True, he's not, but then, whether Broaddus or Fisher or anyone else, they're all typically passing along information from someone they consider to be a good source of intel from inside the organization.
So, no one "knows," and even if they're right, they could be wrong a half hour after tweeting something, given some new development... and vice-versa.
What would be cool is if there was some site that tracked these things, and all these people could be assigned a grade based on an accuracy score, with a multiplier based on how early they make their reports.