The Plan to Speed Up the Baseball

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http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-plan-to-speed-up-baseball-1427996693?mod=WSJ_hp_RightTopStories

The Plan to Speed Up Baseball
The game, its fans aging and ratings dropping, is on a mission
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ILLUSTRATION: JOHN S. DYKES
By
MATTHEW FUTTERMAN
April 2, 2015 1:44 p.m. ET
55 COMMENTS
As the 2015 Major League Baseball season dawns, the lords of baseball are asking for our forgiveness. They want a second chance, and to get it they are making changes that could shake the game to its foundations.

This isn’t about tinkering with the playoffs to make a few extra dollars from the television networks. The 30 team owners have ordered the new commissioner to modernize baseball and make it appeal to an audience that is increasingly weary of the game’s slow pace. There will of course be cries of sacrilege from traditionalists about putting the national pastime on a clock. Many players are resisting, too. But they are unlikely to slow the transformation.

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If all goes as planned, 2015 will become the year baseball finally realized it needed to change fundamentally to survive as a major sport. What drove these wealthy titans over the edge were moments like these: David Ortiz at the plate, endlessly rubbing his hands and adjusting his batting gloves; or David Price, the game’s most deliberate hurler, taking his usual 27 seconds between each pitch. Torpid images like this led to a breaking point, at the owners’ meetings in Baltimore in August, when the bosses named Rob Manfred as new commissioner and gave him a clear message: Get this game moving, or else.


As baseball season starts, team owners are trying to speed up the game. Will purists get on board or dig in their heels? WSJ's Matthew Futterman discusses. Photo: Getty
National television ratings have plummeted as the average game last season stretched beyond three hours, or more than 30 minutes longer than the average in the 1970s. This is despite the fact that run-scoring, which usually produces longer games, is at a 33-year low.

“What I would like to see is, when you watch the game, that the things you hear fans talk about as wasted time are gone,” Manfred said in a recent interview.

This season will bring clocks that count down a newly specified two minutes 25 seconds between half-innings (2:45 for nationally televised games). A hitter will have to keep a toe in the batter’s box throughout an at-bat, stepping out only after he swings or calls timeout. In recent years, countless batters took to stepping out after every pitch. Baseball operations executives will closely monitor pitching habits, with warnings and fines for the most egregious dawdlers. A too-long-ignored rule says pitchers must throw every 12 seconds. The game’s rulers say it remains a kind of guidepost and they won’t be as stringent as the rule book allows them to be, but they have promised severe measures for excessive violations. In the minor leagues, long an incubator for new rules, a 20-second pitch clock will keep the game moving and train the stars of tomorrow to pick up the pace. Beginning May 1 in Class AA and AAA, the umpire will call a ball if time expires before the pitcher throws.

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The goal is to assure fans that the caretakers of the game are serious about making changes and willing to try almost anything to achieve it. Among other changes baseball is examining: Limiting or even eliminating all those catcher-pitcher mound conferences, making managers change pitchers from the dugout and scaling back the allowable number of warm-up tosses relief pitchers get. Purists can take heart—more drastic measures like a seven-inning game aren’t under consideration, at least not yet.

Picking up the pace has never been more vital. Kids are choosing alternative entertainment. The average age of a postseason viewer is now about 55 years old, and climbing. In the regular season the average age is 57. The average age of an NBA television viewer is 40.

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Baltimore Manager Buck Showalter, here removing a pitcher amid a cluster of infielders, says the scrum isn’t really necessary. PHOTO: JAMIE SQUIRE/GETTY IMAGES
As games have stretched ever-longer, national television ratings are collapsing. An average of 13.8 million viewers watched the seven-game World Series between the Kansas City Royals and the San Francisco Giants last year, 16% less than the last seven-game World Series in 2011, and 44% less than the seven-game series in 1997 between the Cleveland Indians and Florida Marlins, clubs with almost no national following. Just 3.8 million viewers on average watched last season’s National League Championship Series between the Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, two of the game’s marquee franchises.

