The Hall's Board of Selectors picks the enshrinees. To paraphrase Dr. Bruce Banner,
"Those guys' brains are like a bag full of cats. You can smell crazy on them." Their opinions do not often jive with outsiders, but a person must try to think like them to get an idea of what might happen.
One thing to consider is class size. The Board does not max out classes despite the number of eligible inductees increasing with each passing year. 2023? The Board selected nine members? 2024 through 2026 classes fluctuated between seven to four to five.
Neither rhyme nor reason, but I mention the timeframe because it correlates to Darren Woodson's four straight yearly finishes during that span. Approximately eleven or so Selectors have been kicking dirt in his face. They have done the same to Jason Witten, but to a much lesser degree, since this last go-round was his first time getting the same treatment.
What will finally convince two or so more Selectors to vote with the majority on their behalf? As always, I believe the key is considering how Selectors will debate possible candidates at their particular position. As such for Woodson, I think his main discussion competitors are:
- Eric Berry - similar career resume and a possible sentimental favorite per his cancer survivor status. However, Berry has been eligible for the last three class and not never reached the final batch of candidates.
- Rodney Harrison - perhaps the strongest counter resume, but methinks he is being held in a holding pattern for his New England ties in their heads. That said, Harrison did break through to be named a 2024 yearly finalist
- [Honorable mention] Eric Weddle - Yes, he played free safety, but he might get a conversational retired/returned/won a Super Bowl/retired nostalgia bump
IF Woodson can beat these guys in hypothetical arguments, I put his chances at 65% of being named to the Class of 2027. Conversely, Witten's road is devoid of the same peer obstacles.
Antonio Gates has reached the finalist list twice, but that is only one more than Witten. And that list showing was 2025, not this last opportunity, which was Witten's first.
Jimmy Graham leapfrogging Witten should be enough to burn the Hall to the ground. So, it's another short list when regulated to position only debate. For this reason, I give Witten a 90% chance of getting in with the Class of 2027.