Quantitatively forecasting Zeke's road to Canton

[Fire407]

The Colts and the Rams have shown other teams how to gang up on Zeke, so he will take more of beating. If Dak can get permission to throw the ball down the field, then that would force some of the defenders out of the box and maybe extend Zeke's career.

 

[Cowboy Brian]

The Cowboys saw the light in what they did with Murray because of Marion Barber. They will run Zeke into the ground, maybe franchise him for a year and let him walk. He's a good durable back. But he's not an elite back.

How is he not an elite back when he's currently on pace to be the all-time NFL yards from scrimmage leader with a career 2 years shorter than Emmitt's?

He is literally on pace to top Jerry Rice.

Will he do it? Doubtful.

But to say he is anything but elite is just nonsense.

 

[CowboyStar88]

I think Zeke needs to focus on losing weight instead of trying to beat up DJ's at bars. He used to be able to outrun guys instead of trying to Earl Campbell them.

Hyperbole much? Didn’t try to beat that DJ up.

 

[dfense]

How is he not an elite back when he's currently on pace to be the all-time NFL yards from scrimmage leader with a career 2 years shorter than Emmitt's?

He is literally on pace to top Jerry Rice.

Will he do it? Doubtful.

But to say he is anything but elite is just nonsense.

He gets the ball on almost 2 out of every 3 plays. He had 40 more attempts than the next guy, and 7 of the 9 behind him averged more per carry. Zeke is a beast. But guys like Joe Mixon and Chris Carson averaged more yards per carry, had more longer runs and more TDs. Are they elite?

 

[blumayne38]

He gets the ball on almost 2 out of every 3 plays. He had 40 more attempts than the next guy, and 7 of the 9 behind him averged more per carry. Zeke is a beast. But guys like Joe Mixon and Chris Carson averaged more yards per carry, had more longer runs and more TDs. Are they elite?

No they are not

 

[BigCatMonaco]

Zeke is taking a beating. There's no way he makes it to 14 seasons. Think Marion Barber.

Emmitt could play that long because he rarely took a square hit. It always seems like Emmitt was able to slide past people or make people take bad angles on most stops.

I hear this a lot, in reference to zeke, and while the workload is there, he doesn’t take tons of huge shots. He’s always going forward.

 

[BigCatMonaco]

He gets the ball on almost 2 out of every 3 plays. He had 40 more attempts than the next guy, and 7 of the 9 behind him averged more per carry. Zeke is a beast. But guys like Joe Mixon and Chris Carson averaged more yards per carry, had more longer runs and more TDs. Are they elite?

Let me know when they do it every single year they’ve been professionals. There’s a difference between being good and staying good.

 

[DFWJC]

How on earth are you projecting the sa


How on earth are you projecting the same production over 10 or 14 years?

That just crazy.

Yeah, when I saw that, it invalidated the rest

 

[Cowboy Brian]

Yeah, when I saw that, it invalidated the rest

It is called an extrapolation...

 

[DFWJC]

It is called an extrapolation...

A borderline impossible one.
You need to build in some sort of decline curve, Brian