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This is why this argument doesn't work.It’s all in how your frame the issue. If framed this way, that is correct.
On the other hand if Dalton is more successful than Dak because of his decision making, the powers that be may decide that Dalton is not the long term answer but keep him around in the short term on a cheaper deal, and let Dak walk instead of paying him twice what Dalton would make and go back to looking for another Dak.
If Dalton plays well enough to do that, he's going to cost more than $30 million. We literally just saw this with Ryan Tannehill, who got $29.5. There is no scenario in which Dalton plays that well and then comes in at like $20 million. That is not the reality of the NFL.