McShay: Draft Tiers 3/30/20

[Risen Star]

Clink the link for commentary. (ESPN Insider)

https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2020/...rankings-todd-mcshay-highest-graded-prospects


Tier 1: Young all alone
Grades of 95 or higher. Elite prospects. Should be immediate NFL starters and project as perennial All-Pro players. Worthy of a top-five pick most years. I had two players in this tier in 2019.

1. Chase Young, DE, Ohio State (95)

-

Tier 2: 10 prospects
Grades between 92 and 94. A notch below the elite class but still considered a plug-and-play NFL starter with high-level potential. Worthy of a top-15 pick most years. I had seven players in this tier in 2019.

2. Joe Burrow, QB, LSU (94)
3. Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn (94)
4. Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama (94)
5. Jeff Okudah, CB, Ohio State (94)
6. Isaiah Simmons, OLB, Clemson (94)
7. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama (93)
8. Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa (93)
9. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma (92)
10. Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville (92)
11. Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama (92)

-

Tier 3: 10 prospects
Grades between 90 and 91. Good NFL starters and are considered strong values in the bottom half of Round 1 in any given draft class. I had eight players in this tier in 2019.

12. Jedrick Wills Jr., OT, Alabama (91)
13. D'Andre Swift, RB, Georgia (91)
14. Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama (91)
15. Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina (91)
16. CJ Henderson, CB, Florida (91)
17. Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU (91)
18. Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia (90)
19. Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Arizona State (90)
20. Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU (90)
21. Ross Blacklock, DT, TCU (90)

-

Tier 4: 22 prospects
Grades between 85 and 89. Good future NFL starters. Second-round value. I had 28 players in this tier in 2019.

22. Jordan Love, QB, Utah State (89)
23. J.K. Dobbins, RB, Ohio State (89)
24. K'Lavon Chaisson, DE, LSU (89)
25. Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon (89)
26. A.J. Epenesa, DE, Iowa (89)
27. Kenneth Murray, ILB, Oklahoma (88)
28. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin (88)
29. Josh Jones, OT, Houston (88)
30. Grant Delpit, S, LSU (88)
31. Antoine Winfield Jr., S, Minnesota (87)
32. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU (87)
33. Yetur Gross-Matos, DE, Penn State (87)
34. Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson (87)
35. Austin Jackson, OT, USC (86)
36. Cesar Ruiz, C, Michigan (86)
37. Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin (86)
38. Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama (86)
39. Michael Pittman Jr., WR, USC (86)
40. Justin Madubuike, DT, Texas A&M (86)
41. Neville Gallimore, DT, Oklahoma (85)
42. Cole Kmet, TE, Notre Dame (85)
43. Damon Arnette, CB, Ohio State (85)

-

Tier 5: 19 prospects
Grades between 80 and 84. Future solid to good NFL starters but might need to serve in substitution package/situational roles early in career. Mid- to late-second-round value. I had 19 players in this tier in 2019.

44. Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU (84)
45. Cam Akers, RB, Florida State (84)
46. Jeremy Chinn, S, Southern Illinois (84)
47. Jordan Elliott, DT, Missouri (84)
48. Marlon Davidson, DE, Auburn (84)
49. Josh Uche, DE, Michigan (83)
50. Laviska Shenault Jr., WR, Colorado (83)
51. A.J. Terrell, CB, Clemson (83)
52. Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU (83)
53. Zack Moss, RB, Utah (83)
54. Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (82)
55. Jaylon Johnson, CB, Utah (82)
56. Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU (82)
57. Jake Fromm, QB, Georgia (82)
58. Tyler Biadasz, C, Wisconsin (81)
59. Terrell Lewis, OLB, Alabama (81)
60. Jacob Eason, QB, Washington (81)
61. Jason Strowbridge, DT, North Carolina (80)
62. Albert Okwuegbunam, TE, Missouri (80)

-

Tier 6: 37 prospects
Grades between 70 and 79. Project as future solid starters but need time to develop, have limited upside or come with baggage. Third-round value. I had 53 players in this tier in 2019.

