0% chance the Commanders beat us

CCBoy

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Rivera’s defenses don’t often blitz much, preferring to rely on rushing just four and drop seven back in coverage. In terms of the more common coverage types, Rivera’s scheme has always hinged on a variety of zone looks, with quarters and Cover 3 the most popular by far. While it would be unfair to say that Rivera and Del Rio have made zero tweaks to the scheme over the years, they’ve remained much more stagnant in how they operate defensively when compared to the rest of the league.

This scheme relies, by design, on talented players that play fundamentally sound football. Rivera’s best defenses in Carolina featured studs like Luke Kuechly, Kawann Short, James Bradberry and others. In Washington, much of his success stemmed from a dominant defensive line that featured interior defenders like Jonathan Allen and Da’Ron Payne with Montez Sweat and Chase Young rushing off the edge. Allen and Payne remain, but Washington made the decision to jettison off Sweat and Young at the trade deadline this year.

That’s part of the problem in Washington: not enough talent. Without a dominant pass rush, young corners like Benjamin St-Juste and rookie Emmanuel Forbes have been picked apart by opposing quarterbacks, while the predictability of the scheme makes it easy to figure out ways to beat the defense. In fact, Washington is allowing the second most yards per play and second most passing yards on the season while ranking third from the bottom in pressure rate.

https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...ders-defensive-scheme-ron-rivera-jack-del-rio


That was a big part of the Cowboys’ dominance of this team on Thanksgiving, as Dak Prescott was rarely under pressure and not sacked once. He completed 68.8% of his passes for 331 yards and four touchdowns, having his way with a defense that kept running the same coverages and never sped up Prescott’s process.

One would think that Rivera would have tried to switch things up after firing Del Rio immediately following that game, but he really hasn’t. Perhaps it’s a problem with the players themselves, or maybe Rivera doesn’t understand the root of their defensive struggles, but Washington has continued to get beat in the same way each week. That’s why the Cowboys enter this one as heavy favorites to win, and why it’s likely that Prescott and this offense will have another big day.
 
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CCBoy

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In recent years one thing the Commanders’ defense always excelled at was getting after the quarterback. That has not been the case this season. Washington has just 39 sacks on the year, tied for the fourth-fewest in football. After trading away Montez Sweat and Chase Young, Washington’s lack of pass rush has been alarming. The Commanders have recorded three sacks in their last five games, with all three coming in their Week 15 matchup against the Rams.

Four of Washington’s last five opponents have gone through their matchup without allowing a single sack. Not coincidentally, those teams have averaged 36 points per game over those four games. Dallas’ offense, in particular Dak Prescott and the passing game, should have a field day on Sunday against this dreadful defense.

https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...regular-season-finale-dak-prescott-sam-howell
 

CCBoy

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This may take a little more effort from the Cowboys to give Lamb a shot at the receiving title, but it can be done. At 1,651 yards, Lamb currently sits 66 yards behind Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the NFL with 1,717 yards receiving.

Hill has slowed down from his historic pace while Lamb has gone into hyperdrive to even make this a close race. Lamb has a chance playing against the Commanders, who allow nearly 260 passing yards a game, good for 31st in the league, while Hill plays the Bills, who give up under 200 yards a game through the air.

https://cowboyswire.usatoday.com/lists/cowboys-week-18-milestones-prescott-parsons-mcarthy/CeeDee Lamb is 66 yards behind Hill for the WR yards title.


Lamb plays one of worst pass defenses in the league but had just 53 yards against WSH last meeting
 

CCBoy

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Passing game could be key to offense

Bad weather appears to be moving through the area well before the Cowboys and Commanders take the field on Sunday. The weather is expected to be cold, but not snowy or rainy like many suggested earlier in the week. This means good things for Dallas who have struggled to run the ball as of late.

Under poor weather conditions most teams are inclined to run the ball more and pass the ball less. This type of game favors the Commanders. But in somewhat neutral weather conditions, both teams should be free to attack how they see fit. That means the Cowboys can stick to their winning formula of being a pass-first offense.

https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...fl-franchise-records-commanders-mike-mccarthy
 

BotchedLobotomy

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Remember the doom and gloom in here when Rivera was hired? Now we’re talking about it being his last game as HC of the Commanders. Fun times.
 

Qcard

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Hope is not a tactic...When we played Ariz earlier this year with a depleted offensive line did you think we would lose that game? I didn't and never crossed my mind. There is no game in this league that you can simply "mail it in". Those days are over. We are going to have to bring it for 60 minutes.
:hammer:There will be players on the field with call ups from PS, earning game check $$$ that highly ellipses their net worth. The game film is invaluable.

Is this a must win? No it's not, Cowboys clinched Playoff 3 weeks ago. Win would be a sign of the Cowboys peaking at the right time.


It rained all day yesterday here in the DMV. It's a cool, brisk and clear 45 Degrees at kickoff and 42 at sunset....
 

TWOK11

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Just need to give them a reason to quit. They are already down a bunch of starters and have nothing to play for. They get down by 2 scores and they will pack it in.
 

Knotamus

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Dallas will win.

I don’t get into suggesting guarantee’s, but this is as close to it as you could imagine.

Why? Because Wash doesn’t want to lose valuable draft position. I know teams shouldn’t think that way, but they do when your team needs talent.

Currently, Wash holds the #2 pick in the draft and they aren’t going to give that up by winning a meaningless game. IF they won, they literally could fall to #7 in the draft. And for what? They may try to keep it competitive, but they will falter at the end.

Current projected top 7 draft order.

Round 1​

1. Chicago Bears (from CAR 2-14)
2. Washington Commanders (4-12)
3. New England Patriots (4-12)
4. Arizona Cardinals (4-12)
5. New York Giants (5-11)
6. Los Angeles Chargers (5-11)
7. Tennessee Titans (5-11)
 

Streifenkarl

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A zero % chance doesn't exist in sports (just like 100%)

But I do strongly believe that they won't beat us. Anything but a sound win would be a total embaressment and mean some bad vibes ahead of the playoffs. It would be an unnessecary disturbance in the force.
 

GINeric

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This one is a gimme ladies and gents. Dallas is about to run over Washington and this game could very well get ugly. We’re about to make some noise to get ready for playoff football and what better way than to toy with a much inferior Commanders unit! 12-5 here we come!

It's going to be bad weather out there. Tell me how we look in rain games again?

It's no guarantee that we're going to blow them out.

Remember the Cardinals!!!
 

bud914

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It's going to be bad weather out there. Tell me how we look in rain games again?

It's no guarantee that we're going to blow them out.

Remember the Cardinals!!!
where is the bad weather thing coming from? am i missing something?



47°


Mostly cloudy


WindW 12 mph
 

JW82

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0% chance they roll over and hand us the 2seed. I don't care if they are starting beer venders and secretaries.
 

Scotman

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Even if the team had absolutely no desire to win, you're still talking about some professional athletes that don't want to lose their jobs. I don't think the players ever quit knowing that it will likely be their last game if they do.
 

silvernblu

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This one is a gimme ladies and gents. Dallas is about to run over Washington and this game could very well get ugly. We’re about to make some noise to get ready for playoff football and what better way than to toy with a much inferior Commanders unit! 12-5 here we come!
I’ll put a dollar on Washington if you are giving me infinity to 1 odds.
 

nhcowboysfan

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Yesterday I watched a 20 minute segment on ESPN of teams bounced from the playoffs on the last regular season game by teams with only 3-4 wins. We're already in the playoffs but I expect Washington to do their part to spoil our post season.
 
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