Most likely, about a 80% probability, I think.
However:
So in the 2025 season, Ferguson ends up breaking the NFL record for most receptions in a season by a TE. Many compare him to Jay Novacek and his meteoric rise in 1990, his 6th season.
Meanwhile, just before the season starts, we learn that Tyler Smith is being suspended for six games for enhancement drugs. Upon returning, he's just not the same guy.
My apologies to Tyler, the probability of such events are very small to be sure.
However, improbable doesn't equal impossible. I gave you the example of Jay's career and examples of Pro Bowl level players suddenly getting suspended do exist.
One season can change a lot, I'm just not ready to make these decisions conclusively.