T-RO
Well-Known Member
- Messages
- 14,830
- Reaction score
- 16,344
There is also a difference between going for 4th down vs a team like San Fran who give up 83% on 4th down vs Philly who was 22% on giving up a 1st on 4th down. People use this overall avg but fact remains not all defense are the same and their ability to stop their opponent on 4th down.
No SABR advocate would argue otherwise. The smart move would
-Start w/ league averages
-Adjust for strength of opposing unit
-Adjust for strength of your unit
-Adjust for score/time remaining
You can be sure teams in the near future will have an IPad or MS Surface app that provides the calculations.
I’m not saying coaches should always use a calculated advice...but should do so most of the time.
Last edited: