Beware of assumptions from year to year

Bobhaze

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The word assumption is defined as “something that is accepted as true or as certain to happen, without proof.”

We all make assumptions. We often assume when someone says something, they mean something that they may actually not mean. (Like my wife for example, LOL!) We may assume that if a work colleague brings his lunch every day, and it’s a ham sandwich, he must love ham. Etc, etc.

In sports, we fans are always making assumptions- some accurate, some not. For example, if a young Cowboys CB has 5 interceptions his rookie season, we immediately assume he will have the same number of INTs or more the next year and many years ahead. Or in a broader sense, if our favorite team goes 13-3 one season, we can assume they will be close to that the next season.

But it’s pretty clear that the NFL is a year to year thing, and many of our football assumptions are inaccurate- positive and negative assumptions. Let’s look at some common assumptions going into this season:
  • Our OL will return to form- Tyron Smith- after neck surgery this last season (when he missed 14 games) many of us fans are assuming he’s going to be back to his normal form. We all assume La’el Collins and Zack Martin will also return to dominant form. Those are hopeful assumptions. If accurate- great! But what if 1 or 2 of those guys aren’t what they once were?
  • Mike McCarthy is not a good HC- he did not have a great start as Cowboys HC, making several strategic blunders in key moments last year. The assumption of many is he’s not a good HC. Time will tell of course. But can we assume we know enough about Big Mac at this point? Maybe he’s better than we assume.
  • Ezekiel Elliott is in decline- last year was a sub-par year for Zeke. The fumbles, the lack of burst and big plays. The assumption is he was not good last year primarily because of the injuries to our OL. Is that an accurate assumption or just fan hopes?
  • Our LBs are terrible- Last year was a bad year for The whole D and LB play was atrocious. The assumption is Jaylon Smith is terrible and un-fixable and LVE is a China doll about to be injured again. Are those accurate assumptions? Maybe. But it’s also possible both can be greatly improved through some better coaching.
  • Our defense will take years to fix- this is a common assumption that is understandable. Our D has been talent starved for far too long. Will it take 2-3 years, or will a great draft and some key FA make this year’s defense at least decent?
The point here is we all make assumptions about players, coaches, who we will beat on next year’s schedule, etc. But the truth is, many of our assumptions from year to year are wrong. Can’t wait to find out what’s accurate and what’s not.
 

ESisback

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I assume I’ll enjoy watching football in 2021. I assume Hazey will always post common sense. I assume people will gripe until we hoist our next Lombardi, and even then...

I assume I’ll assemble another Bloody Mary, utilizing CC’s recipe..,
 

Bobhaze

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I assume I’ll enjoy watching football in 2021. I assume Hazey will always post common sense. I assume people will gripe until we hoist our next Lombardi, and even then...

I assume I’ll assemble another Bloody Mary, utilizing CC’s recipe..,
I like those assumptions! LOL!
 

LACowboysFan1

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Right...those are examples of assumptions. I don’t agree or disagree with all. I’m just listing some common assumptions many here have.

Or it could take less....depends on assumptions, :omg:

Funny how some people scream that Nolan was trash, he screwed up the team, etc. yet now that he's gone the defense won't be any good still? o_O
 

LACowboysFan1

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Anybody want to make bets that some team will still finish at .500?

I'll give odds it will happen...
 

CowboyRoy

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The word assumption is defined as “something that is accepted as true or as certain to happen, without proof.”

We all make assumptions. We often assume when someone says something, they mean something that they may actually not mean. (Like my wife for example, LOL!) We may assume that if a work colleague brings his lunch every day, and it’s a ham sandwich, he must love ham. Etc, etc.

In sports, we fans are always making assumptions- some accurate, some not. For example, if a young Cowboys CB has 5 interceptions his rookie season, we immediately assume he will have the same number of INTs or more the next year and many years ahead. Or in a broader sense, if our favorite team goes 13-3 one season, we can assume they will be close to that the next season.

But it’s pretty clear that the NFL is a year to year thing, and many of our football assumptions are inaccurate- positive and negative assumptions. Let’s look at some common assumptions going into this season:
  • Our OL will return to form- Tyron Smith- after neck surgery this last season (when he missed 14 games) many of us fans are assuming he’s going to be back to his normal form. We all assume La’el Collins and Zack Martin will also return to dominant form. Those are hopeful assumptions. If accurate- great! But what if 1 or 2 of those guys aren’t what they once were?
  • Mike McCarthy is not a good HC- he did not have a great start as Cowboys HC, making several strategic blunders in key moments last year. The assumption of many is he’s not a good HC. Time will tell of course. But can we assume we know enough about Big Mac at this point? Maybe he’s better than we assume.
  • Ezekiel Elliott is in decline- last year was a sub-par year for Zeke. The fumbles, the lack of burst and big plays. The assumption is he was not good last year primarily because of the injuries to our OL. Is that an accurate assumption or just fan hopes?
  • Our LBs are terrible- Last year was a bad year for The whole D and LB play was atrocious. The assumption is Jaylon Smith is terrible and un-fixable and LVE is a China doll about to be injured again. Are those accurate assumptions? Maybe. But it’s also possible both can be greatly improved through some better coaching.
  • Our defense will take years to fix- this is a common assumption that is understandable. Our D has been talent starved for far too long. Will it take 2-3 years, or will a great draft and some key FA make this year’s defense at least decent?
The point here is we all make assumptions about players, coaches, who we will beat on next year’s schedule, etc. But the truth is, many of our assumptions from year to year are wrong. Can’t wait to find out what’s accurate and what’s not.

A couple of those are facts. Zeke is 100% in decline, our linebackers are terrible, and our defense will take years to fix based on the Cowboys use of FA and the draft and the condition of the defense.
 

ChronicCowboy

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It’s objective to say we have a declining OL and a terrible defense. Those are just facts.

Can the OL put together another year or two of dominant play? Maybe.

Will the turnover on defense help production? Possibly.
 

conner01

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Assumptions are rarely accurate in anything
Each year we all predict our record, each year I’m wrong
Last year I thought adding McCoy and Smith could really help the Defense lol
One of my worst assumptions
I really don’t know what to expect this year
This year I assume we will play Atleast 17 games
Going for the safe bet this year
 
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