Shotgun and Play Action: Romo vs Playoff QB

[percyhoward]

Romo vs. Playoff QB in 2013
% of pass plays from shotgun
Rivers 88.0% 505 of 574
Foles 84.1% 290 of 345
Manning 82.4% 558 of 677
Romo 78.1% 445 of 570
Newton 72.3% 373 of 516
Smith 70.9% 388 of 547
Dalton 70.1% 431 of 615
Rodgers 67.2% 209 of 311
Luck 64.1% 386 of 602
Brady 63.9% 427 of 668
Wilson 62.5% 282 of 451
Brees 62.4% 429 of 687
Kaepernick 56.3% 256 of 455

Pass Rating Differential
shotgun vs. overall rating
Rivers -0.4
Brees -0.8
Romo -1.0
Smith -1.6
Luck -2.5
Newton -3.1
Rodgers -3.3
Foles -3.9
Dalton -4.4
Wilson -5.4
Kaepernick -6.0
Manning -6.0
Brady -9.5

% of pass plays with play action
Wilson 37.9% 171 of 451
Rodgers 35.4% 74 of 209
Foles 34.2% 118 of 345
Newton 31.8% 164 of 516
Kaepernick 31.0% 141 of 455
Smith 26.7% 146 of 547
Manning 25.6% 173 of 677
Brees 25.6% 176 of 687
Brady 24.7% 165 of 668
Luck 20.9% 126 of 602
Dalton 18.7% 115 of 615
Romo 14.2% 81 of 570
Rivers 13.4% 77 of 574

Pass Rating Differential
play action vs. overall rating
Newton +23.4
Manning +21.7
Rivers +21.3
Foles +15.7
Kaepernick +14.8
Romo +14.5
Dalton +14.0
Brady +12.5
Wilson +11.1
Luck +7.0
Rodgers +4.0
Brees +3.3
Smith +0.1

 

[xwalker]

Great info. Thanks.

 

[CaptainCreed]

Romo vs. Playoff QB in 2013
% of pass plays from shotgun
Rivers 88.0% 505 of 574
Foles 84.1% 290 of 345
Manning 82.4% 558 of 677
Romo 78.1% 445 of 570
Newton 72.3% 373 of 516
Smith 70.9% 388 of 547
Dalton 70.1% 431 of 615
Rodgers 67.2% 209 of 311
Luck 64.1% 386 of 602
Brady 63.9% 427 of 668
Wilson 62.5% 282 of 451
Brees 62.4% 429 of 687
Kaepernick 56.3% 256 of 455

Pass Rating Differential
shotgun vs. overall rating
Rivers -0.4
Brees -0.8
Romo -1.0
Smith -1.6
Luck -2.5
Newton -3.1
Rodgers -3.3
Foles -3.9
Dalton -4.4
Wilson -5.4
Kaepernick -6.0
Manning -6.0
Brady -9.5

% of pass plays with play action
Wilson 37.9% 171 of 451
Rodgers 35.4% 74 of 209
Foles 34.2% 118 of 345
Newton 31.8% 164 of 516
Kaepernick 31.0% 141 of 455
Smith 26.7% 146 of 547
Manning 25.6% 173 of 677
Brees 25.6% 176 of 687
Brady 24.7% 165 of 668
Luck 20.9% 126 of 602
Dalton 18.7% 115 of 615
Romo 14.2% 81 of 570
Rivers 13.4% 77 of 574

Pass Rating Differential
play action vs. overall rating
Newton +23.4
Manning +21.7
Rivers +21.3
Foles +15.7
Kaepernick +14.8
Romo +14.5
Dalton +14.0
Brady +12.5
Wilson +11.1
Luck +7.0
Rodgers +4.0
Brees +3.3
Smith +0.1

Reveals the issue of the empty set, less pass protection and no threat of run. They need to either trust Murray more, he needs to get better, or they need to find a 3rd down back or better all purpose back if they feel Murray is not cutting it with pass protection and catching the ball out of the backfield. I think he did alright in these situations but little yards after the catch as he does not consistently make people miss, similar to Witten. Pass protection I think Murray did a pretty good job but I am not a team scout or at practice and they might expect better.

 

[ABQCOWBOY]

Was watching the Pats/Indy game last night and I was struck by how much it reminded me of a game we might have seen in the 70 or 80s.

NE had 25 pass attempts against 46 runs. Conversely, the Colts threw 41 times and rushed the ball 21 times.

 

[BigStar]

So we are great @ PA but don't run it more than anyone other than Rivers bc of over reliance on shotgun; coaching.

