The Sturm Draft Plan For Dallas

[BrAinPaiNt]

It is Tuesday. On Thursday night, all of the work we have put in for months will be put to the test as we try to evaluate the talent available that will hopefully populate the roster for the next several years of football glory. A misstep can be devastating, but finding that one player at that one fit could launch a January run that will never be forgotten.

So, today, the exercise is to lay-out the plan for the first 3 rounds and see if we can find the right combination that will accomplish the needs for the Cowboys. Unfortunately, when you are a team that has a great year, your analysis of the draft gets exponentially more impossible to predict because instead of picking 12th or 15th, Dallas is down at 27th. This makes the preparations next to impossible. You simply cannot predict what will be available, so we spend the last few days with one thought-exercise after another. One scenario to the next. No quandary is too far-fetched to consider. So, let’s try to narrow it down for easy ready.


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[Western]

Reasonable analysis - especially regarding the selection at 27.

 

[waving monkey]

Sturm writes good articles I can follow and feel some common logic.

 

[Gaede]

Awesome

 

[tm1119]

This is his player pool for #27 for anybody too lazy...

1. RB Todd Gurley, 2. CB Kevin Johnson, 3. DE Bud Dupree, 4. RB Melvin Gordon, 5. DT Malcom Brown,
6. DE Shane Ray, 7. DE Randy Gregory,
8. CB Byron Jones, 9. LB Eric Kendricks, 10. DT Eddie Goldman, 11. DE Owa Odighizuwa, 12. CB Eric Rowe.

1-5 are guys he would be very happy to take at #27
6 and 7 are very tempting and would have to be considered if available
8-12 are trade back options if 1-7 aren't there and/or we don't feel comfortable with Gregory and Ray



I would switch Byron Jones and Gordon and take out Kendricks and Goldman but other than that I agree with a lot of what he said. Good read overall

 

[Stash]

This is his player pool for #27 for anybody too lazy...

1. RB Todd Gurley, 2. CB Kevin Johnson, 3. DE Bud Dupree, 4. RB Melvin Gordon, 5. DT Malcom Brown,
6. DE Shane Ray, 7. DE Randy Gregory,
8. CB Byron Jones, 9. LB Eric Kendricks, 10. DT Eddie Goldman, 11. DE Owa Odighizuwa, 12. CB Eric Rowe.

1-5 are guys he would be very happy to take at #27
6 and 7 are very tempting and would have to be considered if available
8-12 are trade back options if 1-7 aren't there and/or we don't feel comfortable with Gregory and Ray



I would switch Byron Jones and Gordon and take out Kendricks and Goldman but other than that I agree with a lot of what he said. Good read overall

Based on those moves, you and I see things very much alike.

 

[big dog cowboy]

Sturm really nailed this article. A lot of moving parts drafting that low. Interesting to read his thought on trading down and read like something I've been saying around here for weeks.

 

[Alexander]

I would switch Byron Jones and Gordon and take out Kendricks and Goldman but other than that I agree with a lot of what he said. Good read overall

If they had a problem with Shariff Floyd, I cannot see any way they would like Goldman.

 

[DBOY3141]

How many folks are going to have to buy new TV's if Brown is sitting there at 27 and they take Kendricks or OO? This is assuming all the CB's/Gurley/Gordon are gone.

 

[btcutter]

1. I think trading back is the best idea if you can find a dancing partner because of the draft's strength in CB and RBs. And with an extra pick you can let draft fall to you instead of reaching.
2. My view of 2nd round is a bit different than Sturm's. To me the 2nd round offers a lot of value in term of other team start picking "needs" as they all use the 1st to pick "BPA". Some players will fall because of other teams need and that's when good teams pounce on these players who may not play a position of "need" on our team (OL, WR).
3. Round 3-4 to fill voids. This is where having an extra 3rd would really be advantageous. Every team expects Cowboys to be using a 2-3 round pick to select a RB so more than likely run on RB will happen right before the Boy's pick. Having extra pick in 3rd gives the Boys much better chance of getting their guy instead of settling for what's left.

 

[DFWJC]

I like his work and thought process.

Nice to have someone like that doing articles in the local paper or webpage..
He's better than 95% of those other mo's nationwide

That's not to say I'd rank those player the same way (Goldman?) but that I love how he thinks.

 

[BrAinPaiNt]

How many folks are going to have to buy new TV's if Brown is sitting there at 27 and they take Kendricks or OO? This is assuming all the CB's/Gurley/Gordon are gone.

You know I would rather have Brown.
But it seems they don't have interest in him so if they take the other players it would not be a shock to me and without a doubt not worth breaking a TV...Or...Remote..over it lol.

 

[Alexander]

You know I would rather have Brown.
But it seems they don't have interest in him so if they take the other players it would not be a shock to me and without a doubt not worth breaking a TV...Or...Remote..over it lol.

Dallas did not invite Brown to visit, but I believe they spent some time with him at the Combine.

 

[Crown Royal]

Even if you disagree with @Sturm1310 you have to respect the man for the work and effort he puts into this. I know a lot of people around here do too and that Sturm gets paid for it, but that doesn't mean he doesn't deserve some respect.

 

[Crown Royal]

Byron Jones has been intriguing me for some time.

How would @Risen Star react if that was our first pick?