The lack of offense means there are now three fewer batters in each game compared with 1999, six fewer pitches, and two fewer runs scored. Yet somehow the games are longer than ever, especially in the strategy-heavy playoffs. A dearth of offense, even the ability of hitters to make contact with the baseball, has exacerbated the problem.Teams scored just 4.07 runs a game last season, the lowest average since 1981. Worse, hitters put the ball in play on just 71% of plate appearances last season, compared with 74% 10 years ago. Longer games mean fans are only getting to see something other than the pitcher and catcher playing catch about once every 3½ minutes, compared with every 2:54 a decade ago.

MLB loves to brag about the overall attendance of nearly 74 million last season, partly a product of better ballparks, but executives worry about fans headed for the exits long before the final out. “Our game is really exciting, especially as you get to the late innings and it becomes all about the strategy of trying to get the right matchups,” said Joe Torre,the former player and manager who is now executive vice president of baseball operations and entrusted with implementing the new rules. “We got to get people to the late innings.”

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Ryan Howard, pictured, says stepping out of the batter’s box is a strategy, ‘a cat-and-mouse thing.’ PHOTO: JOE ROBBINS/GETTY IMAGES
Will the changes work? “It’ll be fine until we play Boston, then those games will be four hours no matter what,” said New York Yankees spring training instructor and former managerStump Merrill. Red Sox games averaged 3:17 last season, second only to the Tampa Bay Rays at 3:19. Only the Seattle Mariners—2:59 —checked in under three hours.

Historically, baseball doesn’t change its on-field rules often or lightly. It wears its conservatism with pride, disdaining the NFL for restyling its rules every year. The game celebrates its timelessness and its cerebral nature: Fans can discuss endless possibilities after every pitch.

“It’s a game of strategy, a game you play over and over in your mind even after it’s over,” saidMel Didier, the 87-year-old adviser to the Toronto Blue Jays who began his professional baseball career in 1948.

Ryan Howard, the Philadelphia Phillies slugger who takes a leisurely approach to his at-bats, said the delays are a form of strategy, with pitcher and batter trying to make each other antsy and impatient. “It becomes a cat-and-mouse thing,” he said last week during a spring training batting practice. Howard explained that he likes to step out of the batter’s box and reset himself after he takes a bad swing. Here’s the problem: Howard hit .223 and struck out 190 times last season, which adds up to a lot of bad swings.

Baseball has worried about pace before. MLB official historian John Thorn said rule makers first legislated a 20-second time-limit between pitches in 1901 because of concern that pitchers were falling prey to the “Adonis-of-the-box syndrome,” causing them to gesture to fans, brush back their hair, and play to the ladies in the crowd between every throw. 19th century, the pitcher only had to stay within a pitcher’s box when he threw rather than keeping his foot on the rubber. Jumping Jack Jones used to gyrate wildly, windmilling and waving his arms before each pitch; he retired before the new rule kicked in.

LOUISVILLE SLUGGISH
They Took Their Time

New Commissioner Rob Manfred will try to make unhurried players like these pick up the pace.

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FINE ME, I DON’T CARE David Ortiz, known for an assortment of batting rituals, says ‘I’m not going to change my game.’ PHOTO: BARRY CHIN/THE BOSTON GLOBE/GETTY IMAGES


3:19 Average length of a Tampa Bay Rays game last season

2:59 Average length of a Seattle Mariners game

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Pitcher Chris Archer of the Tampa Bay Rays, the team with the longest games; the Mariners had the shortest. PHOTO: MARK CUNNINGHAM/MLB/GETTY IMAGES
26.7 Seconds between pitches when Yasiel Puig was at the plate last season.

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Yasiel Puig of the Dodgers was tied for third as the most-dawdling batter. Then-teammate Hanley Ramirez, now with the Red Sox, was first, at 28.1 seconds. PHOTO: LISA BLUMENFELD/GETTY IMAGES
26.6 Average seconds between pitches by David Price

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The pokiest pitcher of all last year was David Price of the Tigers. PHOTO: ROB FOLDY/GETTY IMAGES
Small changes to the game can reverberate. Believing that expansion in 1961 had diluted pitching talent and produced Roger Maris’s and Mickey Mantle’s assaults on Babe Ruth’s hallowed home run records, former commissioner Ford Frick expanded the strike zone to help out the pitchers. That led to 1968, when teams scored just 3.4 runs a game. This in turn resulted in lowering the mound the following year to emphasize offense—which eventually helped spawn the use of performance-enhancing drugs and 70-home-run seasons. More recently, there is widespread agreement that cracking down on the use of PEDs and amphetamines has led to the collapse of the offense.

