Pre-Snap Reads - How Dak Prescott Can Advance From Historic Rookie Season

ThreeandOut

ThreeandOut

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This is an interesting portion of the article for those who fear Dak will turn out to be another Nick Foles.


The black-and-white nature of sports—every game has a winner and a loser—means that evaluation often takes on an ‘if you’re not one you’re the other’ tone. Prescott wasn’t the greatest rookie quarterback in the history of football. He also wasn’t Nick Foles.

Foles had an interception rate of 0.57 percent during his outlier season. He had an interceptable pass rate of 5.43 percent, he threw a pass that should have been intercepted once every 18 attempts. Prescott’s interception rate last year was 1.06 percent, his interceptable pass rate was 2.62 percent as he threw a pass that should have been intercepted once every 38 attempts.

Only 10 percent of Foles’ interceptable passes were caught whereas almost 40 percent of Prescott’s were.

Prescott was right at the league average for the percent of his interceptable passes that were caught. Only five quarterbacks had a better interceptable pass rate than Prescott. He wasn’t relying on luck to avoid turning the ball over. He benefited from playing in a good situation but the primary reason for his success was his decision making and poise in the pocket.
 
Doomsday101

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People can judge Dak how they want, what I saw was a very intelligent player on the field who avoided the stupid mistakes that I see from so many rookies and even many vet QB in this league. Dak is more than willing to take what the defense gives without forcing the ball needlessly. He also has shown when Dallas has been behind in games that he is more than capable of taking over and airing the ball out.
 
jrumann59

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One season is never enough to gauge the development of a young qb let alone a rookie. There are too many variables. The old way does not work because usually rookie qbs are turnover machines dak was not so you cannot look there. For the most part he made good decisions. It will be interesting to see how Dak responds to 1td 3 int performance. He is now in the area where the intangibles come into play such as mental fortitude, physical toughness, mental progression. He should continue to move forward but there is a small possibility he could stagnate because of how far ahead of the curve he was.
 
waving monkey

waving monkey

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Doomsday101 said:
People can judge Dak how they want, what I saw was a very intelligent player on the field who avoided the stupid mistakes that I see from so many rookies and even many vet QB in this league. Dak is more than willing to take what the defense gives without forcing the ball needlessly. He also has shown when Dallas has been behind in games that he is more than capable of taking over and airing the ball out.
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of course.
 
Super_Kazuya

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ThreeandOut said:
Yeah, for all of the good points made throughout the rest of the article, he really doesn't offer anything to back that statement up.
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Since Fahey already said in this very column that Dak had the greatest "statistical" rookie season, and since all of Fahey's work on his column, site and book are based on his observations separating QB play from the rest of the team and not statistics, exactly what evidence would you accept "backing it up"?
 
EGTuna

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I don't think the point of the article is that Dak wasn't the greatest rookie QB ever. In the long run, being "the greatest rookie QB ever" is rather meaningless. I think the point of the article is that Dak did exceptionally well in many statistical categories that define/separate good QB play from bad QB play (as well as lucky QB breaks vs. unlucky QB breaks, e.g. the interceptable passes thrown vs. actual interceptions thrown) for a rookie and also ANY QB. Also that if he improves on a few aspects of his game that aren't yet in the upper tier, he'll be even better as a QB regardless of the individual statistics.

The article was overwhelmingly positive imo, but also provided some legitimate criticism that I think Dak and his coaches would agree with. Dak's mental game is far ahead of schedule, and for that, we should all be optimistic.
 
ThreeandOut

ThreeandOut

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Super_Kazuya said:
Since Fahey already said in this very column that Dak had the greatest "statistical" rookie season, and since all of Fahey's work on his column, site and book are based on his observations separating QB play from the rest of the team and not statistics, exactly what evidence would you accept "backing it up"?
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Maybe some observations backing up his claim.
 
Super_Kazuya

Super_Kazuya

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ThreeandOut said:
Maybe some observations backing up his claim.
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As someone pointed out, that wasn't really the point of the article so going too far into it would have been off-topic. Having said that, he appears on Le Batard all the time and I know that one of the times they talked about it he said Luck was a better rookie QB. Keep in mind he's from Ireland and has only been doing this since 2009, so he isn't steeped in history.
 
ThreeandOut

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EGTuna said:
I don't think the point of the article is that Dak wasn't the greatest rookie QB ever. In the long run, being "the greatest rookie QB ever" is rather meaningless. I think the point of the article is that Dak did exceptionally well in many statistical categories that define/separate good QB play from bad QB play (as well as lucky QB breaks vs. unlucky QB breaks, e.g. the interceptable passes thrown vs. actual interceptions thrown) for a rookie and also ANY QB. Also that if he improves on a few aspects of his game that aren't yet in the upper tier, he'll be even better as a QB regardless of the individual statistics.

The article was overwhelmingly positive imo, but also provided some legitimate criticism that I think Dak and his coaches would agree with. Dak's mental game is far ahead of schedule, and for that, we should all be optimistic.
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I agree. I don't think that was the point of the article was whether Dak was the greatest rookie QB ever. But it seemed to be unnecessary to the rest of the article (which was otherwise positive) and he didn't really offer any support to back it up.
 
jday

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EGTuna said:
I don't think the point of the article is that Dak wasn't the greatest rookie QB ever. In the long run, being "the greatest rookie QB ever" is rather meaningless. I think the point of the article is that Dak did exceptionally well in many statistical categories that define/separate good QB play from bad QB play (as well as lucky QB breaks vs. unlucky QB breaks, e.g. the interceptable passes thrown vs. actual interceptions thrown) for a rookie and also ANY QB. Also that if he improves on a few aspects of his game that aren't yet in the upper tier, he'll be even better as a QB regardless of the individual statistics.

The article was overwhelmingly positive imo, but also provided some legitimate criticism that I think Dak and his coaches would agree with. Dak's mental game is far ahead of schedule, and for that, we should all be optimistic.
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Excellent post, sir. :thumbup:
 
Az Lurker

Az Lurker

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To me Dak's greatness seems to center around the fact that he's the most boring QB I've ever seen, he's pretty much always going to make the right choice and be safe. Almost no crazy big plays, no interceptions, just steady and efficient in moving the chains and scoring in the red zone.
 
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