 

[jterrell]

This is his player pool for #27 for anybody too lazy...

1. RB Todd Gurley, 2. CB Kevin Johnson, 3. DE Bud Dupree, 4. RB Melvin Gordon, 5. DT Malcom Brown,
6. DE Shane Ray, 7. DE Randy Gregory,
8. CB Byron Jones, 9. LB Eric Kendricks, 10. DT Eddie Goldman, 11. DE Owa Odighizuwa, 12. CB Eric Rowe.

1-5 are guys he would be very happy to take at #27
6 and 7 are very tempting and would have to be considered if available
8-12 are trade back options if 1-7 aren't there and/or we don't feel comfortable with Gregory and Ray



I would switch Byron Jones and Gordon and take out Kendricks and Goldman but other than that I agree with a lot of what he said. Good read overall

Yes, this is VERY GOOD work.

I disagree on certain players of course but the overall thought process and detail is phenomenal.

My player/preference list for 27:

1. Bud Dupree, 2. Kevin Johnson, 3. Byron Jones, 4. Good Value trade down.
5. OO, 6. Eric Rowe FS/CB 7. Equal value trade down, 8. Eddie Goldman, 9. Malcom Brown 10. desperation trade down.

I do not have RB as a round 1 option at all. --poor value when I know I prefer to not spend big money or commit long-term at the position.
I do not have Gregory or Ray on my board for round 1. Both were vastly overrated as players before other issues popped up. While I might be wrong on talent eval the off field plus the questionable talent is enough to get dumped into round 2 grades. Gregory may well be in the box. If his college team had to stop drug testing him.... yikes. The NFL won't stop.

My player list at 60 would be RB heavy, so would my player list at 91.
And I believe all those guys could start for me and rush for large yards if need be, tho perhaps not all as rookies.

The DL concern is real. If you don't nail that down early you are just kinda praying for a faller to hit.
Someone like Clarke becomes a real possibility in round 3 even with his issues because Ic an take risks in round 3 I simply can not in rounds 1 or 2.

 

[Crown Royal]

Yes, this is VERY GOOD work.

I disagree on certain players of course but the overall thought process and detail is phenomenal.

My player/preference list for 27:

1. Bud Dupree, 2. Kevin Johnson, 3. Byron Jones, 4. Good Value trade down.
5. OO, 6. Eric Rowe FS/CB 7. Equal value trade down, 8. Eddie Goldman, 9. Malcom Brown 10. desperation trade down.

I do not have RB as a round 1 option at all. --poor value when I know I prefer to not spend big money or commit long-term at the position.
I do not have Gregory or Ray on my board for round 1. Both were vastly overrated as players before other issues popped up. While I might be wrong on talent eval the off field plus the questionable talent is enough to get dumped into round 2 grades. Gregory may well be in the box. If his college team had to stop drug testing him.... yikes. The NFL won't stop.

My player list at 60 would be RB heavy, so would my player list at 91.
And I believe all those guys could start for me and rush for large yards if need be, tho perhaps not all as rookies.

The DL concern is real. If you don't nail that down early you are just kinda praying for a faller to hit.
Someone like Clarke becomes a real possibility in round 3 even with his issues because Ic an take risks in round 3 I simply can not in rounds 1 or 2.

I think the key consideration for a good RB in the first is that 5 year contract. I want all 5 years of that production if I can get it before the wheels fall off.

 

[jterrell]

I think the key consideration for a good RB in the first is that 5 year contract. I want all 5 years of that production if I can get it before the wheels fall off.

Which is unlikely of both R1 considerations IMHO.
Gurley isn't yet fully healthy. --maybe he is good to go week 1 but maybe not. Once he does get his knee healthy he has to get his body ready to be hit by NFL players.
That's not childs play. He obviously has pro bowl even all pro upside but it seems really a long shot that is year 1.

Gordon is a phenomenal speed back type who offers great upside and could have a CJ2K type career... but he is weak in pass protection and pass receiving thus far so he may well be a part-time rookie. McFadden and Randle can block and catch.

Both guys could hit 2000 yards rushing at some point and also top 10k for their careers but man the odds are low of either ever happening given history.

 

[Crown Royal]

Which is unlikely of both R1 considerations IMHO.
Gurley isn't yet fully healthy. --maybe he is good to go week 1 but maybe not. Once he does get his knee healthy he has to get his body ready to be hit by NFL players.
That's not childs play. He obviously has pro bowl even all pro upside but it seems really a long shot that is year 1.

Gordon is a phenomenal speed back type who offers great upside and could have a CJ2K type career... but he is weak in pass protection and pass receiving thus far so he may well be a part-time rookie. McFadden and Randle can block and catch.

Both guys could hit 2000 yards rushing at some point and also top 10k for their careers but man the odds are low of either ever happening given history.

Yeah I don't disagree about the risk. If Gordon could pass protect/catch anywhere near as well as Murray did I'd actually consider a trade up, but as of now those are big red flags.

All depends on the Cowboys' homework. If they really think they have a back who can be very good for them, you have to consider that 5 year contract. But you really have to be sure about the pick.

 

[Risen Star]

Byron Jones has been intriguing me for some time.

How would @Risen Star react if that was our first pick?

Hoping they have designs on moving him to safety.

Between dry heaves.