Avery
The Dog that Saved Charleston
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It's Sunday morning, I'm bored, the family's still asleep and I keep finding Legos scattered around my living room.
In an effort to somehow formulate some data-driven insights into the discussion of tanking the next two games instead of stealing one or two of them, I wanted to find out if we'll simply get a better player from #1 - #5 vs. #6 - #15. My sample size is the last ten years of drafts. While far from a comprehensive study, at a high-level, I wanted to actually have some numbers speaking to the importance of draft position vs. anecdotes. I did not include this year's rookie class simply to give them some more time to develop before bringing the guillotine down.
This is a Google spreadsheet so I'd love it for others to take a look and edit as necessary as this is a quick look at the importance of position. The grades I gave are on a 1 - 5 scale; a 1 is a complete bust, a 5 to be a Pro-Bowl caliber player. If you feel a player should be moved up or down on their grade, make the change, I won't have my feelings hurt and may be off on a few guys as I can't watch 16 games a week.
Some quick highlights:
6 of the last 10 years, top 5 has yielded a higher average
The 2011 draft was just awesome
2009 was not
With the exception of Claiborne, we've drafted quite well lately in the first round
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oi58VqnvoXT8RCij1NmCz49NI8E10-4WuuqxoSVmieM/edit#gid=0
In an effort to somehow formulate some data-driven insights into the discussion of tanking the next two games instead of stealing one or two of them, I wanted to find out if we'll simply get a better player from #1 - #5 vs. #6 - #15. My sample size is the last ten years of drafts. While far from a comprehensive study, at a high-level, I wanted to actually have some numbers speaking to the importance of draft position vs. anecdotes. I did not include this year's rookie class simply to give them some more time to develop before bringing the guillotine down.
This is a Google spreadsheet so I'd love it for others to take a look and edit as necessary as this is a quick look at the importance of position. The grades I gave are on a 1 - 5 scale; a 1 is a complete bust, a 5 to be a Pro-Bowl caliber player. If you feel a player should be moved up or down on their grade, make the change, I won't have my feelings hurt and may be off on a few guys as I can't watch 16 games a week.
Some quick highlights:
6 of the last 10 years, top 5 has yielded a higher average
The 2011 draft was just awesome
2009 was not
With the exception of Claiborne, we've drafted quite well lately in the first round
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oi58VqnvoXT8RCij1NmCz49NI8E10-4WuuqxoSVmieM/edit#gid=0
