Something doesn't add up (the point spread vs Washington)

CoachD

Well-Known Member
Messages
2,280
Reaction score
2,356
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
 

jaybird

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,467
Reaction score
801
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.
 

TequilaCowboy

Well-Known Member
Messages
5,337
Reaction score
7,403
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

yeah, it seems fishy....but really the Cowboys do not have HFA, they lose just as much as they win. Also they tend to play down to their opponents, especially when you expect them to win. I am not a betting man, but if i did, i would take the Cowboys and the points on this one. I think Wince will have a tough time with this defense. Micah is healthy and on the prowl.
 

McMicah

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,033
Reaction score
2,301
I think that’s the factor any time there’s a backup qb in the mix on any team. Too many unknowns for actuarial science guys when you don’t have a big sample size, you go conservative. It’s also a division game, so that can factor.

I’m sure the Bills and Bucs and Chiefs were all wondering about their spreads last week ;). Just gotta go out there and show who we are.
 

EGTuna

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,201
Reaction score
1,559
cowboys are a public team. line should be closer 2 or 2.5
 

Jake

Beyond tired of Jerry
Messages
36,067
Reaction score
84,350
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

Dallas was tied in the 4th quarter of both of their wins. The games could've gone either way and I'm glad the Cowboys won them, but let's not act like they were blowouts.

The Cowboys are playing conservatively on offense and riding the defense. That tends to make the games close. I don't mind as long as they win.
 

cowboyec

Well-Known Member
Messages
33,579
Reaction score
40,418
according to the talkin' heads...we shouldn't even field a squad this season.
 

noshame

I'm not dead yet......
Messages
13,791
Reaction score
11,969
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
Some people who study this team daily have no clue, it'll take the rest a while to catch up. They are waiting till the see if Dak is out, the line will go to 7:thumbup:
Seriously people are laughing at us. Beat the Rams and we'll be on the map, beat the beagles and everybody will be on the wagon
 

Shane612

Well-Known Member
Messages
7,309
Reaction score
5,098
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
Maybe the odds-makers still don't trust the cowboys?
Or anything more than a 7 point win is relatively difficult to predict in the NFL...because of parity.
 

guag

Tertiary Adjunct of Unimatrix 01
Messages
21,173
Reaction score
18,170
I think that’s the factor any time there’s a backup qb in the mix on any team. Too many unknowns for actuarial science guys when you don’t have a big sample size, you go conservative. It’s also a division game, so that can factor.

I’m sure the Bills and Bucs and Chiefs were all wondering about their spreads last week ;). Just gotta go out there and show who we are.
Good post, and welcome to the forum.
 

fivetwos

Well-Known Member
Messages
19,316
Reaction score
26,232
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
I expect it to be a close game.

Wentz and that OL are in rough shape, but their defensive front 7 are going to give our backup QB a test.

I expect to win, but only by 3-6 points.
 

jazzcat22

Staff member
Messages
77,398
Reaction score
96,096
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
Washington isn’t going to roll over as easy as we think. Their defense is far better than we are giving credit to, especially at Dline.

Washington was missing 2 starting DE's against Philly. They get them back this week. I think they get back a LB as well, and an OL.
 

stilltheguru

Well-Known Member
Messages
14,713
Reaction score
13,552
not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.
They shouldn't. Washington plays the run well. Both games we ran the ball well. Cooper hasn't proved he can make plays constantly behind the chains.
 

baltcowboy

Well-Known Member
Messages
15,144
Reaction score
16,901
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
Vegas is betting that Rush will turn back into a pumpkin. We Cowboys fans don’t want to admit this but Wentz is a better quarterback then Rush. If the Cowboys lose or the game is close we should not be surprised.
 

okstateCowboy

Well-Known Member
Messages
1,941
Reaction score
3,561
cowboys are a public team. line should be closer 2 or 2.5

For what’s it’s worth, I have a buddy who is a line marker in Vegas. He’s close to the odds system and used to be a trader @ OpenBet. I asked him about this. He said this was true 30 years ago, but NFL sports wagering is so big and global now that this isn’t true anymore. I imagine more regional/less liquid books do this but the big books have enough money in play that they’re not tilting odds against the cowboys anymore.
 

tunahelper

Well-Known Member
Messages
5,549
Reaction score
2,009
The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.
I think this will be a close game.
 
Top