Still a very possible scenario, but its seems off to me.
I don't see the leverage this gives Jerry by waiting.
- Dak has never given in to Jerry before and still demanded a record contract coming off of a major injury
- Dak was more than willing to play on the franchise tag in the past, he's shown zero indication that he will do anything but bet on himself
- Dak set up his last deal specifically so Jerry didn't have this type of control (No trade, no franchise clause), they've literally been planning for this since 2020.
- It seems idiotic to me that Dak would give Jerry a discount only for him to not spend any money in free agency. Honestly I think a holdout would be more likely than a discount at this point. That protects him from injury and poor performance behind a worse team in 2024
The only reason I can really find to push off a potential deal until August is if the Cowboys want time to explore Dak's off field issues right now. Jerry not participating in free agency to blame Dak for non participation only to pressure Dak into taking less money so they can continue to not sign players is just a total slap in the face to fans.....and that's from both Dak and Jerry's camp.
I actually view it completely differently. Right or wrong I think the Dak era is about to end in Dallas. It seems absolutely ridiculous that Dak would sign anything other than a monster deal with every contractual condition he wants included. He's way too close to the taste of free agency where he would have 10 bidders instantly in 2025. I think it's just as realistic that Dak holds out and demands a trade as it is Dak gives into anything less than a $60M per year extension with a massive signing bonus.