News: Dak Prescott: One of the NFL’s Most Accurate Deep Passers

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Dak Prescott: One of the NFL’s Most Accurate Deep Passers

http://thelandryhat.com/2017/01/04/dak-prescott-accurate-deep-passers/




Although Dallas Cowboys rookie quarterback Dak Prescott is not know for his deep passing game, according to NFL.com, he’s one of the most accurate passers deep, in tight windows.

The Dallas Cowboys won the lottery last offseason when they drafted Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott with their compensatory selection late in the fourth round of the 2016 NFL Draft. Little did anyone know at the time that Prescott would preform so well, he’d usurp veteran quarterback Tony Romo as the starter under center of America’s Team in his first year. I’m sure no one imagined at the time that Romo himself would hold a press conference conceding the position to the 23-year old, but it happened.

Finishing the regular season with a QBR of 81.7, the third highest in the NFL, Prescott has been uncharacteristically efficient as a rookie. In fact, his completion percentage of 67.8 was the fourth best in the league as well. And most would credit that to Prescott’s conservative play style that is simply adverse to creating turnovers. The rookie gunslinger only threw four interceptions all season.

And honestly, with the best offensive line in football in front of him and the league’s leading rusher in fellow rookie Ezekiel Elliott behind him, Prescott didn’t need to be much more than a game manager. That formula allowed the Cowboys to finish atop the NFC with a 13-3 record, earn a bye in the playoffs and home field advantage throughout.

But just because Prescott was smart with the football this season doesn’t mean he’s not effective deep. In fact, according to NFL.com, the former Bulldog was one of the most accurate passers deep in tight windows.

“Dak Prescott was one of the best deep ball passers in tight windows. A whopping 39.5 percent of Dak Prescott’s passes that traveled further than 20 yards in the air went into tight coverage. The rookie’s 29.4 percent completion rate was the ninth-best mark on such throws and he never recorded an interception.” – Matt Harmon, NFL.com...
 
Prima facie the deep pass on the post into bracket coverage was picked off against the Giants.

3rd and 15 at DAL 49
(2:06 - 3rd) (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass deep middle intended for D.Bryant INTERCEPTED by L.Hall at NYG 10. L.Hall to NYG 39 for 29 yards (T.Frederick).

I get the desire to hype him but there is no need to make crap up to make him look good. That pass was both deep and intercepted.

I also note that they do not talk about total attempts -he barely threw them in the first place.
 
Part of that completion percentage is about Dez Bryant, who rarely allows INTs on balls thrown to him. Some are to TWill that are partly about him being in single coverage because the other weapons in our offense.

And no I'm not ripping on Dak, but a lot of these kinds of stats exaggerate the real picture.
 
FuzzyLumpkins said:
Prima facie the deep pass on the post into bracket coverage was picked off against the Giants.

3rd and 15 at DAL 49
(2:06 - 3rd) (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass deep middle intended for D.Bryant INTERCEPTED by L.Hall at NYG 10. L.Hall to NYG 39 for 29 yards (T.Frederick).

I get the desire to hype him but there is no need to make crap up to make him look good. That pass was both deep and intercepted.

I also note that they do not talk about total attempts -he barely threw them in the first place.
Click to expand...

"percentage of passes thrown into tight windows." The Next Gen Stats tracking data defines a tight window as one where the quarterback's targeted wide receiver has less than a yard of separation from the nearest defender.
Click to expand...

Does the play you mentioned fall into that category? Is Matt Harmon of NFL.com making crap up or just using a very narrow definition of deep throws into tight coverage.
 
joseephuss said:
Does the play you mentioned fall into that category? Is Matt Harmon of NFL.com making crap up or just using a very narrow definition of deep throws into tight coverage.
Click to expand...

He was double covered and both players were right there. Hall had to come off Dez to reign in the poorly thrown ball but the corner was also on his hip. That completion would have required the fit of all fits.

If they bias out that attempt then I severely question their selection bias.
 
joseephuss said:
Does the play you mentioned fall into that category? Is Matt Harmon of NFL.com making crap up or just using a very narrow definition of deep throws into tight coverage.
Click to expand...
Looks like Harmon overlooked one unless somehow that didn't count as tight coverage--which doesn't make sense.

Anyway, 9th best puts him the 28th percentile. Better than some thought
My guess is the sample size is small, but I'll let those willing to look it up decide that.
 
FuzzyLumpkins said:
He was double covered and both players were right there. Hall had to come off Dez to reign in the poorly thrown ball but the corner was also on his hip. That completion would have required the fit of all fits.

If they bias out that attempt then I severely question their selection bias.
Click to expand...

I don't think the person that tracks the stats does it with any bias. The person that references the stat may use it with a biased opinion. Hall, who intercepted the pass was not within a yard of Dez. I've only found one angle of the play and can't see how close the corner is to Dez when the ball is thrown. He looks to be within one yard when the ball arrives, but there may have been a bigger gap when the ball was actually thrown.

The bias by the reporter was using percentages of throws and failing to list where Dak ranks in total deep throws attempted as well as the number of deep attempts into tight coverage.
 
Bleu Star said:
Oh nevermind. I see the danglers barely let you hit the post button. :popcorn:
Click to expand...

i was about to say man. anything and I do mean anything to discredit Dakota. getting as bad as those who look for anything to discredit Romo in the past and its just the dudes rookie season. at least with Romo they gave him some time for the hate to flow. sheeesh.
 
DFWJC said:
Looks like Harmon overlooked one unless somehow that didn't count as tight coverage--which doesn't make sense.

Anyway, 9th best puts him the 28th percentile. Better than some thought
My guess is the sample size is small, but I'll let those willing to look it up decide that.
Click to expand...

I could be mistaken, but I don't think Harmon is the one generating the stats. It appears he only references the stats.
 
DallasCowboys2080 said:
i was about to say man. anything and I do mean anything to discredit Dakota. getting as bad as those who look for anything to discredit Romo in the past and its just the dudes rookie season. at least with Romo they gave him some time for the hate to flow. sheeesh.
Click to expand...
Preach...
 
FuzzyLumpkins said:
Prima facie the deep pass on the post into bracket coverage was picked off against the Giants.

3rd and 15 at DAL 49
(2:06 - 3rd) (Shotgun) D.Prescott pass deep middle intended for D.Bryant INTERCEPTED by L.Hall at NYG 10. L.Hall to NYG 39 for 29 yards (T.Frederick).

I get the desire to hype him but there is no need to make crap up to make him look good. That pass was both deep and intercepted.

I also note that they do not talk about total attempts -he barely threw them in the first place.
Click to expand...

This is laughable.

You're bringing up a single play from the season to discredit an entire article. You're willfully ignorant, troll.
 
lol at calling a rookie QB the most accurate. Its just a sensationalist fluff piece and rational adults should be able to see that.
 
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