Most Explosive Draft Prospects (Top 100)

[theogt]

This is taken from a very good draft blog: http://maxnfldraft.blogspot.com/index.html

All of it is the work of the author of that blog. I just edited format.

Here's the formula used for determining "explosiveness":

Formula: BW/25+BJ+VJ/3+25(2-10yd)
BW=Body Weight
BJ=Broad Jump
VJ=Vertical Jump
10yd=10 yard time

There were 245 players at the combine that did all of those tests.

Here's this year's Top 100:

1 Calvin Johnson, WR/Georgia Tech: 47.31
2 Brian Robison, DE/Texas: 46.69
3 Quincy Black, OLB/New Mexico: 45.51
4 Marcus McCauley, CB/Fresno St: 45.12
5 Aundrae Allison, WR/ECU: 45.08
6 Laurent Robinson, WR/Illinois St: 45.04
7 Gerald Alexander, S/Boise St: 44.90
8 Legedu Naanee, WR/Boise St: 44.75
9 John Wendling, S/Wyoming: 44.71
10 Kenny Scott, CB/Georgia Tech: 44.57
11 LaRon Landry, S/LSU: 44.52
12 Leon Hall, CB/Michigan: 44.39
13 Patrick Willis, MLB/Ole Miss: 44.35
14 Sidney Rice, WR/South Carolina: 44.34
15 Steve Smith, WR/USC: 44.05
16 Mike Mason, WR/Tennessee St: 44.02
17 Antwan Barnes, OLB/Fla Int'l: 43.94
18 C.J. Ah You, DE/Oklahoma: 43.88
19 Adrian Peterson, RB/Oklahoma: 43.84
20 Lawrence Timmons, OLB/Florida St: 43.78
21 Daren Stone, S/Maine: 43.72
22 Anthony Gonzalez, WR/Ohio St: 43.64
23 Jonathan Wade, CB/Tennessee: 43.55
24 Kenny Irons, RB/Auburn: 43.54
25 Darius Walker, RB/Notre Dame: 43.49
26 Jason Hill, WR/Washington St: 43.49
27 Reggie Nelson, S/Florida: 43.42
28 Robert Meachem, WR/Tennessee: 43.39
29 C.J. Wilson, CB/Baylor: 43.38
30 Sabby Piscitelli, S/Oregon St: 43.38
31 Rory Johnson, OLB/Ole Miss: 43.37
32 Anthony Arline, CB/Baylor: 43.29
33 Aaron Fairooz, WR/Central Arkansas: 43.28
34 Josh Wilson, CB/Maryland: 43.23
35 Matt Trannon, WR/Michigan St: 43.14
36 Eric Wright, CB/UNLV: 43.1
37 Lorenzo Booker, RB/Florida St: 43.05
38 Drisan James, WR/Boise St: 42.97
39 Eric Weddle, S/Utah: 42.96
40 Michael Griffin, S/Texas: 42.83
41 Dallas Baker, WR/Florida: 42.82
42 Chris Henry, RB/Arizona: 42.78
43 Juwan Simpson, OLB/Alabama: 42.75
44 Kolby Smith, RB/Louisville: 42.72
45 Zak DeOssie, OLB/Brown: 42.67
46 DeShawn Wynn, RB/Florida: 42.65
47 Jonathan Holland, WR/La Tech: 42.63
48 Marshawn Lynch, RB/California: 42.6
49 Chad Nkang, S/Elon: 42.55
50 Justin Durant, LB/Hampton: 42.53
51 Paul Posluszny, LB/Penn St: 42.52
52 Gaines Adams, DE/Clemson: 42.41
53 Brandon Jackson, RB/Nebraska: 42.40
54 Jay Moore, DE/Nebraska: 42.37
54 Quinn Pitcock, DT/Ohio St: 42.37
56 Antonio Pittman, RB/Ohio St: 42.36
57 Stewart Bradley, OLB/Nebraska: 42.32
58 Jamaal Anderson, DE/Arkansas: 42.27
59 Jacoby Jones, WR/Lane: 42.23
60 Brian Leonard, RB/Rutgers: 42.21
61 Michael Allan, TE/Whitworth: 42.20
62 Adam Carriker, DE/Nebraska: 42.18
63 Onrea Jones, WR/Hampton: 42.16
64 C.J. Gaddis, CB/Clemson: 42.12
65 Mike Walker, WR/UCF: 42.11
66 Baraka Atkins, DE/Miami: 42.09
67 Courtney Taylor, WR/Auburn: 42.08
68 Chris Houston, CB/Arkansas: 42.07
69 Derek Schouman, FB/Boise St: 42.05
70 Cory Anderson, FB/Tennessee: 42.04
71 Dwayne Bowe, WR/LSU: 42.01
72 Craig Dahl, S/North Dakota St: 41.98
73 LaMarr Woodley, DE/Michigan: 41.97
74 Paul Williams, WR/Fresno St: 41.95
75 Steve Breaston, WR/Michigan: 41.80
76 Michael Okwo, LB/Stanford: 41.69
77 Eldra Buckley, RB/Chattanooga: 41.66
78 Dallas Sartz, OLB/USC: 41.65
79 Jerard Rabb, WR/Boise St: 41.63
80 Jared Zabransky, QB/Boise St: 41.59
81 Ryne Robinson, WR/Miami (Ohio): 41.58
81 Greg Olsen, TE/Miami: 41.58
83 Brandon McDonald, CB/Memphis: 41.57
84 Xzavie Jackson, DE/Missouri: 41.54
84 Duane Coleman, CB/Clemson: 41.54
86 Johnnie Lee Higgins, WR/UTEP: 41.53
86 Tim Shaw, OLB/Penn St: 41.53
88 Tarell Brown, CB/Texas: 41.52
89 D'Juan Woods, WR/Oklahoma St: 41.49
90 Paul Soliai, DT/Utah: 41.42
91 David Harris, MLB/Michigan: 41.39
92 Aaron Ross, CB/Texas: 41.38
93 Joe Staley, OT/Central Michigan: 41.24
94 Charles Johnson, DE/Georgia: 41.21
95 Michael Coe, CB/Alabama St: 41.19
96 Fred Bennett, CB/South Carolina: 41.17
97 Reggie Lewis, CB/Florida: 41.16
98 James Jones, WR/San Jose St: 41.03
98 DaShon Goldson, CB/Washington: 41.03
100 Quentin Moses, DE/Georgia: 40.94