“Baseball is not only self-correcting but delicately balanced,” Thorn said. “Minute changes can have dramatic results.”

Most veterans agree that the easiest way to speed up the game would be to start calling the high strike—the one that passes across the letters—more consistently. Yet many fear that would give the pitchers too great an advantage. “You can talk about expanding the strike zone, but we’re in this offensive drought right now, so how is that going to affect it?” said Torre.

Plenty of baseball lifers, though, welcome changes they say will speed up the game without any ill effects.

Larry Bowa, the longtime Phillies infielder and former manager, said the problems begin withevery player having his own walk-up music for his march to home plate. In his day, Bowa said, if a batter took too long to step in the box or kept stepping out, a pitcher like Bob Gibson orNolan Ryan was liable to create a little music of his own by throwing the ball under his chin.

Now, Bowa said, the pitchers and the hitters are so armed with statistical information that they buy time to overthink every pitch.

“You’ve heard of paralysis by over-analysis?” said Jim Palmer, the Hall of Fame pitcher. “That’s it in action.”

Eddie Perez, the former catcher who is now a coach for the Braves, said there are moments when a catcher has to talk his pitcher off a cliff. Perez once caught an amazing 1 hour 46 minute game thrown by the fast-working Greg Maddux. But at one time in the minors, he was under orders to keep his pitcher calm no matter what. As his pitcher began to lose it Perez strolled out to the mound and started talking about a pretty girl sitting above the dugout. “The next two innings were 1-2-3, 1-2-3—I swear.”

This blurred line between strategy and stalling is what Manfred and Torre must bring into focus.

Torre, even as he serves as pace-of-play police chief, said managers sometimes have to kill time to give a reliever time to warm up. Consider a tiring pitcher in a tight game who falls behind the leadoff hitter 2-0. The inclination is to call the bullpen and get someone throwing. But then the pitcher gets an out, assuaging the need for emergency relief. Then he walks the next batter and the reliever needs to start throwing again. Then another out. Time to sit down. “You can’t do that to a guy,” Torre said.

So instead, a manager signals the third basemen to go talk to the pitcher, then the catcher, then the pitching coach takes a stroll out. Their only purpose is to buy warm-up time in the bullpen.

Phillies manager Ryne Sandberg said rushing pitchers into a game before they are ready would not only give hitters too great an advantage but also put the pitchers at risk of an injury. Rates of serious injuries among pitchers are already epic. Is it worth it to wreck someone’s career just to shave a few minutes off the game?

Players seldom admit that their actions are anything other than strategic. Pitchers, who say they have to control the pace to control the game, blame the hitters for stepping out of the box constantly. Infielders say talking a pitcher through a rough inning goes with the job.

Managers say they need all those visits to the mound to talk strategy or gauge whether their pitchers are spent. “I need to look my pitcher in the eye and see whether he is gassed,” said Sandberg, who also admits to using mound visits to buy warm-up time for the bullpen.

Baltimore Orioles manager Buck Showalter shakes his head at this notion. Any manager who has to stall for time so a reliever can warm up just isn’t thinking ahead. He’d be happy to never walk out to the mound. “I make every pitching change as soon as I hit the top step anyway,” he said.

For now, Torre and Manfred say they are content to begin with their initial changes, experiment in the minors with the more radical shifts and see if that gets the game moving again, without generating those dreaded unintended consequences. “If you go too far, too fast, 2,430 times a year, you’re going to live with that mistake,” Manfred said. “I’d like the fans to say at the end of the year, you know there was a nice briskness to that game. It’s baseball, just a little brisker.”
 

MichaelWinicki

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I'm a huge baseball fan, but I don't like the game as it currently exists. Too long. Too many K's. Too little scoring– and I'm not saying make hitting home runs easier, but I'd love to see overall averages climb.
 

Phoenix

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I'm stunned by those average ages of viewers mentioned. Wow.
 

Yakuza Rich

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I was stunned in a poll by ESPN to MLB players that they thought Bud Selig's legacy was a positive one. Let's see, a massive drop in attendance, TV ratings and taking the #1 sport in this country to arguably #3.

