FanofJerry
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Overpaid is...overpaid. I agree. But looking for the next Tom Brady...is looking to get lucky while wasting other star players careers.You're not wrong, but it still doesn't make overpaying QBs the right move to make either. I think the issue has to do with owners being content with winning seasons over championships as that keeps selling tickets, meanwhile GMs tend to have short leashes in todays game and one wrong move, especially about a QB could lead to a 3-14 year that gets you fired. This is the piece that surprises me about the Cowboys as their GM has the ultimate job security.
Many teams have started to veer off track though. Indy has been going the discount QB route for a few years now. Vegas just dumped their big money QB. Seattle moved on from Russell Wilson and had success with his backup. Green Bay seems to have grown tired of the Aaron Rodgers games, and Lamar Jackson is being allowed to test the market. It used to be a very rare thing to see a name QB actually hit either the trade or free agency market, now it happens every single year.
I think it's a fascinating conversation that gets even more interesting now that the league has expanded the playoffs to 14 teams where 9 wins should get you in more often than not. I'm sure some teams will think they can be in the playoffs every year with a quality QB, meanwhile others may say better stay in the hunt year after year with dedicating more resources to other positions.
Looking at the results we really don't have a clear answer either. Last years conference championship games offered 3 QBs on rookie deals, but the team to win it all was a big dollar QB. Most teams that made it had QBs on rookie deals (Baltimore, Miami, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, Philly, SF, LA, NYG). Some had big dollar deals (Dallas, KC, Minnesota, Buffalo). Others had unusual situations (Tampa, which Brady is notorious for taking less money. Seattle who used a veteran backup)
I think the Lamar Jackson situation going on right now is a very interesting one to keep an eye on. It seems especially interesting with how many teams are reportedly not interested too. I just look at what Denver gave up just a year ago for Russel Wilson and thought there would be no shortage of interested teams in Lamar.
Im sure that Teams will start to veer off since the fan forums have been obnoxious about this topic for so long. Now Owners cant really hold it against a GM for not paying a QB because it does seem like a good decision to not pay 20+% to a questionable talent.
I just dont think you will see teams doing in if they were in Jerry's shoes and the stats Dak put up for 5 years even though he didnt have success post season. I dont think any team lets Dak walk based on those stats and being a team leader...which leads to Dak and his agent being able to squeeze Dallas. Yes...I get that not all situations of overpaid QBs is like Daks was. Unless Dak is being unreasonable with his figure...I dont see Dallas letting him walk this next contract either. Dak's next contract will be interesting. Are fan that dont like big contracts without Super Bowls over Dak?...or do you pay for an above average Busdriver again?