Here are the highest ratings at each position this year:

QB: Jared Zabransky, Boise St: 41.59 (80th)
RB: Adrian Peterson, Oklahoma: 43.84 (19th)
FB: Derek Schouman, Boise St: 42.05 (69th)
TE: Michael Allan, Whitworth: 42.20 (61st)
WR: Calvin Johnson, Georgia Tech: 47.31 (1st)
OT: Joe Staley, Central Michigan: 41.24 (93rd)
OG: Allen Barbre, Missouri S St: 40.17 (125th)
C: Samson Satele, Hawaii: 37.67 (191st)
DE: Brian Robison, Texas: 46.69 (2nd)
DT: Quinn Pitcock, Ohio St: 42.37 (54th)
MLB: Patrick Willis, Ole Miss: 44.35 (13th)
OLB: Quincy Black, New Mexico: 45.51 (3rd)
CB: Marcus McCauley, Fresno St: 45.12 (4th)
S: Gerald Alexander, Boise St: 44.90 (7th)

 

[tomson75]

Good criteria for analysis. Interesting stuff.

I'd still take DeOssie in the third over Robison in the first or second.

 

[kTXe]

Surprising to see Ginn nowhere on that list. Is that because there are no "measurements" out there for him (shuttle time, broad and vertical jumps)?

 

[theogt]

The Top 100 broken down by position:

Wide Receivers

1 Calvin Johnson, WR/Georgia Tech: 47.31
5 Aundrae Allison, WR/ECU: 45.08
6 Laurent Robinson, WR/Illinois St: 45.04
8 Legedu Naanee, WR/Boise St: 44.75
14 Sidney Rice, WR/South Carolina: 44.34
15 Steve Smith, WR/USC: 44.05
16 Mike Mason, WR/Tennessee St: 44.02
22 Anthony Gonzalez, WR/Ohio St: 43.64
26 Jason Hill, WR/Washington St: 43.49
28 Robert Meachem, WR/Tennessee: 43.39
33 Aaron Fairooz, WR/Central Arkansas: 43.28
35 Matt Trannon, WR/Michigan St: 43.14
38 Drisan James, WR/Boise St: 42.97
41 Dallas Baker, WR/Florida: 42.82
47 Jonathan Holland, WR/La Tech: 42.63
59 Jacoby Jones, WR/Lane: 42.23
63 Onrea Jones, WR/Hampton: 42.16
65 Mike Walker, WR/UCF: 42.11
67 Courtney Taylor, WR/Auburn: 42.08
71 Dwayne Bowe, WR/LSU: 42.01
74 Paul Williams, WR/Fresno St: 41.95
75 Steve Breaston, WR/Michigan: 41.80
79 Jerard Rabb, WR/Boise St: 41.63
81 Ryne Robinson, WR/Miami (Ohio): 41.58
86 Johnnie Lee Higgins, WR/UTEP: 41.53
89 D'Juan Woods, WR/Oklahoma St: 41.49
98 James Jones, WR/San Jose St: 41.03

