Our opponents' playcalling

AdamJT13

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I was looking at our defensive stats compared to recent seasons, and one thing really jumped out at me --

Our opponents have thrown 481 passes already. That's almost as many attempts as our opponents had in any of the past four full seasons -- 511 last year, 495 in 2005, 502 in 2004 and 492 in 2003.

They've also run the ball only 303 times -- 110 fewer times than the fewest attempts in any of the past four seasons (429 last year, 414 in 2005, 425 in 2004 and 413 in 2003).

Including sacks (and not accounting for scrambles), our opponents are passing the ball 63.0 percent of the time this season, compared to 56.0 percent last year, 56.4 percent in 2005, 55.7 percent in 2004 and 55.9 percent of the time in 2003.

In any of the past four seasons, our opponents would have run the ball about 57 more times and passed it 57 fewer times so far. But they've been passing much more often this season, mostly because we've usually been ahead.

On a per-play basis, our pass defense has been significantly better than in any season since we had the No. 1 defense in 2003 -- we're allowing a lower yards per attempt (gross and net), yards per completion (by more than a yard per catch) and passer rating than we did in any of the past three years. We're not quite at the level of the 2003 pass defense, although we're better in yards allowed per catch (10.97 this year, 11.80 in 2003). But this year's interception rate is significantly higher than it was that year (3.74, compared to 2.64 -- an increase of 42 percent) and is higher than any of the past three years, as well (3.52, 3.03 and 2.59).
 
I wonder if this is a league wide trend or just for us. Wilbon on PTI said it best, the league has legislated defense out of the game.
 
Hypnotoad;1825364 said:
I wonder if this is a league wide trend or just for us.

The NFL average this season in 56.6 percent pass plays.
 
has to be a product of teams knowing we are going to keep winding that scoreboard up.

and a little bit of the perception that our secondary cant play.
 
AdamJT13;1825355 said:
I was looking at our defensive stats compared to recent seasons, and one thing really jumped out at me --

Our opponents have thrown 481 passes already. That's almost as many attempts as our opponents had in any of the past four full seasons -- 511 last year, 495 in 2005, 502 in 2004 and 492 in 2003.

They've also run the ball only 303 times -- 110 fewer times than the fewest attempts in any of the past four seasons (429 last year, 414 in 2005, 425 in 2004 and 413 in 2003).

Including sacks (and not accounting for scrambles), our opponents are passing the ball 63.0 percent of the time this season, compared to 56.0 percent last year, 56.4 percent in 2005, 55.7 percent in 2004 and 55.9 percent of the time in 2003.

In any of the past four seasons, our opponents would have run the ball about 57 more times and passed it 57 fewer times so far. But they've been passing much more often this season, mostly because we've usually been ahead.

On a per-play basis, our pass defense has been significantly better than in any season since we had the No. 1 defense in 2003 -- we're allowing a lower yards per attempt (gross and net), yards per completion (by more than a yard per catch) and passer rating than we did in any of the past three years. We're not quite at the level of the 2003 pass defense, although we're better in yards allowed per catch (10.97 this year, 11.80 in 2003). But this year's interception rate is significantly higher than it was that year (3.74, compared to 2.64 -- an increase of 42 percent) and is higher than any of the past three years, as well (3.52, 3.03 and 2.59).

As the guy on Blazing Saddles said

"who can argue with that"?
 
theebs;1825383 said:
has to be a product of teams knowing we are going to keep winding that scoreboard up.

and a little bit of the perception that our secondary cant play.

Agree 100% Pretty easy to deduce that when you think your opponent is capable of scoring seemingly at will, you better do your damnedest to tally-up yards in big chunks.
 
theebs;1825383 said:
has to be a product of teams knowing we are going to keep winding that scoreboard up.

and a little bit of the perception that our secondary cant play.

I agree with both. Our worst offensive output this season was 24 points - and only six NFL teams average over 24 points per game. And I think many analysts harp on the secondary as a liability when it is hardly that.
 
What's the pass completion percentage against us as compared to other years?
 
Adam, thanks again for your always enlightening and informative posts. You are a real joy to read and your contributions are appreciated.
 
cobra;1825400 said:
Adam, thanks again for your always enlightening and informative posts. You are a real joy to read and your contributions are appreciated.


Certainly better than the "we suck" or the "we aren't a championship calibre team" posts we see after wins ;)
 
Most will say that it's to target the pass defense, but a big reason for the increase is the ability of the Dallas offense to score points, thus forcing opponents to throw the ball in order to keep in the game.




YAKUZA
 
Adam, as usual you've done a great job. But that amount of points we're giving up is still bothersome. Right now we're what? 17th in the NFL in points against. That's just not a pretty stat.
 
Yakuza Rich;1825408 said:
Most will say that it's to target the pass defense, but a big reason for the increase is the ability of the Dallas offense to score points, thus forcing opponents to throw the ball in order to keep in the game.



YAKUZA

That I agree with but we seem to be making it much too easy for opposing offenses to score points. Granted the other teams are not getting a large ypc but they're too damn efficient at moving up & down the field against this defense. Washington had what 28 FD's? I just shake my head at that number considering the type of offense Washington has and how little they used Portis in that game.
 
Crown Royal;1825398 said:
What's the pass completion percentage against us as compared to other years?

About in the middle. But completion percentages league-wide are way up this season, so we're actually ranked No. 4 in the NFL.


This year = 58.6 percent (fourth-best in the NFL)

2006 = 58.9 percent (tied for 12th)

2005 = 54.7 percent (No. 2)

2004 = 61.8 percent (tied for 24th)

2003 = 48.6 percent (No. 1, and one of the best in many years)
 
MichaelWinicki;1825414 said:
Adam, as usual you've done a great job. But that amount of points we're giving up is still bothersome. Right now we're what? 17th in the NFL in points against. That's just not a pretty stat.

Going into Sunday's game (the stats aren't updated with Sunday's games yet), the defense was No. 9 in points allowed per possession.
 
AdamJT13;1825434 said:
Going into Sunday's game (the stats aren't updated with Sunday's games yet), the defense was No. 9 in points allowed per possession.



What about per game?
 
One other stat that has to do with our defense being designed to take away big plays --

2007 = 5 completions allowed of 40-plus yards gained (not necessarily thrown that far downfield)

2006 = 14 of 40-plus

2005 = 9 of 40-plus

2004 = 12 of 40-plus

2003 = 9 of 40-plus


And if we include all catches of 20-plus yards gained, it's 31 this season, compared to 43 last year, 41 in each of 2005 and 2004 and 40 in 2003.
 
Crown Royal;1825441 said:
What about per game?


You know what scares me Crown is that this team seems like the Buffalo Bills of the early 90's... great offense with some talent on defense, but never dominant enough on D to capture the SB.
 

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