And that equates to a 'good legacy?'

The problem is that Selig was not only a boob, but he could never see the forest for the trees. The rules were long established to keep the game moving along and that's in part why the game was able to keep its popularity. But, $elig saw the ad dollars from allowing games to take so long and couldn't see how that in the end it would hurt the game for that quick monetary gain.

Eventually $elig claimed he wanted to see the game speed up, but this was just lip service as he was as big of a reason as any for the game taking so long to begin with.

It's one of the things I learned when I moved from Atlanta to Orlando and started to travel to work. While it's important to be able to do things in a fairly short amount of time, the dependability of that time is far more important.

For instance, my last job in Atlanta by the time I was done it would take me 30 minutes on average to go only 6.3 miles. When I moved to Orlando, I had a 25 mile commute that took...30 minutes.

But, the Orlando commute was far more pleasant and satisfying because 99% of the time it would take 30 minutes to get to work. With my commute in Atlanta, it could take me 15 minutes or even 2 hours. You never knew what was up.

Sports like football, basketball, etc. have set time clocks. So while a football game generally takes longer than a baseball game and there is a ton of downtime in football games....we know it is roughly going to take about 3 hours and 10 minutes or so for the game to be played.

Baseball doesn't have that set time clock. Which in itself is not really a problem. But, it does create uncertainty as to how long something will last and because of that it is critical to keep it moving at a brisk pace. That way if the game *is* taking longer than it normally does...it's because the game has a certain high level of excitement or something incredible is going on.

Anyway, I'll believe in baseball speeding up the game when I see it. The ESPN poll showed that the players didn't think the games took too long. I think they are dead wrong, but it just shows the culture and how out-of-touch that culture is with the fans. And for every owner that sees the forest for the trees and sees how the length of games are killing the attendance and viewership, there's easily an owner that just wants to get the quick money grab from TV and ad revenues.







YR
 

Keifer

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Well they already took the most exiting play in baseball away when they outlawed catchers blocking the plate so I do not have any confidence in their ability to 'fix' the game. I do not think speeding up the game is going to bring potential fans pouring in. Baseball is not a fast paced game, its just not and you're not going change that unless you put a juggs machine on the mound.
 

Yakuza Rich

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Well they already took the most exiting play in baseball away when they outlawed catchers blocking the plate so I do not have any confidence in their ability to 'fix' the game. I do not think speeding up the game is going to bring potential fans pouring in. Baseball is not a fast paced game, its just not and you're not going change that unless you put a juggs machine on the mound.

Baseball games used to routinely take about 2 hours and 20 minutes to play back in the 1950's. By the 1980's that got up to 2 hours and 30 minutes. Now they are at 3 hours and 10 minutes.

Growing up watching baseball as a kid, it used to be a super fun game to play and a very quaint little game to watch. You could easily get a 2 hour 10 minute game and not feel like you just wasted your free time.

This is also in conjunction with the working middle class having less and less free paid time off, especially in the last 20 years. So that time becomes more valuable and now forms of entertainment and the sort now have to compete more strongly for that free time and the money that comes along with it.

This is the same thing that the game of golf is going thru, except it's not about the professionals playing on TV. Less free time for the amateurs and the game is taking longer and longer to play and the consequence is that golf is losing roughly 1 million golfers per *year*.

The last thing you need when your customer market has less free time is to make your form of entertainment longer. Unfortunately for us, baseball owners and golf courses fail to see that.





YR
 

AzorAhai

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Its not just the slow games, its the over saturation of games. 162 games is far, far too many. Especially when you only have a handful of teams who are actually good. By the time the playoffs hit, people are weary because they've been beaten down by 450 hours of baseball season.

To fix the game, use the 12 second pitch timer, shorten the season, contract the teams, and institute a salary floor.

I think 20 seconds is too long between pitches. 12 seconds is easily do able. This will keep pitchers and hitters in a nice rythm and players will adjust. They always do. Batters should only be able to step out once per AB unless injured. If the Batter is not at the plate ready to hit at 8 seconds after the ball is thrown to the pitcher, it's an automatic strike.

Drop the season length to around 120-130 games. Fans won't get beaten down and players should be more rested qith the extra days off. It also would allow them to start later and end sooner allowing players more time to heal in the off season.