Cornerbacks

4 Marcus McCauley, CB/Fresno St: 45.12
10 Kenny Scott, CB/Georgia Tech: 44.57
12 Leon Hall, CB/Michigan: 44.39
23 Jonathan Wade, CB/Tennessee: 43.55
29 C.J. Wilson, CB/Baylor: 43.38
32 Anthony Arline, CB/Baylor: 43.29
34 Josh Wilson, CB/Maryland: 43.23
36 Eric Wright, CB/UNLV: 43.1
64 C.J. Gaddis, CB/Clemson: 42.12
68 Chris Houston, CB/Arkansas: 42.07
83 Brandon McDonald, CB/Memphis: 41.57
84 Duane Coleman, CB/Clemson: 41.54
88 Tarell Brown, CB/Texas: 41.52
92 Aaron Ross, CB/Texas: 41.38
95 Michael Coe, CB/Alabama St: 41.19
96 Fred Bennett, CB/South Carolina: 41.17
97 Reggie Lewis, CB/Florida: 41.16
98 DaShon Goldson, CB/Washington: 41.03

Defensive Ends

2 Brian Robison, DE/Texas: 46.69
18 C.J. Ah You, DE/Oklahoma: 43.88
52 Gaines Adams, DE/Clemson: 42.41
54 Jay Moore, DE/Nebraska: 42.37
58 Jamaal Anderson, DE/Arkansas: 42.27
62 Adam Carriker, DE/Nebraska: 42.18
66 Baraka Atkins, DE/Miami: 42.09
73 LaMarr Woodley, DE/Michigan: 41.97
84 Xzavie Jackson, DE/Missouri: 41.54
94 Charles Johnson, DE/Georgia: 41.21
100 Quentin Moses, DE/Georgia: 40.94

Linebackers

3 Quincy Black, OLB/New Mexico: 45.51
13 Patrick Willis, MLB/Ole Miss: 44.35
17 Antwan Barnes, OLB/Fla Int'l: 43.94
20 Lawrence Timmons, OLB/Florida St: 43.78
31 Rory Johnson, OLB/Ole Miss: 43.37
43 Juwan Simpson, OLB/Alabama: 42.75
45 Zak DeOssie, OLB/Brown: 42.67
50 Justin Durant, LB/Hampton: 42.53
51 Paul Posluszny, LB/Penn St: 42.52
57 Stewart Bradley, OLB/Nebraska: 42.32
76 Michael Okwo, LB/Stanford: 41.69
78 Dallas Sartz, OLB/USC: 41.65
86 Tim Shaw, OLB/Penn St: 41.53
91 David Harris, MLB/Michigan: 41.39

Safeties

7 Gerald Alexander, S/Boise St: 44.90
9 John Wendling, S/Wyoming: 44.71
11 LaRon Landry, S/LSU: 44.52
21 Daren Stone, S/Maine: 43.72
27 Reggie Nelson, S/Florida: 43.42
30 Sabby Piscitelli, S/Oregon St: 43.38
39 Eric Weddle, S/Utah: 42.96
40 Michael Griffin, S/Texas: 42.83
49 Chad Nkang, S/Elon: 42.55
72 Craig Dahl, S/North Dakota St: 41.98

Running Backs

19 Adrian Peterson, RB/Oklahoma: 43.84
24 Kenny Irons, RB/Auburn: 43.54
25 Darius Walker, RB/Notre Dame: 43.49
37 Lorenzo Booker, RB/Florida St: 43.05
42 Chris Henry, RB/Arizona: 42.78
44 Kolby Smith, RB/Louisville: 42.72
46 DeShawn Wynn, RB/Florida: 42.65
48 Marshawn Lynch, RB/California: 42.6
53 Brandon Jackson, RB/Nebraska: 42.40
56 Antonio Pittman, RB/Ohio St: 42.36
60 Brian Leonard, RB/Rutgers: 42.21
69 Derek Schouman, FB/Boise St: 42.05
70 Cory Anderson, FB/Tennessee: 42.04
77 Eldra Buckley, RB/Chattanooga: 41.66

Other Positions

54 Quinn Pitcock, DT/Ohio St: 42.37
61 Michael Allan, TE/Whitworth: 42.20
80 Jared Zabransky, QB/Boise St: 41.59
81 Greg Olsen, TE/Miami: 41.58
90 Paul Soliai, DT/Utah: 41.42
93 Joe Staley, OT/Central Michigan: 41.24

 

[theogt]

Surprising to see Ginn nowhere on that list. Is that because there are no "measurements" out there for him (shuttle time, broad and vertical jumps)?

