Idgit;5088247 said:
Not sure how much this data means, but the differential data is interesting. The rating data is still positive for Tony.
For me, I think it 'splains in part why Romo has the rep that he does in terms of clutch/choke and all that stuff like that there lol...he's top-o-the-charts in 4th quarter in Sep-Nov...then just merely "really good" in Dec-Jan (with the occasional "D'oh!" game thrown in lol). The other QBs up their game (or at least don't get worse). Relatively speaking, Romo looks worse than he did the rest of the year (although he's improved greatly late in the season recently) while pretty much all the other high profile QBs tend to look better.
At any rate, there's really no way you can determine a QB's "clutchness" by their 4th quarter QB rating. There's way too many aspects and variables that relate to clutchness that a QB rating can't possibly tell you.
Romo didn't start in Dallas until 2006, though, and finished the year with a broken finger on his throwing hand in 2008 (67.8 QBR in Dec that year) and missed the end of 2010 with a broken clavicle, with both narrows the sample and could explain some of the efficiency drop off later in the year.
I just started it in 2004 because the OP's stats started then. I wanted to cover the same time span.
2010 wouldn't effect Romo's rating, though, since he didn't play any games in December that year. In 2006-2008 Romo's 4th quarter stats in Dec-jan were pretty bad. I don't think 2009 and 2011 were good enough to overcome it. I don't like that Romo's getting noticeably better in Dec-Jan, but I do like that the team overall doesn't seem to be lol
...long live Jerruh and Garrett!
Do you have a source for your data, though? Does it offer more detail, or is it just the data for these 10 guys in the aggregate? Any way to adjust it for who the teams played, by any chance?
Pro Football Reference website, you can finagle all sorts of criteria on there...I had to do a bunch of trial and error tests though to get the list of 4th Qtr QB ratings between 2004-2012.
I imagine the rough run at the end of 2006 and 2007 was what actually does Tony in in this comparison with other top-10 players, because both of those seasons his Dec numbers nosedived, which is the primary reason he got that rap early for not finishing. Which is bunk, btw, since he's gone on to finish with a Dec rating over 100 each of the last three years he's played.
Yep, pretty much agree with you here...