Contract teams and insttitute a minimum spending floor. There are way too many teams to support the dearth of talent that makes up baseball. It allows teams to rack up way to many wins against inferior opponents and makes forway too many dull games. The salary cap is for teams who always barely spend. If you a team can't support a reasonable budget, contract or move to a new city.

Baseball is a love of mine, but I've gotten to the point where i can't focus on the entire game. It's just too dull. Speed it up and shorten it to make it more fan friendly. If they don't its going to go the way of the NHL and become obsolete. I'm now forced to pause my DVR on a game, just to fast forward from oitch to pitch. Take the $ hit now, and gain it back later, or take the $ now and lose the fans.
 

MichaelWinicki

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No way would baseball shorten its season.

It would destroy the most valuable part of it– its statistical heritage.

But yeah, the game needs to speed up.

The one-dimensional part of the offense is a problem too.

Teams have to rely on home-runs to score. The ability to string 3 singles together has become much more difficult.
 

Keifer

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Baseball games used to routinely take about 2 hours and 20 minutes to play back in the 1950's. By the 1980's that got up to 2 hours and 30 minutes. Now they are at 3 hours and 10 minutes.

Growing up watching baseball as a kid, it used to be a super fun game to play and a very quaint little game to watch. You could easily get a 2 hour 10 minute game and not feel like you just wasted your free time.

This is also in conjunction with the working middle class having less and less free paid time off, especially in the last 20 years. So that time becomes more valuable and now forms of entertainment and the sort now have to compete more strongly for that free time and the money that comes along with it.

This is the same thing that the game of golf is going thru, except it's not about the professionals playing on TV. Less free time for the amateurs and the game is taking longer and longer to play and the consequence is that golf is losing roughly 1 million golfers per *year*.

The last thing you need when your customer market has less free time is to make your form of entertainment longer. Unfortunately for us, baseball owners and golf courses fail to see that.





YR

A big reason for that I think is the number of relief pitchers we have now. You didnt see any 8 man bullpens in the 50s. If they would limit the number of pitchers available not only would you save time on pitching changes, you would also increase offense by not having four or five fresh arms coming in every game.
 

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The only sure way to shorten it is to minimize commercials, which won't happen. So, they will have to look for other options:

1. Time limit per pitch, 12 seconds is plenty of time.
2. One step-out of the batters box per at bat.
3. Get rid of the DH, more offense tends to lead to longer games in the long-run. Better defensive teams make the innings go by but can lead to extra inning games, double edged sword there. If they make it more of an offensive game, that slows things down IMO which will still be 3+ hours.

Not sure how they can fix it but it takes entirely too long per at bat due to the pitcher and hitter taking their time.
 

MichaelWinicki

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The only sure way to shorten it is to minimize commercials, which won't happen. So, they will have to look for other options:

1. Time limit per pitch, 12 seconds is plenty of time.
2. One step-out of the batters box per at bat.
3. Get rid of the DH, more offense tends to lead to longer games in the long-run. Better defensive teams make the innings go by but can lead to extra inning games, double edged sword there. If they make it more of an offensive game, that slows things down IMO which will still be 3+ hours.

Not sure how they can fix it but it takes entirely too long per at bat due to the pitcher and hitter taking their time.

Get rid of the DH?

That's ain't happening.

The offensive-part of the game is boring enough as it is... everyone waiting around for someone to hit a HR... why make it even worse?

With all the K's, the number of pitches per game has increased 8% over the last 20 years even though the number of batters faced has decreased because offense has fallen off.

The easiest thing to speed up games is to reduce the amount of time between pitches and reduce the strike zone.
 

Tabascocat

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Get rid of the DH?

That's ain't happening.

The offensive-part of the game is boring enough as it is... everyone waiting around for someone to hit a HR... why make it even worse?

With all the K's, the number of pitches per game has increased 8% over the last 20 years even though the number of batters faced has decreased because offense has fallen off.

The easiest thing to speed up games is to reduce the amount of time between pitches and reduce the strike zone.

Pitching duels are not boring. With the increase in K's, they get outs faster and that speeds up the game. If you want more offense, fine but that will lead to longer innings.