Ginn is working out on April 12.

 

[2much2soon]

here's number 7 from that list

Gerald Alexander

 

[Hoofbite]

here's number 7 from that list

Gerald Alexander

Boise State showing up on the "top of each position" a couple times. Zabransky, Schouman and Alexander....

 

[MadCow]

Amobi Okoye is one of if not the most explosive DT's in the draft; however, I don't see his name anywhere on this list.

 

[theogt]

Amobi Okoye is one of if not the most explosive DT's in the draft; however, I don't see his name anywhere on this list.

In his formula, he tried to account for weight, but you can't completely negate it as a factor. O-line and DTs were severely underrepresented in the top 100 becuase of that. I'm going to e-mail him and see if he can send me the entire list. That way you could at least compare O-line and DTs within their respective groups.

 

[InmanRoshi]

Very impressed with Rice's explosion number. He definitely plays a lot faster than he timed in the 40. I've seen him get seperation from Cedric Houston, who ran in the 4.3's.

 

[acruther]

Good criteria for analysis. Interesting stuff.

I'd still take DeOssie in the third over Robison in the first or second.

Aren't both of those guys second day pick?!?!?!?

 

[tomson75]

Aren't both of those guys second day pick?!?!?!?

DeOssie still might go in the fourth, but both of their workouts have recently bumped their stock quite a bit. Robison is defintely a day one guy now. ...this is just going from what most "analysts" are projecting...some of which know little or nothing. so who knows.

I like Deossie. His production is superb, albeit in a slightly lower scale to elite programs like Texas. I think his talent is equivalent to a second rounder. I'd be ecstatic if we got him in the third...moreso in the fourth. He'd be a steal that late.

 

[VACowboy]

Aren't both of those guys second day pick?!?!?!?

I'll be highly surprised if DeOssi isn't wearing a new hat by Saturday night. Most boards I've seen put Robison in the third or fourth.

One thing you have to remember is that these numbers don't mean a guy is a great ball player. But I'd say any player in the top 20 or so who has demonstrated exceptional ability in college is probably very special. Exhibits: Adrian Peterson, Calvin Johnson, Partrick Willis and LaRon Landry. If Willis there at 22, and he won't be, I don't see how he can't be the pick.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

1 Calvin Johnson, WR/Georgia Tech: 47.31
5 Aundrae Allison, WR/ECU: 45.08

still don't like Allison?

this guy is Torry Holt part deuce

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Very impressed with Rice's explosion number. He definitely plays a lot faster than he timed in the 40. I've seen him get seperation from Cedric Houston, who ran in the 4.3's.

it was almost a sub 4.3

4.32, and Houston is a very good press-corner

 

[burmafrd]

So how does this formula line up with drafts in the past? Would like to see how good a predictor it is.

 

[theogt]

So how does this formula line up with drafts in the past? Would like to see how good a predictor it is.

I don't think "explosiveness" by itself is a good predictor of NFL production. Beyond that, explosiveness is whatever you define it as, so there's really no right or wrong answer.

"Explosiveness" should be just one component in an overal formula. Masomenos used a similar formula in creating his overall predictor formula in the WR thread.

 

[5Stars]

I don't think "explosiveness" by itself is a good predictor of NFL production. Beyond that, explosiveness is whatever you define it as, so there's really no right or wrong answer.

"Explosiveness" should be just one component in an overal formula. Masomenos used a similar formula in creating his overall predictor formula in the WR thread.

That's very interesting....

3 Quincy Black, OLB/New Mexico: 45.51

This guy is a player, indeed...it's too bad that he has that first name!

 

[Big Dakota]

Wow, Spencer didn't show up.

 

[Big Dakota]

it was almost a sub 4.3

4.32, and Houston is a very good press-corner

Don't ya think with the D Wade plays, we can eliminate all the "zone" guys? Whenever i see "not a good man to man cover CB, better suited for a zone/cover 2 D" i don't read anymore on the guy.