 

[NJ22]

Romo vs. Playoff QB in 2013
% of pass plays from shotgun
Rivers 88.0% 505 of 574
Foles 84.1% 290 of 345
Manning 82.4% 558 of 677
Romo 78.1% 445 of 570
Newton 72.3% 373 of 516
Smith 70.9% 388 of 547
Dalton 70.1% 431 of 615
Rodgers 67.2% 209 of 311
Luck 64.1% 386 of 602
Brady 63.9% 427 of 668
Wilson 62.5% 282 of 451
Brees 62.4% 429 of 687
Kaepernick 56.3% 256 of 455

Pass Rating Differential
shotgun vs. overall rating
Rivers -0.4
Brees -0.8
Romo -1.0
Smith -1.6
Luck -2.5
Newton -3.1
Rodgers -3.3
Foles -3.9
Dalton -4.4
Wilson -5.4
Kaepernick -6.0
Manning -6.0
Brady -9.5

% of pass plays with play action
Wilson 37.9% 171 of 451
Rodgers 35.4% 74 of 209
Foles 34.2% 118 of 345
Newton 31.8% 164 of 516
Kaepernick 31.0% 141 of 455
Smith 26.7% 146 of 547
Manning 25.6% 173 of 677
Brees 25.6% 176 of 687
Brady 24.7% 165 of 668
Luck 20.9% 126 of 602
Dalton 18.7% 115 of 615
Romo 14.2% 81 of 570
Rivers 13.4% 77 of 574

Pass Rating Differential
play action vs. overall rating
Newton +23.4
Manning +21.7
Rivers +21.3
Foles +15.7
Kaepernick +14.8
Romo +14.5
Dalton +14.0
Brady +12.5
Wilson +11.1
Luck +7.0
Rodgers +4.0
Brees +3.3
Smith +0.1

Good stuff but keep in mind play action is rendered ineffective when the defense correctly knows you have no desire to run the ball.

 

[theogt]

Was watching the Pats/Indy game last night and I was struck by how much it reminded me of a game we might have seen in the 70 or 80s.

NE had 25 pass attempts against 46 runs. Conversely, the Colts threw 41 times and rushed the ball 21 times.

Sounds like one team took an early lead and the other played from behind for 4 quarters -- regardless of era.

 

[Section446]

What's his playoff record compared to the current playoff QB's?

 

[dstovall5]

What's his playoff record compared to the current playoff QB's?

It wasn't a shot at other QBs, it was just showing how little Romo is in play action compared to other (playoff) QBs.

Dallas fans, always so amusing, I've never seen a fan base so quick to take shots at it's own players, especially the leader of the team. Joke of a fan base.

 

[ABQCOWBOY]

Sounds like one team took an early lead and the other played from behind for 4 quarters -- regardless of era.

Doesn't look or sound like teams from this era of football at all to me but it should be.

 

[jobberone]

The game has changed. I'd focus more on our defense than offense which was near the top of the league. Not saying it can't or shouldn't get better but the defense caused this team to sit home.

 

[Galian Beast]

The personnel on offense is mostly fine. We do need to have a philosophy change though. One in which the running game doesn't take a backseat and rather becomes a focal part of our offense. Play action and scripted roll outs should also help open up the offense...

I really thought they were going to use more of Romo's talents this year, but they never did.

All we need to do is draft an offensive lineman early, and try to get Waters back. That should be it for us on offense depending on the health of Dunbar. I might be getting way ahead of myself but Randle looks like a completely wasted draft pick. Just doesn't seem to have any special traits.

If Dunbar can come back 100% next year, I think we can do some interesting things on offense, that will take some pressure off of Romo and the receivers.

 

[noshame]

Romo had a 50% completion rate on 3rd downs, I'm still checking, but I bet that's in the bottom 10% among QBs.. Now there's a relative stat.

 

[Crown Royal]

Reveals the issue of the empty set, less pass protection and no threat of run. They need to either trust Murray more, he needs to get better, or they need to find a 3rd down back or better all purpose back if they feel Murray is not cutting it with pass protection and catching the ball out of the backfield. I think he did alright in these situations but little yards after the catch as he does not consistently make people miss, similar to Witten. Pass protection I think Murray did a pretty good job but I am not a team scout or at practice and they might expect better.

If I remember correctly, empty set backfield was one of our most effective passing formations.

 

[visionary]

Sounds like one team took an early lead and the other played from behind for 4 quarters -- regardless of era.

how did they "take the early lead"?
by passing the ball or running the ball?

 

[Future]

how did they "take the early lead"?
by passing the ball or running the ball?

Brady through for less than 200 and 0 TDs

 

[visionary]

Brady through for less than 200 and 0 TDs

that was my point
the "runnnig has no correlation with winning" crowd conveniently ignores this

 

[Future]

that was my point
the "runnnig has no correlation with winning" crowd conveniently ignores this

I just assumed you were taking the "they had a bunch of yards running after they got a lead" angle. My b haha

 

[ufcrules1]

Doesn't look or sound like teams from this era of football at all to me but it should be.

That is good game planning. I agree it was out of the ordinary but that is what a good coach does. He found the Colts weakness and exploited the hell out of it.

 

[theogt]

how did they "take the early lead"?
by passing the ball or running the ball?

God pass defense -- i.e., an interception returned to the 2 yard line. Then on the next drive Brady went 4 for 4 and 57 yards. That put them up 14-0.