Trip said:
I'm rooting for him. He's got a hall of fame arm. But I think championships are his only ticket at this point.
You're right he could hit 60,000 but that qb rating really hurts him honestly. It suggests he's had an average career and with the competition, any stat that suggests you're average, never mind the most important one... it'll be tough.
I agree with this take. For whatever reasons, it hasn't happened for Drew. That's the way the ball bounces, but if he wins a championship-- that would be huge and would put him one step closer.
It's brainless comparing Bledsoe to Marino-- Marino is #1 in attempts, yards, completions, and TD's. That's plain ridiculous. Was it a formula for winning, no, but it got him into the HOF.
Better comparisons might be to Warren Moon and another ex-Patriot, Jim Plunkett.
Plunkett won two Superbowls, and threw the prettiest passes this side of... Warren Moon. The problem with Plunkett was accuracy early in his career (thanks to a horrible team around him) and durability later. He never was able to put together the perfect season (he never had 3000 yards passing), but he got those two rings in Oakland/LA. Pedigree (he was the #1 pick in the draft) and 2 rings weren't enough for the HOF to look past his lack of durabiliy and "paltry" 25882 passing yards in 15 seasons.
Moon was a great passer-- he reached 4000 yards four times in his career, 3000+ another eight times, and averaged 237 yards per game he played. To equal Moon's passing yards and TDs, Bledsoe would have to
average nearly 270 yards and 2 TDs per game for the next 28 games (he'd also need to rush for another 1009 yards and 15 TDs
). Moon also broke ground for African Americans in football and has been a Walter Payton Man of the Year Award winner (1989) off the field (Marino won in 1998). I think Moon will be a lock for the HOF.
Conclusion: Rings, pedigree, and stats aren't enough-- you need all three unless you are overwhelming in one category.
IMO, Bledsoe needs a ring and that combined with his pedigree and statistics should place him in contention. I think to better his chances, he really needs to demonstrate how good a passer he is before and after winning that ring. He needs to wash the negative stigma of 2003 and 2004 (amazing how two years can make such a negative impression) off of him.