J12B
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On July 31, 2015, Russel Wilson signed a contract extension worth 87.6 million/61.5 million guaranteed for 4 years with the Seattle Seahawks. This was after winning a Superbowl several months earlier of course and as he was entering the final year of his rookie deal. Wilson did everything he needed to do and had the LOB playing on the other side and a dominating RB, Marshawn Lynch, behind him.
Let's take a look at Wilson's first 3 year's in the league and compare them to Dak's first 3 years:
Wilson - Passing
2012 26TD, 10INT, 3118 yards, 64.1%, 7.9AVG
2013 26TD, 9INT, 3357 yards, 63.1%, 8.2AVG
2014 20TD, 7INT, 3457 yards, 63.1%, 7.7AVG
Dak - Passing
2016 23TD, 4INT, 3,667 yards, 67.8%, 8.0 AVG
2017 22TD, 13INT, 3324 yards, 62.9%, 6.8 AVG
2018 22TD, 8INT, 3885 yards, 67.7%, 7.4 AVG
What about running the ball as a QB?
Wilson - Rushing
2012 489 yards, 5.2 AVG, 4TD, 2Fumbles
2013 539 yards, 5.6 AVG, 1TD, 2Fumbles
2014 849 yards, 7.2 AVG, 6TD, 5Fumbles
Dak - Rushing
2016 282 yards, 4.9 AVG, 6TD, 3Fumbles
2017 357 yards, 6.3 AVG, 6TD, 0Fumbles
2018 305 yards, 4.1 AVG, 6TD, 4Fumbles
Based on these numbers, I'd say Wilson had a better start to his career-but- Dak is certainly close. Dak might even have an argument that he is the better passer as he out produced Wilson in yards and percentage completion. Wilson is far more mobile compared to Dak. But again, Dak is close in effectiveness.
So, Wilson's 2015 deal should be a benchmark in determining Dak's value today. The QB market has changed with a couple of teams overpaying in free agency (49ers and Garappolo, Vikings and Cousins), but hopefully those deals do not influence Dak's deal all that much.
My guess is a 4 year 104 million/75 million guaranteed deal is happening fairly soon, definitely before the start of the season for the Quarteback of the Dallas Cowboys.
Let's take a look at Wilson's first 3 year's in the league and compare them to Dak's first 3 years:
Wilson - Passing
2012 26TD, 10INT, 3118 yards, 64.1%, 7.9AVG
2013 26TD, 9INT, 3357 yards, 63.1%, 8.2AVG
2014 20TD, 7INT, 3457 yards, 63.1%, 7.7AVG
Dak - Passing
2016 23TD, 4INT, 3,667 yards, 67.8%, 8.0 AVG
2017 22TD, 13INT, 3324 yards, 62.9%, 6.8 AVG
2018 22TD, 8INT, 3885 yards, 67.7%, 7.4 AVG
What about running the ball as a QB?
Wilson - Rushing
2012 489 yards, 5.2 AVG, 4TD, 2Fumbles
2013 539 yards, 5.6 AVG, 1TD, 2Fumbles
2014 849 yards, 7.2 AVG, 6TD, 5Fumbles
Dak - Rushing
2016 282 yards, 4.9 AVG, 6TD, 3Fumbles
2017 357 yards, 6.3 AVG, 6TD, 0Fumbles
2018 305 yards, 4.1 AVG, 6TD, 4Fumbles
Based on these numbers, I'd say Wilson had a better start to his career-but- Dak is certainly close. Dak might even have an argument that he is the better passer as he out produced Wilson in yards and percentage completion. Wilson is far more mobile compared to Dak. But again, Dak is close in effectiveness.
So, Wilson's 2015 deal should be a benchmark in determining Dak's value today. The QB market has changed with a couple of teams overpaying in free agency (49ers and Garappolo, Vikings and Cousins), but hopefully those deals do not influence Dak's deal all that much.
My guess is a 4 year 104 million/75 million guaranteed deal is happening fairly soon, definitely before the start of the season for the Quarteback of the Dallas Cowboys.