What can we expect from Gregory?
Huge numbers or not this guy was supposed to be a top 10 pick and possible the best DE in the draft
If he keeps his head on straight he can have a significant impact this season
That is all I am looking for from him
I think I remember seeing mocks early on where he was actually the first or second pick in the draft, based on talent.
I can't wait to see him getting a ton of snaps in preseason, and then while Hardy's serving his suspension. I imagine when Hardy's back he's going to be purely a "passing down/distance" situational player. But it's going to be a lot of fun seeing him develop.
If I had to guess, I'd say over/under 6 sacks his rookie season, which is extremely impressive for a rookie.
I'm the eternal optimist and I have him at 10 sacks this year and in the final voting for defensive rookie of the year
Maybe a good comparison is looking what Demarcus Ware did when he first got here. But then that was a 3-4 D vs a 4-3 D.
And more of an every down player eventually over a rotation based Defense.
so maybe not a good comparison.
I think some of us are expecting too much out of him his rookie year. I would be very happy with a 4 sack season his rookie year. Give him a year or 2 to become a beast.
452 snaps and recorded 8 sacks, 12 QB Hits and 20 QB pressures. That's what Bruce Irvin had.
That was his rookie stats?
I wanted to look at past rookie defensive end production over the last few years, but it was difficult to get a great grasp on this.
In 2014 Clowney was hurt early, so that comparison was lost.
Demarcus Lawrence was actually probably the closest example you can find to what our expectations would be for Gregory this year, but Lawrence also missed 9 games last year.
What's interesting is that in 7 games, they played Lawrence in 217 snaps. 31 snaps per game. This would expropriate to 496 snaps in a season. You still have to ask however, if he wasn't injured would he only have gotten half time, because they eased him in. Lawrence had 38 snaps in week 17. Mincey had 35.
I think we need to start out with the idea that we'll take 4 defensive ends to the game on game day. With Hardy suspended my guess would be
Mincey
Lawrence
Gregory
Russell
Mincey and Gregory on the right and Lawrence and Russell on the left.
I think that Gregory is going to be used a lot, especially if they want to slide Mincey inside from time to time.
I think by the end of the season, we'll see (assuming he stays healthy) him average about 35 snaps per game. Which is good for 560.
I think that is a really good number that could set him up for success.
On a separate note, I think it'll be interesting to see how the defensive end (and really the defensive tackle position) battles it out in camp.