63. Raekwon Davis, DT, Alabama (79)
64. Netane Muti, G, Fresno State (79)
65. Isaiah Wilson, OT, Georgia (79)
66. AJ Dillon, RB, Boston College (79)
67. Jared Pinkney, TE, Vanderbilt (79)
68. Devin Duvernay, WR, Texas (79)
69. Bryce Hall, CB, Virginia (78)
70. Bradlee Anae, DE, Utah (78)
71. Anfernee Jennings, OLB, Alabama (78)
72. Hunter Bryant, TE, Washington (78)
73. Noah Igbinoghene, CB, Auburn (77)
74. Harrison Bryant, TE, Florida Atlantic (77)
75. KJ Hamler, WR, Penn State (77)
76. Julian Okwara, DE, Notre Dame (76)
77. Ashtyn Davis, S, California (76)
78. Trey Adams, OT, Washington (76)
79. Antonio Gandy-Golden, WR, Liberty (76)
80. Cameron Dantzler, CB, Mississippi State (75)
81. Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State (75)
82. Akeem Davis-Gaither, OLB, Appalachian State (75)
83. Prince Tega Wanogho, OT, Auburn (75)
84. Adam Trautman, TE, Dayton (75)
85. Kyle Dugger, S, Lenoir-Rhyne (74)
86. Saahdiq Charles, OT, LSU (74)
87. Malik Harrison, OLB, Ohio State (73)
88. Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford (73)
89. Troy Pride Jr., CB, Notre Dame (72)
90. K.J. Hill, WR, Ohio State (72)
91. James Lynch, DE, Baylor (71)
92. Ke'Shawn Vaughn, RB, Vanderbilt (71)
93. Collin Johnson, WR, Texas (71)
94. Logan Wilson, ILB, Wyoming (70)
95. Keith Ismael, C, San Diego State (70)
96. John Simpson, G, Clemson (70)
97. Jalen Hurts, QB, Oklahoma (70)
98. Anthony McFarland Jr., RB, Maryland (70)
99. Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Michigan (70)

 

[RS12]

Throw tomatoes at me of you want but if Kinlaw and Brown are gone, and Thomas is there. I draft him and not look back.

 

[TheDank]

Throw tomatoes at me of you want but if Kinlaw and Brown are gone, and Thomas is there. I draft him and not look back.

Agreed, same with Wirfs for me. Solid chance all four are gone by 17 though.

 

[Teague31]

Hopefully in that scenario we can trade back. Not a fan of spending 17 on a backup. Unless they play LG. Even then. Just can’t justify it given the needs on D

 

[Risen Star]

Hopefully in that scenario we can trade back. Not a fan of spending 17 on a backup. Unless they play LG. Even then. Just can’t justify it given the needs on D

It's not a mock draft.

 

[darthseinfeld]

Hopefully in that scenario we can trade back. Not a fan of spending 17 on a backup. Unless they play LG. Even then. Just can’t justify it given the needs on D

What if you draft a CB and he winds up your #4 CB this year?

 

[darthseinfeld]

Out of Mcshay's tier 2 guys, I think Brown and Ruggs have the best shot at being available at #17.

Brown is a long shot, but I am pretty confident Kinlaw goes ahead of him

 

[JIMMYBUFFETT]

I'd take either OT from tier 3 at #17 without hesitation. Somebody is going to steal a top 10 talent in the middle of the first with one of these tackles. I'm a big fan of the tackles in this draft and I think it goes as deep as the 3rd round.

 

[garyv]

Clink the link for commentary. (ESPN Insider)

https://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2020/...rankings-todd-mcshay-highest-graded-prospects


Tier 1: Young all alone
Grades of 95 or higher. Elite prospects. Should be immediate NFL starters and project as perennial All-Pro players. Worthy of a top-five pick most years. I had two players in this tier in 2019.