Also, reducing the strike zone will lead to more walks, that isn't going to speed up the game.
 

MichaelWinicki

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Pitching duels are not boring. With the increase in K's, they get outs faster and that speeds up the game. If you want more offense, fine but that will lead to longer innings.

Also, reducing the strike zone will lead to more walks, that isn't going to speed up the game.

Historically, more fans want more offense than more pitching. You may want low-scoring pitcher's duels and that's cool, but that's not the popular view.

And you're right more walks would lengthen the game, but to get more offense the league may move in that direction– and right now walk rates are very low. Keep in mind to get all those K's, it requires more pitches per batter.

Even MLB is recognizing that low offense is not the answer. Some way they're going to have to increase offense AND speed up the games. If they were able to have a game that was 1/2 hour faster in the late 70's, with a more diverse offense, they ought to be able to do so now.
 

Keifer

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Pitching duels are not boring. With the increase in K's, they get outs faster and that speeds up the game. If you want more offense, fine but that will lead to longer innings.

Also, reducing the strike zone will lead to more walks, that isn't going to speed up the game.

Pitching duels are boring to everyone except die hards and ex pitchers unless there is a no hitter on the table. If you are going to speed the game up you cannot do it at the expense of offense, if anything they need to speed the game up and add offense or there is really no point in messing with it at all if your goal is to bring in more fans.

If people today do not have the attention span to enjoy the game as it is there is no way they will sit through nine innings of two people playing catch no matter how fast they do it.
 

MichaelWinicki

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Pitching duels are boring to everyone except die hards and ex pitchers unless there is a no hitter on the table. If you are going to speed the game up you cannot do it at the expense of offense, if anything they need to speed the game up and add offense or there is really no point in messing with it at all if your goal is to bring in more fans.

If people today do not have the attention span to enjoy the game as it is there is no way they will sit through nine innings of two people playing catch no matter how fast they do it.

Well said.

It's a slow game and it's a boring game on top of it.

Don't be too hard on dex.

Being a Met's fan and all, his perception of a good offensive player is Dave Kingman. :)
 

MichaelWinicki

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The problem with the strike zone is no two umpires have the same one.

I don't think that's much of a problem jimmy.

I mean that element has always been present in the game... And it was worse (IMO) in years past when one umpire would use the "balloon" protector and another wouldn't.

If MLB changes the strike zone, I think the umpires will be fairly consistent, or as consistent as they can be. And it's not like the strike zone hasn't been changed from time to time over the years.

That being said I do think the strike zone will change, maybe even next season. I think you'll see the strike zone go back to pre-1996 rules where the bottom of the strike zone goes back to the top of the knee (as opposed to the bottom of the knee presently).
 

Rogah

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This is why football is thriving and baseball is dying. The NFL is constantly making changes to improve their product as times change. MLB is stuck in the 1950's with the arrogance that people should change for them, not vice-versa.
 

MichaelWinicki

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This is why football is thriving and baseball is dying. The NFL is constantly making changes to improve their product as times change. MLB is stuck in the 1950's with the arrogance that people should change for them, not vice-versa.

Gosh you really think MLB is arrogant?

I don't sense that at all.

I think they're very resistant to change the rules so not to affect the integrity of the game.

The NFL is more likely to change the rules, but I sometimes think the NFL is too quick to "tinker".

That being said, I don't think buy the whole "baseball is dying" thing. Not when the average salary is over $4 mil. Obviously there's enough money coming in to pay those salaries.

Baseball needs to make adjustments no question.
 

jimmy40

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I don't think that's much of a problem jimmy.

I mean that element has always been present in the game... And it was worse (IMO) in years past when one umpire would use the "balloon" protector and another wouldn't.

If MLB changes the strike zone, I think the umpires will be fairly consistent, or as consistent as they can be. And it's not like the strike zone hasn't been changed from time to time over the years.

That being said I do think the strike zone will change, maybe even next season. I think you'll see the strike zone go back to pre-1996 rules where the bottom of the strike zone goes back to the top of the knee (as opposed to the bottom of the knee presently).

So you want the strike zone to be the top of the knee to the belt? the inconsistent strike zone may not be a problem for the speed of the game but it's sure a problem for me, the biggest reason I don't watch much baseball, just drives me crazy.
 
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