The Definitive Seeding Thread

JD_KaPow

JD_KaPow

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There are a lot of discussions of seeding around here, and a lot of confusion about the tiebreakers. I think this is fairly comprehensive.

If DAL wins out:
If we win out, we cannot be lower than the 3 seed.

Paths to the 1 Seed:
1. GB goes 2-1.
2. GB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND TB does not win out.
3. GB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND TB wins out AND LAR wins out.

Paths to the 2 Seed:
1. GB wins out AND TB does not win out. (GB is #1)
2. GB wins out AND TB wins out AND LAR wins out. (GB is #1)
3. TB wins out AND GB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out. (TB is #1)

Paths to the 3 Seed:
1. GB wins out AND TB wins out and LAR does not win out. (GB is #1, TB is #2)
 
JD_KaPow

JD_KaPow

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If DAL finishes 2-1 and beats Arizona:
I'm not going past the 2 seed the rest of the way because there are too many possibilities. I'm also not sure I've captured all the paths to the 2 seed here (and I may have made mistakes).

Paths to the 1 Seed:
1. GB goes 1-2 AND LAR does not win out AND TB does not win out.
2. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
3. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.

Paths to the 2 Seed:
1. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
2. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.
3. TB goes 3-0 AND GB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.
4. TB goes 2-1 AND GB goes 0-3 AND the NFCW winner finishes 11-6 or 10-7.

If DAL loses only to Arizona:

Paths to the 1 Seed:
1. GB goes 1-2 AND ARI does not win out AND LAR does not win out AND TB does not win out.
2. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
3. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
4. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.

Paths to the 2 Seed:
1. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
2. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
3. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.
4. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 1-2 AND ARI does not win out AND LAR does not win out.
5. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
6. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.
 
BourbonBalz

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The bottom line is we need to take care of business and go 3-0 and let the chips fall where they may. Odds are we’re most likely to get the 3 seed. Why? I don’t expect GB or TB to lose again, and the Rams have a really tough schedule so I don’t expect them to win out. But, anything can happen as we saw yesterday.
 
AbeBeta

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BourbonBalz said:
The bottom line is we need to take care of business and go 3-0 and let the chips fall where they may. Odds are we’re most likely to get the 3 seed. Why? I don’t expect GB or TB to lose again, and the Rams have a really tough schedule so I don’t expect them to win out. But, anything can happen as we saw yesterday.
Click to expand...

I want the 2 seed. Get the worst wild card team to face.
 
goshann

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BourbonBalz said:
The bottom line is we need to take care of business and go 3-0 and let the chips fall where they may. Odds are we’re most likely to get the 3 seed. Why? I don’t expect GB or TB to lose again, and the Rams have a really tough schedule so I don’t expect them to win out. But, anything can happen as we saw yesterday.
Click to expand...
Yea I agree. Az needed to win yesterday and we would have gotten the 2 seed in this case.
 
Creeper

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TB has the easiest schedule of anyone with Carolina, Jets and Carolina again.
GB has Cleveland, Minnesota and Detroit
Arizona has Indianapolis, Dallas and Seattle
The Rams have Seattle, Minnesota, Baltimore and San Francisco. Their last 3 games are against teams fighting for a playoff spot.

I just want Dallas to win Sunday against Washington to take the division, then we can worry about seeding later.
 

Sydla

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Creeper said:
TB has the easiest schedule of anyone with Carolina, Jets and Carolina again.
GB has Cleveland, Minnesota and Detroit
Arizona has Indianapolis, Dallas and Seattle
The Rams have Seattle, Minnesota, Baltimore and San Francisco. Their last 3 games are against teams fighting for a playoff spot.

I just want Dallas to win Sunday against Washington to take the division, then we can worry about seeding later.
Click to expand...

In reality, assuming we win out, TB is irrelevant as long as another team finishes tied with us and the Bucs. Basically, the easiest route seems to be the Packers lose once more and we win out. Then we are the #1 seed.

I just can't see the Bucs losing again but it might not matter as long as the Packers lose just once more, not twice. If they lose twice, then we would need the Rams to win out, which seems unlikely.
 
Hawkeye0202

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At they say .....just control what you can control, the rest will take care of itself (lol). Personally, I'd be just as happy with #2 seed.
 

Techsass

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Playing more of our games at home is an advantage. They showed a Red Zone scoring stat that proved we do much better at AT&T.
 
Diehardblues

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JD_KaPow said:
If DAL finishes 2-1 and beats Arizona:
I'm not going past the 2 seed the rest of the way because there are too many possibilities. I'm also not sure I've captured all the paths to the 2 seed here (and I may have made mistakes).

Paths to the 1 Seed:
1. GB goes 1-2 AND LAR does not win out AND TB does not win out.
2. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
3. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.

Paths to the 2 Seed:
1. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
2. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.
3. TB goes 3-0 AND GB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR does not win out.
4. TB goes 2-1 AND GB goes 0-3 AND the NFCW winner finishes 11-6 or 10-7.

If DAL loses only to Arizona:

Paths to the 1 Seed:
1. GB goes 1-2 AND ARI does not win out AND LAR does not win out AND TB does not win out.
2. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
3. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
4. GB goes 0-3 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.

Paths to the 2 Seed:
1. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 2-1 AND the NFCW division winner finishes 12-5.
2. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
3. GB goes 2-1 or 3-0 AND TB goes 1-2 or 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.
4. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 1-2 AND ARI does not win out AND LAR does not win out.
5. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 0-3 AND LAR wins the NFCW AND LAR does not win out.
6. TB goes 3-0 and GB goes 0-3 AND ARI wins the NFCW AND ARI goes 1-2.
Click to expand...
Thanks

If we lose to Cards then we are most likely ending up at 3 or 4 seed.
 
Diehardblues

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JD_KaPow said:
That's impossible with the 2 seed.
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Not if Green Bay is 1 seed.

For example if we are 3 seed and win in 1st round we could go to 2 Seed Tampa in divisional round. Then Green Bay in championship.

But yea if we are 2 seed and Tampa 3 then they’d have to come to Arlington. But we’d still have to beat both Tampa and GB which to me is the much tougher road.
 
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