1. Chase Young, DE, Ohio State (95)

-

Tier 2: 10 prospects
Grades between 92 and 94. A notch below the elite class but still considered a plug-and-play NFL starter with high-level potential. Worthy of a top-15 pick most years. I had seven players in this tier in 2019.

2. Joe Burrow, QB, LSU (94)
3. Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn (94)
4. Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama (94)
5. Jeff Okudah, CB, Ohio State (94)
6. Isaiah Simmons, OLB, Clemson (94)
7. Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama (93)
8. Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa (93)
9. CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma (92)
10. Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville (92)
11. Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama (92)

-

Tier 3: 10 prospects
Grades between 90 and 91. Good NFL starters and are considered strong values in the bottom half of Round 1 in any given draft class. I had eight players in this tier in 2019.

12. Jedrick Wills Jr., OT, Alabama (91)
13. D'Andre Swift, RB, Georgia (91)
14. Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama (91)
15. Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina (91)
16. CJ Henderson, CB, Florida (91)
17. Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU (91)
18. Andrew Thomas, OT, Georgia (90)
19. Brandon Aiyuk, WR, Arizona State (90)
20. Patrick Queen, ILB, LSU (90)
21. Ross Blacklock, DT, TCU (90)

-

Tier 4: 22 prospects
Grades between 85 and 89. Good future NFL starters. Second-round value. I had 28 players in this tier in 2019.

22. Jordan Love, QB, Utah State (89)
23. J.K. Dobbins, RB, Ohio State (89)
24. K'Lavon Chaisson, DE, LSU (89)
25. Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon (89)
26. A.J. Epenesa, DE, Iowa (89)
27. Kenneth Murray, ILB, Oklahoma (88)
28. Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin (88)
29. Josh Jones, OT, Houston (88)
30. Grant Delpit, S, LSU (88)
31. Antoine Winfield Jr., S, Minnesota (87)
32. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU (87)
33. Yetur Gross-Matos, DE, Penn State (87)
34. Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson (87)
35. Austin Jackson, OT, USC (86)
36. Cesar Ruiz, C, Michigan (86)
37. Zack Baun, OLB, Wisconsin (86)
38. Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama (86)
39. Michael Pittman Jr., WR, USC (86)
40. Justin Madubuike, DT, Texas A&M (86)
41. Neville Gallimore, DT, Oklahoma (85)
42. Cole Kmet, TE, Notre Dame (85)
43. Damon Arnette, CB, Ohio State (85)

-

Tier 5: 19 prospects
Grades between 80 and 84. Future solid to good NFL starters but might need to serve in substitution package/situational roles early in career. Mid- to late-second-round value. I had 19 players in this tier in 2019.

44. Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU (84)
45. Cam Akers, RB, Florida State (84)
46. Jeremy Chinn, S, Southern Illinois (84)
47. Jordan Elliott, DT, Missouri (84)
48. Marlon Davidson, DE, Auburn (84)
49. Josh Uche, DE, Michigan (83)
50. Laviska Shenault Jr., WR, Colorado (83)
51. A.J. Terrell, CB, Clemson (83)
52. Jalen Reagor, WR, TCU (83)
53. Zack Moss, RB, Utah (83)
54. Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor (82)
55. Jaylon Johnson, CB, Utah (82)
56. Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU (82)
57. Jake Fromm, QB, Georgia (82)
58. Tyler Biadasz, C, Wisconsin (81)
59. Terrell Lewis, OLB, Alabama (81)
60. Jacob Eason, QB, Washington (81)
61. Jason Strowbridge, DT, North Carolina (80)
62. Albert Okwuegbunam, TE, Missouri (80)

-

Tier 6: 37 prospects
Grades between 70 and 79. Project as future solid starters but need time to develop, have limited upside or come with baggage. Third-round value. I had 53 players in this tier in 2019.

