Hoofbite
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There seems to be the notion that Scott Linehan will help the running game, or run more, or whatever.
I have two issues with the idea. First off, why would Scott Linehan even have to be brought in for the team to run more frequently? The team had a good average last year so the only thing left to help would be the willingness to run. In order for Scott Linehan to even be hired with the intent of running more you have to first believe that Jason Garrett wants to run more, which in spite of all the lip service he has paid to the topic hasn't actually manifested itself on the field.
Beyond that, if Garrett wanted to run more then why doesn't he just run more? He is the HC and if he wants more running why does he need someone else to be brought in to get it?
Secondly, the numbers just don't back up the idea that Linehan is more run-oriented.
Over his past 5 years in Detroit few teams have less rushing attempts than the Lions. Dallas is actually one of them but Detroit has run 250 additional places in that span and Dallas only nudges out Detroit by about 40 rushing attempts. Same goes for the other teams that have fewer attempts. They have far fewer total plays.
As a percentage of plays called NOBODY ran less than Scott Linehan did in Detroit. Nobody dropped back to pass more. Detroit is #1 in dropbacks over that 5 year span.
Consider this: Of the 5 highest passing attempt totals in a single season, Matthew Stafford occupies spots #1 and #5.
I know some people will argue that Detroit has a weak OL, no RBs, or whatever else. Detroit has not averaged less than 4.0 YPC and they're 4th in sack % since 2009. The OL cannot be that bad. In terms of the RB, who would expect any RB to produce enough to be noteworthy when you don't run. Furthermore, what happens if Murray doesn't hold up? Entire plan to increase running just goes out the window?
You have to go all the way back to 2002 and 2003 to find a time when Linehan could be a run-oriented playcaller.
Here are the ranks of Linehan's teams since 2002 in terms of passes attempted and rushes attempted.
2002 - R: 8 / P: 13
2003 - R: 7 / P: 15
2004 - R: 28 / P: 8
2005 - R: 17 / P: 10
2006 - R: 23 / P: 3
2007 - R: 24 / P: 9
2008 - Omitted (Fired after week 4)
2009 - R: 24 / P: 6
2010 - R: 24 / P: 3
2011 - R: 31 / P: 1
2012 - R: 25 / P: 1
2013 - R: 14 / P: 5
I'd love for the team to run more but I have little confidence they will do so. Scott Linehan has been the most pass happy coordinator over the past 5 seasons and outside of 2013, you have to dig pretty deep find a season in which he could be considered modestly interested in running.
I'd welcome it, but I don't expect it at all.
I have two issues with the idea. First off, why would Scott Linehan even have to be brought in for the team to run more frequently? The team had a good average last year so the only thing left to help would be the willingness to run. In order for Scott Linehan to even be hired with the intent of running more you have to first believe that Jason Garrett wants to run more, which in spite of all the lip service he has paid to the topic hasn't actually manifested itself on the field.
Beyond that, if Garrett wanted to run more then why doesn't he just run more? He is the HC and if he wants more running why does he need someone else to be brought in to get it?
Secondly, the numbers just don't back up the idea that Linehan is more run-oriented.
Over his past 5 years in Detroit few teams have less rushing attempts than the Lions. Dallas is actually one of them but Detroit has run 250 additional places in that span and Dallas only nudges out Detroit by about 40 rushing attempts. Same goes for the other teams that have fewer attempts. They have far fewer total plays.
As a percentage of plays called NOBODY ran less than Scott Linehan did in Detroit. Nobody dropped back to pass more. Detroit is #1 in dropbacks over that 5 year span.
Consider this: Of the 5 highest passing attempt totals in a single season, Matthew Stafford occupies spots #1 and #5.
I know some people will argue that Detroit has a weak OL, no RBs, or whatever else. Detroit has not averaged less than 4.0 YPC and they're 4th in sack % since 2009. The OL cannot be that bad. In terms of the RB, who would expect any RB to produce enough to be noteworthy when you don't run. Furthermore, what happens if Murray doesn't hold up? Entire plan to increase running just goes out the window?
You have to go all the way back to 2002 and 2003 to find a time when Linehan could be a run-oriented playcaller.
Here are the ranks of Linehan's teams since 2002 in terms of passes attempted and rushes attempted.
2002 - R: 8 / P: 13
2003 - R: 7 / P: 15
2004 - R: 28 / P: 8
2005 - R: 17 / P: 10
2006 - R: 23 / P: 3
2007 - R: 24 / P: 9
2008 - Omitted (Fired after week 4)
2009 - R: 24 / P: 6
2010 - R: 24 / P: 3
2011 - R: 31 / P: 1
2012 - R: 25 / P: 1
2013 - R: 14 / P: 5
I'd love for the team to run more but I have little confidence they will do so. Scott Linehan has been the most pass happy coordinator over the past 5 seasons and outside of 2013, you have to dig pretty deep find a season in which he could be considered modestly interested in running.
I'd welcome it, but I don't expect it at all.