprehensive rehab and/or surgical care.
Earlier, I referenced one small but well-designed study of 12 NFL QBs, which demonstrated a full recovery rate of 92%. On a case-by-case basis, the complete return to pre-injury performance in the NFL has been in the 85% range.