63. Raekwon Davis, DT, Alabama (79)
64. Netane Muti, G, Fresno State (79)
65. Isaiah Wilson, OT, Georgia (79)
66. AJ Dillon, RB, Boston College (79)
67. Jared Pinkney, TE, Vanderbilt (79)
68. Devin Duvernay, WR, Texas (79)
69. Bryce Hall, CB, Virginia (78)
70. Bradlee Anae, DE, Utah (78)
71. Anfernee Jennings, OLB, Alabama (78)
72. Hunter Bryant, TE, Washington (78)
73. Noah Igbinoghene, CB, Auburn (77)
74. Harrison Bryant, TE, Florida Atlantic (77)
75. KJ Hamler, WR, Penn State (77)
76. Julian Okwara, DE, Notre Dame (76)
77. Ashtyn Davis, S, California (76)
78. Trey Adams, OT, Washington (76)
79. Antonio Gandy-Golden, WR, Liberty (76)
80. Cameron Dantzler, CB, Mississippi State (75)
81. Curtis Weaver, DE, Boise State (75)
82. Akeem Davis-Gaither, OLB, Appalachian State (75)
83. Prince Tega Wanogho, OT, Auburn (75)
84. Adam Trautman, TE, Dayton (75)
85. Kyle Dugger, S, Lenoir-Rhyne (74)
86. Saahdiq Charles, OT, LSU (74)
87. Malik Harrison, OLB, Ohio State (73)
88. Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford (73)
89. Troy Pride Jr., CB, Notre Dame (72)
90. K.J. Hill, WR, Ohio State (72)
91. James Lynch, DE, Baylor (71)
92. Ke'Shawn Vaughn, RB, Vanderbilt (71)
93. Collin Johnson, WR, Texas (71)
94. Logan Wilson, ILB, Wyoming (70)
95. Keith Ismael, C, San Diego State (70)
96. John Simpson, G, Clemson (70)
97. Jalen Hurts, QB, Oklahoma (70)
98. Anthony McFarland Jr., RB, Maryland (70)
99. Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR, Michigan (70)

Chaisson, Herbert and Delpit would be a 2nd Rounders

 

[Hawkeye0202]

Interesting..........many fans want Chaisson @ 17. Honestly, this is going to be a different draft as far as players' true value/grades.

BTW...anyone else notice only 3 defensive players in top 10? Read/heard it a few times via twitter.

 

[Hawkeye0202]

Thanks, OP ... a good reference guide

 

[cowboyec]

maybe we need to start thinkin' bout Tcu DT Ross Blacklock @17.

 

[MrPhil]

Pretty good chance both Herbert and Love go before Pick 17 in my opinion.

 

[ctrous25]

Who have we been linked to? At 17

 

[ctrous25]

maybe we need to start thinkin' bout Tcu DT Ross Blacklock @17.

Way too rich imo That’s the highest grade be seen him rated

 

[Gaede]

maybe we need to start thinkin' bout Tcu DT Ross Blacklock @17.

I wouldn't be surprised to see him around there

 

[Daillest88]

K'Lavon Chaisson This guy right here!

 

[kumizi]

Kinlaw and Henderson are the only names that excite me at 17 in tier 3. With both Poe and McCoy signed, I wouldn't take Kinlaw unless he's clear BPA on their board. If Henderson is gone, I'm probably trading down.

I would totally be down with double dipping at CB with Henderson and Gladney.

 

[Bigdog]

He has us picking CJ Henderson and Ucher DE from Michigan. Personally I rather he went with Chaisson DE from LSU and Gladney CB from TCU who were still on the board when we picked in the 1st and 2nd round.

 

[JBS]

Out of Mcshay's tier 2 guys, I think Brown and Ruggs have the best shot at being available at #17.

Brown is a long shot, but I am pretty confident Kinlaw goes ahead of him

Zero chance kinlaw goes first